Pennsylvania Democratic primary, 2016

Pennsylvania Democratic primary, 2016
Pennsylvania
April 26, 2016 (2016-04-26)

 
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 106 83
Popular vote 935,107 731,881
Percentage 55.61% 43.53%

Election results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

The 2016 Pennsylvania Democratic primary were held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Pennsylvania as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The Democratic Party's primaries in Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland and Rhode Island were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own Pennsylvania primary.

Opinion polling

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Official Primary results April 26, 2016 Hillary Clinton
55.6%
Bernie Sanders
43.5%
Other
0.9%
FOX 29/Opinion Savvy[1]

Margin of error: ± 3.2%
Sample size: 942

April 24, 2016 Hillary Clinton
52%
Bernie Sanders
41%
Others / Undecided
7%
CPEC LLC[2]

Margin of error: ± 2.3%
Sample size: 665

April 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton
63%
Bernie Sanders
37%
Public Policy Polling[3]

Margin of error: ± 3.6%
Sample size: 728

April 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton
51%
Bernie Sanders
41%
Others / Undecided
9%
American Research Group[4]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 400

April 21-24, 2016 Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
38%
Others / Undecided
4%
Harper Polling[5]

Margin of error: ± 3.9%
Sample size: 641

April 21-23, 2016 Hillary Clinton
61%
Bernie Sanders
33%
Others / Undecided
6%
CBS/YouGov[6]

Margin of error: ± 6.7%
Sample size: 831

April 20-22, 2016 Hillary Clinton
51%
Bernie Sanders
43%
Others / Undecided
6%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[7]

Margin of error: ± 1.9%
Sample size: 734

April 18-20, 2016 Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
40%
Others / Undecided
5%
Monmouth[8]

Margin of error: ± 5.6%
Sample size: 302

April 17-19, 2016 Hillary Clinton
52%
Bernie Sanders
39%
Others / Undecided
9%
Franklin & Marshall College[9]

Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 510

April 11-18, 2016 Hillary Clinton
58%
Bernie Sanders
31%
Others / Undecided
11%
FOX News[10]

Margin of error: ± 3.5%
Sample size: 805

April 4-7, 2016 Hillary Clinton
49%
Bernie Sanders
38%
Others / Undecided
13%
Quinnipiac[11]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 514

March 30-April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton
50%
Bernie Sanders
44%
Others / Undecided
6%
Harper[12]

Margin of error: ± 4.0%
Sample size: 603

April 2-3, 2016 Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
33%
Others / Undecided
12%
Franklin & Marshall[13]

Margin of error: ± 4.7%
Sample size: 408

March 14-20, 2016 Hillary Clinton
53%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Others / Undecided
19%
Harper[14]

Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 347

March 1-2, 2016 Hillary Clinton
57%
Bernie Sanders
27%
Others / Undecided
16%
Franklin & Marshall College[15]

Margin of error: ± 3.1%
Sample size: 486

February 13–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton
48%
Bernie Sanders
27%
Others / Undecided
25%
Robert Morris University[16]

Margin of error: ± 4.5%
Sample size: 511

February 11–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton
48%
Bernie Sanders
41%
Others / Undecided
11%
Harper[17]

Margin of error: ± 3.8%
Sample size: 640

January 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Martin O'Malley
4%
Undecided 13%
Franklin & Marshall[18]

Margin of error: ± 3.6%
Sample size: 361

January 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton
46%
Bernie Sanders
29%
Martin O'Malley
2%
Other 7%, Undecided 16%

Results

Pennsylvania Democratic primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 935,107 55.61% 106 20 126
Bernie Sanders 731,881 43.53% 83 0 83
Rocky De La Fuente 14,439 0.86% 0 0 0
Total 1,681,427 100% 189 20 209
Source: The Green Papers, Pennsylvania State Elections Official Results

Results By County

County [22] Clinton Votes Sanders Votes
Adams 48.1% 3,863 51.0% 4,101
Allegheny 55.1% 123,715 44.1% 99,078
Armstrong 48.3% 2,992 49.7% 3,073
Beavers 56.9% 13,531 41.5% 9,873
Bedford 48.9% 1,388 48.9% 1,387
Berks 48.4% 21,063 50.7% 22,078
Blair 46.9% 3,965 51.5% 4,360
Bradford 48.9% 1,808 46.7% 1,839
Bucks 55.9% 45,917 43.1% 36,173
Butler 52.1% 8,790 46.4% 7,833
Cambria 47.2% 8,507 50.0% 9,024
Cameron 41.9% 186 54.1% 240
Carbon 48.7% 3,384 49.8% 3,460
Centre 44.7% 8,458 54.6% 10,331
Chester 55.6% 33,082 44.0% 26,193
Clarion 49.3% 1,529 48.8% 1,511
Clearfield 47.3% 3,194 50.6% 3,414
Clinton 48.6% 1,704 49.6% 1,739
Columbia 40.5% 2,504 58.2% 3,601
Crawaford 48.8% 3,707 49.8% 3,789
Cumberland 51.5% 12,421 47.8% 11,513
Dauphin 56.8% 18,474 42.4% 13,787
Delaware 59.7% 46,252 39.8% 30,824
Elk 45.5% 1,601 52.5% 1,846
Erie 52.2% 20,395 47.0% 18,362
Fayette 57.7% 9,195 40.5% 6,460
Forest 52.1% 251 45.9% 221
Franklin 51.7% 4,707 47.0% 4,282
Fulton 48.9% 366 48.7% 365
Greene 52.6% 2,268 44.7% 1,927
Huntingdon 43.3% 1,304 55.3% 1,666
Indiana 50.3% 4,049 47.7% 3,839
Jefferson 43.9% 1,249 53.0% 1,507
Juniata 45.6% 664 51.8% 754
Lackawanna 56.5% 23,020 42.5% 17,308
Lancaster 48.0% 19,840 51.6% 21,321
Jefferson 58.6% 5,845 39.9% 3,981
Lebanon 49.9% 4,669 49.1% 4,599
Lehigh 52.4% 20,430 47.0% 18,338
Luzerne 51.9% 20,542 46.9% 18,543
Lycoming 43.9% 3,808 54.6% 4,730
McKean 46.2% 1,053 52.2% 1,190
Mercer 57.0% 6,530 41.4% 4,739
Miflin 48.3% 1,201 49.9% 1,242
Monroe 53.3% 8,169 45.9% 7,042
Montgomery 59.0% 75,628 40.7% 52,132
Montour 47.9% 846 50.3% 890
Northampton51.2% 18,104 47.9% 16,940
Northumberland48.9% 3,582 49.6% 3,632
Perry 42.6% 1,329 56.2% 1,752
Philadelphia62.6% 218,959 37.0% 129,353
Pike 51.2% 2,009 48.3% 1,894
Potter 40.9% 402 57.0% 560
Schuylkill 51.3% 6,534 47.4% 6,040
Snyder 50.4% 1,125 48.4% 1,081
Somerset 48.2% 3,114 49.6% 3,206
Sullivan 50.2% 312 47.6% 296
Susquehanna50.4% 1,680 48.3% 1,610
Tioga 43.2% 1,055 55.5% 1,354
Union 50.5% 1,626 49.0% 1,579
Venango 48.1% 2,020 49.7% 2,087
Warren 51.7% 1,836 46.9% 1,665
Washington 57.4% 15,872 40.8% 11,262
Wayne 47.4% 1,859 51.7% 2,026
Westmoreland54.3% 25,009 44.1% 20,286
Wyoming 50.7% 18,459 48.2% 17,544
York 50.7% 18,459 48.2% 17,544
Total 55.6% 935,107 43.5% 731,881

Analysis

Clinton won a large victory over runner-up Bernie Sanders in Pennsylvania, replicating her 2008 performance against Barack Obama in the Keystone state. According to exit polls, Clinton won the white vote 51-47 (68% of the electorate), won the African American vote 70-30 (19% of the electorate), and won among women 60-39 (she lost men 50-49 to Sanders). While Sanders won among younger voters 63-37, Clinton won voters over the age of 45 66-33. Clinton swept all income and educational attainment levels except for whites without college degrees, whom Sanders won 50-49.

Clinton swept all political ideologies in the primary. She won Democrats 62-38 but lost self-identified Independents to Sanders 72-26.

Clinton also won among unions 56-43, a very important demographic in a big manufacturing state like Pennsylvania.

Clinton won large victories in all of Pennsylvania's major cities: she won in Philadelphia 63-37, the affluent Philadelphia suburbs 58-42, and also carried the cities of Pittsburgh and Erie. She won in Northeast Pennsylvania 51-48, and in Western Pennsylvania 54-45. Sanders, for his part, performed strongly in the rural parts of the state, winning rural voters 50-48 and carrying Central Pennsylvania 50-49.[23] Sanders swept many of the more remote and conservative counties of the state, including parts of Amish country such as Lancaster County.

Of her victory in the Keystone State, New York Times analyst Alan Rappeport commented, "Lots of Philadelphia history and imagery coming from Clinton now. It's almost as if she has her convention speech ready."[24]

References

  1. "Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary Poll 4/25/16" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. April 25, 2016. Retrieved April 25, 2016.
  2. "Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary Poll" (PDF). CPEC LLC. April 26, 2016. Retrieved April 26, 2016.
  3. "Clinton, Sanders close in CT/PA/RI; Trump Headed for Big Wins" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. April 25, 2016. Retrieved April 25, 2016.
  4. "2016 Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary - Clinton 58%, Sanders 38% (ARG 4/21-4/24)". American Research Group. April 26, 2016. Retrieved April 26, 2016.
  5. "Pennsylvania Democratic Primary Poll". Harper Polling. April 26, 2016. Retrieved April 26, 2016.
  6. "Poll: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton lead in Pennsylvania, Indiana". Retrieved 2016-04-24.
  7. "Trump and Clinton Hold Strong Leads in Pennsylvania, New Poll Shows". Retrieved 2016-04-24.
  8. "PENNSYLVANIA: CLINTON LEADS SANDERS BY 13" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-20.
  9. "April 2016 Franklin & Marshall College Poll" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-21.
  10. "Fox News Poll: Trump holds huge lead in Pennsylvania, Clinton up over Sanders". Retrieved 2016-04-10.
  11. "Pennsylvania Quinnipiac University Poll March 30-April 4, 2016" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-04-06.
  12. "Pennsylvania Democratic Primary Poll April 2-3, 2016". Retrieved 2016-04-05.
  13. "March 2016 Franklin & Marshall College Poll" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-03-24.
  14. "PENNSYLVANIA STATEWIDE POLL REPUBLICAN AND DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES".
  15. "Franklin & Marshall February 13–21, 2016" (PDF).
  16. "2016 Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary – Clinton 48%, Sanders 41% (Robert Morris University 2/11-2/16)".
  17. Field, Nick. "Harper Poll: Clinton 55% Sanders 28%". Politics PA. Retrieved 5 February 2016.
  18. "January 2016 Franklin & Marshall College Poll" (PDF). Franklin & Martin. 28 January 2016. Retrieved 5 February 2016.
  19. "Franklin and Marshall College Poll: Survey of Pennsylvanians Summary of Findings" (PDF). Franklin & Marshall. 29 October 2015. Retrieved 22 January 2016.
  20. "Quinnipiac poll" (PDF). Quinnipiac.edu. Retrieved 2015-08-20.
  21. "Quinnipiac poll" (PDF). quinnipiac.edu. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
  22. http://www.electionreturns.state.pa.us/ENR_New/Home/CountyResults?countyName=Tioga&ElectionID=54&ElectionType=P&IsActive=0
  23. "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved 2016-10-16.
  24. "Pennsylvania Primary Election Results 2016". Retrieved 2016-10-16.
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