United States presidential election in Ohio, 2016

United States presidential election in Ohio, 2016

November 8, 2016

Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Party Republican Democratic Home state New York New York Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine Electoral vote 18 0 Popular vote 2,841,005 2,394,164 Percentage 51.7% 43.6%

County Results Trump   40-50%   50-60%   60-70%   70-80%   80-90% Clinton   40-50%   50-60%   60-70%

President before election Barack Obama Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

Elections in Ohio
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The 2016 United States presidential election in Ohio was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.

Presidential primary elections for three parties were also held in Ohio, concurrently with Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina on March 15, 2016. In the Democratic primary, 143 delegates were awarded proportionally in a modified primary which was won by former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. In the Republican primary, John Kasich, the state's current governor, won all of the state's 66 delegates.

Ohio was won by president-elect Donald Trump by a margin of 8.1 points. Prior to the election, most news organizations considered the Buckeye State as leaning Republican, due to his appeal to blue collar voters in the rust belt. Ohio kept its streak of voting for the winner (a bellwether state) since 1964, as it voted for Trump, who won nationally. Having voted Democratic in 2012 and 2008, the win margin was the second largest of the states Trump recovered (after Iowa). Trump's win margin, 8.1% points, was more than quadruple that of when Republicans last won the state, by George W. Bush in 2004 by 2.1% points, and represented a 11% point swing from the last election, where Mitt Romney lost the state by 3% points. It is also the largest victory margin since George H.W. Bush defeated Michael Dukakis in 1988.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Ohio Democratic primary, 2016

March 15, 2016

Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Home state New York Vermont Delegate count 95 63 Popular vote 696,681 535,395 Percentage 56.12% 43.13%

Ohio results by county   Hillary Clinton   Bernie Sanders

The Democratic Party's presidential primaries in Ohio were held on March 15, 2016, concurrently with primaries in Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina. The state's 143 pledged delegates to the 2016 Democratic National Convention were rewarded proportionally according to the statewide vote total. Three candidates appeared on the ballot for the primary – former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Senator Bernie Sanders and businessman Rocky De La Fuente.

Background

By the time Ohio held its primaries, voters from 21 states and two territories already cast their vote for the presidential nomination of the Democratic Party. As of the March 12 elections, Hillary Clinton was projected to have earned 775 pledged delegates to Bernie Sanders' 552.^[1] Clinton gained significant victories in the Southern United States, often described as her "firewall",^[2] including landslide victories in Mississippi and Alabama and Georgia.^[3][4] In contrast, Bernie Sanders managed to gain victories in the Midwestern United States,^[5] where Ohio resides, including an upset victory in neighboring Michigan on March 8.^[6][7] After the fact, Sanders' campaign took advantage of the momentum gained from the Michigan win, by targeting Illinois, Missouri and Ohio in the March 15 elections, hoping to repeat the same result. Sanders stated that "Not only is Michigan the gateway to the rest of the industrial Midwest, the results there show that we are a national campaign."^[8]

Before the Michigan primaries, Clinton and Sanders had debated over economic policies relating to the industrial midwest states and the so-called "rust belt". The disagreements centered around trade deals, including the Trans-Pacific Partnership and Clinton's past support of the North American Free Trade Agreement, and its effect on economies such as Michigan and Ohio.^[9][10]

Controversy

Ohio is one of at least seventeen states that has laws allowing voters who are 17 years of age, but will be 18 by the time of the general election, to vote in the presidential primaries.^[11] However, Ohio Secretary of State Jon A. Husted had announced in December 2015 that 17 year olds would be outright barred from participating in the 2016 primaries. The rationale for the decision was based on an interpretation of the law in which 17 year olds could "nominate" officials for office, but not "elect". In the case of the presidential primaries, by definition, voters would be electing officials - delegates to each party's presidential nominating convention.^[12] The decision was met with criticism by the public, after it was brought to mainstream attention by Representative Kathleen Clyde, after she condemned the rule in a statement released on March 5. Clyde described it as a "underhanded, backroom attack" against young voters.^[13] Nine teenagers filed a lawsuit with the Ohio Courts of Common Pleas in Franklin County over the decision, stating that the decision contradicted state law and a decision by the Supreme Court of the United States that allowed 17 year olds turning 18 by the general election to vote.^[14]

Bernie Sanders' campaign, whose voter base includes the majority of young voters,^[15][16] also filed a lawsuit against the decision, accusing Husted of "arbitrarily" and "unconsititutionally" discriminating against young African-American and Latino voters, citing data from the 2010 United States Census that shows younger voters in Ohio where mostly African-American and Latino.^[17][18] Husted, in response to Sanders' lawsuit, said in a public statement that he welcomed the lawsuit, further stating that "I am very happy to be sued on this issue because the law is crystal clear",^[17] though, he later spoke out negatively against the lawsuit, claiming that it was a "a last-minute political act", designed to "draw attention to his campaign."^[19] Many Ohio officials, past and present, such as former Ohio Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner, came out in support of Sanders' lawsuit,^[20] and had attracted protests by not only Bernie Sanders supporters, but also Donald Trump supporters as well.^[21] In a decision handed down on March 11, an Ohio state judge ruled in favour of both lawsuits by the teenage group and the Sanders campaign, effectively lifting the ban on 17 year olds from voting in the Ohio presidential primaries.^[22] Husted initially announced that he would appeal the ruling,^[23] however, after learning that such an appeal wouldn't be heard by the court until the day before the primaries, he retracted his intent to appeal.^[24]

Debates and Forums

March 13, 2016 – Columbus, Ohio

The ninth forum was held at 8:00 pm EDT on March 13, 2016, at the campus of Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio, and aired on CNN.^[25]

March 14, 2016 – Columbus, Ohio and Springfield, Illinois

The tenth forum was held at 6:00 pm EDT on March 14, 2016, at the campus of Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio, and at the Old State Capitol State Historic Site (Illinois) in Springfield, Illinois. It aired on MSNBC. The first section of the town hall with Bernie Sanders was moderated by Chuck Todd; the second section of the town hall with Hillary Clinton was moderated by Chris Matthews.

Results

Republican primary

Ohio Republican primary, 2016

March 15, 2016

Candidate John Kasich Donald Trump Ted Cruz Home state Ohio New York Texas Delegate count 66 0 0 Popular vote 993,886 713,404 264,640 Percentage 46.95% 35.87% 13.31%

Ohio results by county   John Kasich   Donald Trump

Results

Ohio Republican primary, March 15, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
			Bound	Unbound	Total
John Kasich	933,886	46.95%	66	0	66
Donald Trump	713,404	35.87%	0	0	0
Ted Cruz	264,640	13.31%	0	0	0
Marco Rubio	46,478	2.34%	0	0	0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)	14,351	0.72%	0	0	0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)	5,398	0.27%	0	0	0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)	4,941	0.25%	0	0	0
Chris Christie (withdrawn)	2,430	0.12%	0	0	0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)	2,112	0.11%	0	0	0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)	1,320	0.07%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	1,988,960	100.00%	66	0	66
Source: The Green Papers

Green state convention

The Green Party of Ohio participated in the March 15 primaries in Ohio, though they did not hold their presidential primary during the event.^[26] Instead, delegates to the Green National Convention were awarded based on presidential preference through a nominating convention in Columbus on April 3. Members of the Green Party of Ohio were able to vote in the convention.^[27][28]

Ohio Green Party presidential convention, April 3, 2016[29]
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	National delegates
Jill Stein	-	61%	6
William Kreml	-	19%	2
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry	-	12%	1
Darryl Cherney	-	5%	-
Kent Mesplay	-	3%	-
Total	-	100.00%	9

Polling

The Republican National Convention

From July 17 through the 20th, Cleveland hosted the Republican Convention, which nominated Donald Trump and Mike Pence.

The General Election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Ohio as of Election Day.

1. Los Angeles Times: Leans Clinton^[30]
2. CNN: Leans Trump^[31]
3. Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Trump^[32]
4. NBC: Tossup^[33]
5. Electoral-vote.com: Leans Trump^[34]
6. RealClearPolitics: Tossup^[35]
7. Fox News: Leans Trump^[36]
8. ABC: Leans Trump^[37]

Results

Official state results from the Ohio Secretary of State are as follows

By county

Flipped Counties

Trump won 80 of Ohio's 88 counties, the most since Ronald Reagan won 82 in 1984. He flipped 9 counties from 2012.

See also

• Democratic Party presidential debates, 2016
• Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
• Republican Party presidential debates, 2016
• Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016

References

External links

• RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
• Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
• 2016 Presidential primaries, ElectionProjection.com
• Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Ohio
• Primary Election Results, Ohio Secretary of State

State results of the 2016 U.S. presidential election
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