Texas Democratic primary, 2016

Texas Democratic primary, 2016
Texas
March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01)

 
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 147 75
Popular vote 936,004 476,547
Percentage 65.19% 33.19%

Texas results by county
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders
  Tie

The 2016 Texas Democratic primary took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Texas as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, dubbed "Super Tuesday," Democratic primaries were held in ten other states plus American Samoa, while the Republican Party held primaries in eleven states including their own Texas primary.

Opinion polling

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton
65.2%
Bernie Sanders
33.2%
Others
1.6%
Emerson[1]

Margin of error: ± 5.9%
Sample size: 275

February 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton
68%
Bernie Sanders
26%
Others / Undecided
6%
American Research Group[2]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 400

February 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
38%
Others / Undecided
4%
YouGov/CBS News[3]

Margin of error: ± 6.9%
Sample size: 750

February 22–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton
61%
Bernie Sanders
37%
Others / Undecided
2%
Monmouth[4]

Margin of error: ± 5.6
Sample size: 304

February 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton
64%
Bernie Sanders
30%
Others / Undecided
6%
Emerson College[5]

Margin of error: ± 5.4
Sample size: 328

February 21–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton
56%
Bernie Sanders
40%
Others / Undecided
4%
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl[6]

Margin of error: ± 4.9
Sample size: 405

February 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton
59%
Bernie Sanders
38%
Others / Undecided
3%
KTVT-CBS 11[7]

Margin of error: ± 3.8
Sample size: 675

February 22, 2016 Hillary Clinton
61%
Bernie Sanders
29%
Others / Undecided
10%
TEGNA/SurveyUSA[8]

Margin of error: ± 4.1
Sample size: 569

February 21–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton
61%
Bernie Sanders
32%
Others / Undecided
7%
Austin American-Statesman[9]

Margin of error: ± 5.0
Sample size: 411

February 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton
66%
Bernie Sanders
26%
Others / Undecided
8%
UT/TT[10]

Margin of error: ±4.57
Sample Size: ? Dem Voters

February 12–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
40%
Rocky de la Fuente
2%
Martin O'Malley 1%
Willie Wilson 1%
Public Policy Polling[11]

Margin of error: ± 4.3
Sample size: 514

February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
34%

Results

Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 75

Texas Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 936,004 65.19% 147 21 168
Bernie Sanders 476,547 33.19% 75 0 75
Rocky De La Fuente 8,429 0.59%
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 5,364 0.37%
Willie Wilson 3,254 0.23%
Keith Russell Judd 2,569 0.18%
Calvis L. Hawes 2,017 0.14%
Star Locke 1,711 0.12%
Uncommitted N/A 0 8 8
Total 1,435,895 100% 222 29 251
Source: The Green Papers, Texas Secretary of State

Results By County

County [17] Clinton Votes Sanders Votes
Anderson 75.6% 996 22.7% 299
Andrews 66.1% 76 33.0% 38
Angelina 73.7% 1,950 23.5% 622
Aransas 63.1% 488 35.1% 272
Archer 58.9% 99 38.1% 64
Armstrong 20.0% 1 80.0% 4
Atascosa 71.7% 1,355 25.3% 478
Austin 73.4% 492 24.6% 165
Bailey 71.2% 84 24.6% 29
Bandera 55.4% 378 43.1% 294
Bastrop 59.0% 2,896 39.8% 1,950
Bland 61.3% 46 32.0% 24
Bee 75.1% 1,133 21.2% 320
Bell 69.9% 7,430 29.1% 3,090
Bexar 66.8% 76,533 32.1% 36,750
Blanco 54.9% 284 44.9% 232
Borden 80.0% 4 20.0% 1
Bosque 62.6% 353 35.3% 199
Bowie 76.7% 2,437 21.6% 687
Brazoria 69.6% 8,009 28.6% 3,721
Brazos 49.1% 3,561 49.5% 3,589
Brewster 43.7% 701 48.1% 771
Briscoe 57.1% 16 32.3% 11
Brooks 74.4% 1,603 16.8% 362
Brown 58.5% 319 38.9% 212
Burleson 74.0% 469 23.5% 149
Burnet 59.4% 878 39.3% 580
Caldwell 66.1% 1,543 31.8% 742
Calhoun 66.6% 709 28.6% 305
Callahan 44.2% 87 52.8% 104
Cameron 68.2% 20,332 27.9% 8,320
Camp 76.6% 484 21.2% 134
Carson 62.5% 50 37.5% 30
Cass 73.1% 778 24.9% 265
Castro 73.9% 127 23.3% 40
Chambers 67.9% 688 29.1% 295
Cherokee 74.2% 990 24.3% 324
Childress 58.7% 54 37.0% 34
Clay 62.5% 120 33.9% 65
Cochran 50.0% 4 37.5% 3
Coke 48.1% 25 48.1% 25
Coleman 60.0% 75 39.2% 49
Collin 59.1% 23,670 40.4% 16,171
Collingsworth 59.0% 36 39.3% 24
Colorado 74.8% 474 23.7% 150
Comal 60.0% 3,112 39.1% 2,027
Comanche 63.5% 221 33.6% 117
Concho 69.2% 27 28.2% 11
Cooke 56.4% 449 42.0% 334
Coryell 62.7% 1,010 35.8% 577
Cottle 57.5% 27 38.3% 18
Crane 66.0% 62 25.5% 24
Crockett 37.7% 266 34.0% 240
Crosby 58.2% 131 40.4% 91
Culberson 62.2% 358 27.8% 160
Dallam 61.5% 24 33.3% 13
Dallas 71.5% 113,664 27.8% 44,275
Dawson 70.2% 92 26.0% 34
Deaf Smith 67.8% 200 29.2% 86
Delta 67.9% 110 31.5% 51
Denton 50.7% 16,491 48.6% 15,781
Dewitt 70.3% 293 27.1% 113
Dickens 52.0% 13 44.0% 11
Dimmit 68.9% 1,804 20.4% 534
Donley 47.8% 35 50.7% 35
Duval 76.2% 2,273 17.5% 523
Eastland 55.7% 171 39.7% 122
Ector 64.9% 1,855 33.0% 942
Edwards 57.5% 42 37.0% 27
Ellis 69.5% 3,725 29.2% 1,568
El Paso 66.0% 36,140 31.5% 17,234
Erath 52.5% 427 44.9% 365
Falls 91.4% 551 17.0% 115
Fannin 63.0% 507 34.7% 279
Fayette 63.9% 584 33.8% 309
Fisher 53.3% 226 34.4% 146
Floyd 65.9% 60 26.4% 24
Foard 34.3% 80 48.1% 112
Fort Bend 74.6% 29,259 24.9% 9,774
Franklin 67.8% 164 30.2% 73
Freestone 76.8% 380 20.6% 102
Frio 67.7% 1,864 22.9% 630
Gaines 55.8% 91 36.2% 59
Galveston 68.2% 9,466 30.6% 4,241
Garza 56.5% 35 35.5% 22
Gillespie 60.9% 493 38.8% 314
Glasscock 50.0% 4 50.0% 4
Goliad 66.4% 389 25.8% 151
Gonzales 72.3% 368 25.3% 129
Gray 53.9% 111 41.8% 86
Grayson 52.8% 1,940 45.9% 1,687
Gregg 78.0% 3,423 20.8% 911
Grimes 73.2% 584 25.2% 201
Guadalupe 63.9% 3,793 34.8% 2,067
Hale 60.4% 312 34.0% 176
Hall 64.3% 63 28.6% 28
Hamilton 56.5% 115 40.2% 84
Hansford 58.3% 21 36.1% 13
Hardeman 39.4% 71 48.9% 88
Hardin 59.5% 625 27.9% 398
Harris 70.5% 157,000 28.5% 63,416
Harrison 76.9% 2,046 19.9% 530
Hartley 55.8% 19 36.5% 19
Haskell 58.7% 159 34.3% 92
Hays 46.9% 6,634 51.8% 7,322
Hemphill 65.2% 15 34.8% 8
Henderson 71.6% 1,593 26.9% 598
Hidalgo 69.1% 40,308 27.3% 15,907
Hill 69.1% 718 28.6% 297
Hockey 58.3% 183 36.9% 116
Hood 62.6% 928 35.6% 527
Houston 80.0% 464 17.4% 101
Howard 63.5% 351 34.7% 192
Hudspeth 39.9% 99 39.1% 97
Hunt 60.5% 1,329 38.6% 849
Hutchinson 55.8% 153 37.6% 103
Irion 65.1% 28 32.6% 14
Jack 62.1% 87 32.9% 46
Jackson 70.6% 266 24.9% 94
Jasper 75.7% 932 21.9% 270
Jeff Davis 49.5% 140 46.6% 132
Jefferson 76.9% 16,589 20.6% 4,441
Jim Hogg 75.0% 1,421 18.8% 356
Jim Wells 71.7% 4,697 21.9% 1,436
Johnson 58.5% 2,271 40.4% 1,566
Jones 63.1% 173 34.7% 95
Karnes 53.0% 726 34.9% 479
Kaufman 69.6% 2,234 29.6% 951
Kendall 56.2% 641 43.0% 491
Kenedy 59.4% 63 30.2% 32
Kent 36.7% 22 46.7% 28
Kerr 58.4% 1,020 40.6% 709
Kimble 44.6% 29 52.3% 34
King 66.7% 2 33.3% 1
Kinney 60.8% 211 30.8% 107
Kleberg 70.7% 1,740 25.6% 630
Knox 71.6% 68 17.9% 17
Lamar 69.3% 924 29.1% 388
Lamb 53.3% 172 26.9% 87
Lampasas 59.8% 324 38.2% 207
Lavaca 68.5% 322 29.2% 137
Lee 65.4% 367 32.1% 180
Leon 74.3% 289 22.9% 89
Liberty 71.3% 1,043 26.2% 383
Limestone 79.1% 592 19.3% 144
Lipscomb 64.7% 22 32.4% 11
Live Oak 67.4% 203 24.3% 73
Llano 64.8% 519 33.3% 267
Loving 25.0% 3 41.7% 5
Lubbock 57.3% 5,782 41.0% 4,137
Lynn 58.3% 14 41.7% 10
Madison 75.2% 227 23.2% 70
Martin 59.0% 36 27.9% 17
Mason 62.7% 89 35.2% 50
Matagorda 74.2% 1,088 23.5% 344
Maverick 69.5% 4,343 24.2% 1,508
McCulloch 66.0% 93 30.5% 43
McLennan 67.0% 5,531 31.9% 2,633
McMullen 80.0% 4 20.0% 1
Medina 69.7% 1,073 28.3% 436
Menard 56.1% 23 39.0% 16
Midland 63.1% 1,556 34.6% 854
Milam 67.8% 577 29.6% 252
Mills 53.2% 50 43.6% 41
Mitchell 73.2% 109 22.2% 33
Montague 54.3% 153 43.3% 122
Montgomery 59.5% 7,540 39.8% 5,040
Moore 59.9% 149 32.5% 81
Morris 71.4% 488 24.7% 169
Motley 68.4% 13 31.6% 6
Nacogdoches 65.2% 1,600 33.8% 829
Navarro 72.5% 957 25.3% 334
Newton 44.2% 605 40.4% 529
Nolan 65.5% 270 29.6% 122
Nueces 70.5% 15,671 27.8% 6,175
Ochiltree 53.7% 36 43.3% 29
Oldham 68.8% 11 25.0% 4
Orange 68.1% 1,852 30.0% 816
Palo Pinto 59.5% 361 37.9% 230
Panola 80.1% 559 18.6% 130
Parker 54.6% 1,808 44.5% 1,475
Parmer 72.6% 82 23.0% 26
Pecos 55.4% 816 33.2% 488
Polk 71.1% 860 26.9% 326
Potter 56.5% 1,490 41.5% 1,094
Presidio 57.4% 776 33.1% 447
Rains 64.3% 173 33.1% 89
Randall 51.0% 1,591 47.7% 1,489
Reagan 63.2% 12 36.8% 7
Real 53.9% 28 44.2% 23
Red River 70.1% 378 18.2% 87
Reeves 59.6% 1,128 29.7% 563
Refugio 64.1% 549 29.7% 254
Roberts 60.0% 3 40.0% 2
Robertson 70.9% 896 22.9% 289
Rockwall 59.5% 1,726 36.1% 1,046
Runnels 57.6% 80 39.6% 55
Rusk 78.1% 1,114 19.4% 276
Sabine 66.4% 192 28.4% 82
San Augustine 83.1% 368 14.0% 62
San Jacinto 72.1% 562 24.7% 193
San Patricio 73.2% 2,638 23.6% 850
San Saba 67.4% 58 31.4% 27
Schleicer 64.4% 58 26.7% 24
Scurry 61.6% 154 34.0% 85
Shackelford 50.0% 15 46.7% 14
Shelby 77.8% 346 20.2% 90
Sherman 61.3% 19 25.8% 8
Smith 73.5% 5,778 25.5% 2,003
Somervell 49.3% 66 50/0% 67
Starr 77.8% 6,936 18.3% 1,635
Stephens 55.6% 45 43.2% 35
Sterling 50.0% 5 40.0% 4
Stonewall 57.8% 59 35.3% 36
Sutton 69.2% 27 25.6% 10
Swisher 60.5% 141 33.5% 78
Tarrant 65.2% 68,044 34.2% 35,733
Taylor 54.6% 1,794 43.4% 1,427
Terrell 43.5% 67 41.6% 64
Terry 59.0% 141 34.7% 83
Throckmorton 61.9% 26 38.1% 16
Titus 71.3% 552 25.5% 197
Tom Green 55.9% 1,657 41.8% 1,239
Travis 48.2% 69,446 51.4% 74,068
Trinity 71.8% 333 25.2% 117
Tyler 74.3% 453 22.8% 372
Upshur 71.7% 725 26.6% 269
Upton 55.8% 91 27.6% 45
Uvalde 63.4% 1,744 27.7% 762
Val Verde 65.8% 1,776 28.3% 765
Van Zandt 64.1% 722 33.5% 377
Victoria 64.5% 2,206 32.7% 1,119
Walker 61.3% 1,292 37.4% 789
Waller 67.4% 1,221 30.9% 559
Ward 62.2% 306 29.9% 147
Washington 73.0% 782 25.9% 278
Webb 71.9% 18,559 23.9% 6,177
Wharton 76.5% 961 18.3% 224
Wheeler 59.7% 37 37.1% 23
Wichita 55.5% 1,958 43.2% 1,524
Wilbarger 61.5% 136 33.9% 75
Willacy 70.0% 2,081 22.2% 660
Williamson 52.7% 16,396 46.7% 14,554
Wilson 71.5% 1,282 26.8% 481
Winkler 69.8% 30 25.6% 11
Wise 56.2% 751 41.8% 558
Wood 68.7% 663 29.5% 285
Yoakum 42.9% 9 47.6% 10
Young 58.8% 201 38.6% 132
Zapata 67.9% 1,973 23.6% 685
Zavala 75.5% 1,557 18.1% 373
Total 65.2% 936,004 33.2% 476,547

Analysis

Clinton won the Texas primary by a landslide margin of over thirty points, thanks in large part to support from Hispanic/Latinos (whom she won by a margin of 71-29 over Bernie Sanders), African American voters (whom she won 83-15) and white women (63-35 over Sanders).[18] Clinton won all of the major cities (Fort Worth, Dallas, El Paso, San Antonio, and Houston, and Corpus Christi) except for Austin where Sanders won only narrowly due to the presence of the University of Texas.[19]

Sanders won few counties outside of Travis County. He won neighboring Hays County, home to another prominent college, Texas State University in San Marcos. Sanders also managed to very narrowly edge out Clinton in Brazos County, home to College Station and Texas A&M University, by 28 votes. In all three counties mentioned above, Sanders performed worse than Barack Obama did in the 2008 Texas Democratic primary and caucuses, despite all three containing a bloc of young voters, a demographic Sanders usually performs well in.

The rest of Sanders's victories came from 11 sparsely populated counties where Republicans have performed strongly in the past several elections. His strongest performance came from the Texas Panhandle in Armstrong County, where he won 80% of the vote, 4 votes to Clinton's 1. Two counties in particular, Glasscock and Coke, had Sanders and Clinton tie.[20]

References

  1. "EMERSON POLL: CRUZ CLINGS TO NARROW LEAD IN TEXAS; TRUMP ROMPS IN BAY STATE, CLINTON PULLS AWAY FROM SANDERS" (PDF).
  2. "Texas Democratic Presidential Primary".
  3. "CBS News 2016 Battleground TrackerTexas".
  4. "TEXAS: CRUZ, CLINTON LEAD PRIMARIES" (PDF).
  5. "2016 Texas Republican Presidential Primary – Cruz 29%, Trump 28% (Emerson College Polling Society 2/21-2/23)" (PDF).
  6. "NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll" (PDF).
  7. "Cruz Increases Lead In TX Against Trump In KTVT-CBS 11 / Dixie Strategies Poll".
  8. "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22696" (PDF).
  9. "Cruz, Clinton still lead in Texas".
  10. Ramsey, Ross. "UT/TT Poll: Clinton Still Leads in Texas, But Margin Has Narrowed, by Ross Ramsey". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved 2016-02-23.
  11. "Subject: Clinton leads in 10 of 12 Early March Primaries; Benefits From Overwhelming Black Support" (PDF).
  12. "Texas Statewide Survey" (PDF). University of Texas / Texas Tribune. Retrieved 22 January 2016.
  13. "Carson Leads Trump Slightly In Texas KTVT-CBS 11 Dixie Strategies Poll". cbslocal.com.
  14. "Texas Lyceum Poll Results: 2015 Texas Statewide Survey" (PDF). texaslyceum.org. Retrieved 2015-10-01.
  15. "TX Tribune" (PDF). amazonaws.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  16. "Texas Statewide Survey" (PDF). Retrieved 22 January 2016.
  17. http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist233_countyselect.htm
  18. "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved 2016-07-18.
  19. "Texas Primary Election Results". Retrieved 2016-07-18.
  20. http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/
This article is issued from Wikipedia - version of the 10/18/2016. The text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution/Share Alike but additional terms may apply for the media files.