New Jersey Democratic primary, 2016

June 7, 2016 (2016-06-07)



Candidate	Hillary Clinton	Bernie Sanders
Home state	New York	Vermont
Delegate count	79	47
Popular vote	566,247^[1]	328,058
Percentage	63.32%	36.68%

Election results by county.

Hillary Clinton

Bernie Sanders

The 2016 New Jersey Democratic primary was held on June 7 in the U.S. state of New Jersey as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The Democratic Party's primaries in California, Montana, New Mexico and South Dakota are scheduled to be held the same day, as are Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own New Jersey primary. Additionally, the Democratic Party holds North Dakota caucuses the same day.

Opinion polling

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	Other
Official Primary results	June 7, 2016	Hillary Clinton 63.3%	Bernie Sanders 36.7%
CBS/YouGov^[2] Margin of error: ± 5.4% Sample size: 586	May 31 – June 3, 2016	Hillary Clinton 61%	Bernie Sanders 34%	Others / Undecided 5%
American Research Group^[3] Margin of error: ± -% Sample size: 400	May 31 – June 2, 2016	Hillary Clinton 60%	Bernie Sanders 37%	Others / Undecided 3%
Quinnipiac^[4] Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 696	May 10-16, 2016	Hillary Clinton 54%	Bernie Sanders 40%	Others / Undecided 6%
Monmouth University^[5] Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 301	May 1-3, 2016	Hillary Clinton 60%	Bernie Sanders 32%	Others / Undecided 8%
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll^[6] Margin of error: ± 6.3% Sample Size: 292	April 1-8, 2016	Hillary Clinton 51%	Bernie Sanders 42%	Others / Undecided 7%
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll^[7] Margin of error: ± 6.2% Sample Size: 304	February 6–15, 2016	Hillary Clinton 55%	Bernie Sanders 32%	Others / Undecided 13%

Polls in 2015

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll^[8] Margin of error: ± ?% Sample Size: 304	November 30 – December 6, 2015	Hillary Clinton 60%	Bernie Sanders 19%	Martin O'Malley 1%	Other 3%, Don't know 17%
Farleigh Dickenson University^[9] Margin of error: ± 3.9% Sample Size: 830	November 9–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton 64%	Bernie Sanders 27%	Martin O'Malley 2%	DK/Refused 3%, Wouldn't Vote 3%, Other 1%
Rutgers-Eagleton Poll^[10] Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 367	October 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton 49%	Bernie Sanders 19%	Joe Biden 10%	Other 3%, Don't know 20%
Fairleigh Dickinson University^[11] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 345	June 15–21, 2015	Hillary Clinton 63%	Bernie Sanders 15%	Martin O'Malley 3%	Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, DK/Refused 14%
Fairleigh Dickinson University Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 323	April 13–19, 2015	Hillary Clinton 62%			Another Democratic candidate 9%, Don't know 27%, Refused 1%
Quinnipiac University Margin of error: ± 4.2% Sample size: 539	April 9–14, 2015	Hillary Clinton 63%	Elizabeth Warren 12%	Joe Biden 10%	Bernie Sanders 3%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Don't know 7%
	April 9–14, 2015	Joe Biden 36%	Elizabeth Warren 28%	Bernie Sanders 6%	Martin O'Malley 3%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Don't know 21%
Quinnipiac University Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: ?	January 15–19, 2015	Hillary Clinton 65%	Elizabeth Warren 11%	Joe Biden 7%	Bernie Sanders 3%, Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Don't know 11%

Polls in 2014

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Rutgers-Eagleton Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 280	December 3–10, 2014	Hillary Clinton 54%	Elizabeth Warren 6%	Cory Booker 2%	Joe Biden 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Other 3%, Don't know 34%
Rutgers-Eagleton Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 331	July 28 – August 5, 2014	Hillary Clinton 59%	Joe Biden 3%	Elizabeth Warren 3%	Cory Booker 2%, Other 4%, Don't know 30%

Polls in 2013

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Fairleigh Dickinson University Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 337	August 21–27, 2013	Hillary Clinton 63%	Joe Biden 10%	Andrew Cuomo 6%	Elizabeth Warren 4%, Other 4%, Undecided 13%
Kean University Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 420	April 25–29, 2013	Hillary Clinton 67%	Joe Biden 13%	Andrew Cuomo 8%	Martin O'Malley 2%, Other 4%, Undecided 6%

Results

New Jersey Democratic primary, June 7, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	566,247	63.32%	79	12	91
Bernie Sanders	328,058	36.68%	47	2	49
Uncommitted	N/A		0	0	0
Total	894,305	100%	126	16	142
Source: The Green Papers, New Jersey Democratic Primary Official Results - New Jersey Department of State

Results by County

Hillary Clinton won every county except for Sussex and Warren.^[12]

County	Clinton	Votes	Sanders	Votes
Atlantic	60.62%	13,556	39.38%	8,805
Bergen	63.47%	57,319	36.53%	32,994
Burlington	63.02%	33,166	36.98%	19,461
Camden	62.27%	44,400	37.73%	26,905
Cape May	54.83%	3,969	45.17%	3,269
Cumberland	64.18%	6,894	35.82%	3,847
Essex	73.07%	77,836	26.93%	28,679
Gloucester	56.12%	18,011	43.88%	14,082
Hudson	66.34%	50,875	33.66%	25,815
Hunterdon	51.93%	5,794	48.07%	5,362
Mercer	66.00%	29,650	34.00%	15,276
Middlesex	61.01%	48,202	38.99%	30,800
Monmouth	58.07%	30,967	41.93%	22,360
Morris	58.32%	24,285	41.68%	17,355
Ocean	54.49%	19,663	45.51%	16,424
Passaic	67.63%	29,997	32.37%	14,356
Salem	56.46%	2,821	43.54%	2,175
Somerset	61.56%	19,838	38.44%	12,385
Sussex	42.91%	3,986	57.09%	5,303
Union	68.82%	41,605	31.18%	18,853
Warren	49.00%	3,413	51.00%	3,552
Total	63.32%	566,247	36.68%	328,058

Analysis

With its coalition of African Americans, Hispanic/Latinos, and college-educated, affluent Caucasian progressive/liberal professionals, New Jersey was seen as a state Clinton would win in the final batch of primaries on June 7. Having won the state eight years earlier against Barack Obama, Clinton managed a 26-point-routing against Bernie Sanders in 2016 despite the Sanders campaign's efforts in the state. She carried all counties in the Garden State but two, winning large victories in the cities of Newark, Trenton, and Atlantic City.

Following her commanding wins in New Jersey and California, Clinton was crowned the presumptive Democratic nominee despite Sanders's refusal to drop out until July.

References

↑ New Jersey Democratic Primary Official Results - New Jersey Department of State
↑ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker New Jersey". CBS. Retrieved June 6, 2016.
↑ "New Jersey 2016 Primary Forecasts". ARG. Retrieved June 7, 2016.
↑ "IT'S BLUE JERSEY AS CLINTON OR SANDERS TOP TRUMP, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; CLINTON TOPS SANDERS AMONG DEMOCRATS" (PDF). Quinnipiac. Retrieved May 19, 2016.
↑ "NEW JERSEY: CLINTON HOLDS HUGE PRIMARY EDGE" (PDF). Monmouth. Retrieved May 4, 2016.
↑ "OVER HALF OF NJ REPUBLICANS CHOOSE TRUMP; CLINTON STILL LEADS BUT LOSING GROUND AGAINST SANDERS". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved 2016-04-18.
↑ "TRUMP, CLINTON CONTINUE TO HOLD COMMANDING LEADS IN NEW JERSEY; RUBIO A DISTANT SECOND IN GOP RACE". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved 2016-02-24.
↑ "CHRISTIE'S JOB APPROVAL HITS NEW LOW, RATINGS ACROSS THE BOARD CONTINUE TO SLIP; TRUMP STILL LEADS 2016 GOP FIELD IN NEW JERSEY, CHRISTIE RECLAIMS SECOND". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. Retrieved 2016-02-25.
↑ "151117". View2.fdu.edu. 2015-11-17. Retrieved 2016-01-23.
↑ "Trump Still Leads Gop Field In New Jersey, Christie Falls Well Behind; Voters To Christie: End Campaign | Center For Public Interest Polling". Eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu. 2015-10-15. Retrieved 2016-01-23.
↑ "2016 Candidates Polarize NJ Voters :: Fairleigh Dickinson University PublicMind Poll". Publicmind.fdu.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
↑ http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/nj/Dem

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