Portuguese legislative election, 1999

Portuguese legislative election, 1999
Portugal
10 October 1999

230 seats to the Portuguese Assembly
116 seats needed for a majority
  Majority party Minority party
 
Leader António Guterres José Manuel Barroso
Party PS PSD
Leader since 23 February 1992 27 May 1999
Leader's seat Castelo Branco[1] Lisbon[2]
Last election 112 seats, 43.8% 88 seats, 34.1%
Seats won 115 81
Seat change Increase 3 Decrease 7
Popular vote 2,385,922 1,750,158
Percentage 44.1% 32.3%
Swing Increase 0.3% Decrease 1.8%

Prime Minister before election

António Guterres
PS

Elected Prime Minister

António Guterres
PS

Portugal

This article is part of the series:
Politics and government of
Portugal

The Portuguese legislative election of 1999 took place on 10 October. The Socialist Party was aiming a second term under the lead of António Guterres, in the end the Socialists won the election, but missed what would be an historical absolute majority for the party by just one MP.

The Social Democratic Party under the lead of José Manuel Durão Barroso was still away from the preferences of the majority of the Portuguese people, after the ten years cycle under the lead of Cavaco Silva that had terminated four years before. The Democratic Unity Coalition achieved an important climb in the scorecard, against those who predicted its irreversible decline after the end of the Socialist Bloc in the early 1990s. For the first time, the Left Bloc, formed after the merger of several minor left-wing parties became represented in the parliament after electing two MPs. Turnout in this election was very low, only being surpassed in 2009 and 2011 when turnout was just less than 60%.

Voter turnout reached only 61% of voters, one of the lowest ever recorded.

Parties

The major parties involved were listed with their leaders:

António Guterres, leader of the Socialist Party, was nominated Prime Minister for the second time, and missed the absolute majority by one MP, achieving exactly half of the 230 MPs.

Opinion polling

See also: Exit poll and Opinion poll

The following table shows the opinion polls of voting intention of the Portuguese voters before the election. Those parties that are listed are currently represented in parliament. Included is also the result of the Portuguese general elections in 1995 and 1999 for reference.

Note, until 2000, the publication of opinion polls in the last week of the campaign was forbidden.

Date Released Polling Firm PS PSD CDU CDS-PP BE Others Lead
10 Oct 1999 Leg. Election 44.1
115 seats
32.3
81 seats
9.0
17 seats
8.3
15 seats
2.4
2 seats
3.9
0 seats
11.8
2 Oct Euroexpansão 50.0 32.0 6.0 8.0 2.0 2.0 18.0
1 Oct SEEDS 47.0 32.0 8.0 7.0 1.0 5.0 15.0
1 Oct Metris 48.0 31.0 7.0 7.0 1.0 6.0 17.0
1 Oct Universidade Católica 47.2 30.0 7.9 7.2 2.8 4.9 17.2
30 Sep Marktest 46.2 30.7 10.6 4.2 2.8 5.5 15.5
30 Sep Aximage 49.0 33.0 7.0 6.0 1.0 4.0 16.0
1999
1 Oct 1995 Leg. Election 43.8
112 seats
34.1
88 seats
8.6
15 seats
9.1
15 seats
Did not exist 4.4
0 seats
9.7

National summary of votes and seats

 Summary of the 10 October 1999 Assembly of the Republic elections results
Parties Votes % ± MPs MPs %/
votes %
1995 1999 ± % ±
Socialist 2,385,92244.06Increase0.3112115Increase350.00Increase1.31.13
Social Democratic 1,750,15832.32Decrease1.88881Decrease735.22Decrease3.11.09
Unitary Democratic Coalition[A] 487,0588.99Increase0.41517Increase27.39Increase0.90.82
People's 451,6438.34Decrease0.71515Steady06.52Steady0.00.78
Left Bloc 132,3332.44 N/A N/A2 N/A0.87 N/A0.36
Workers' Communist Party 40,0060.74Increase0.000Steady00.00Steady0.00.0
Earth Party 19,9380.37Increase0.300Steady00.00Steady0.00.0
People's Monarchist Party 16,5220.31 N/A N/A0 N/A0.00 N/A0.0
National Solidarity Party 11,4880.21Steady0.000Steady00.00Steady0.00.0
Humanist Party 7,3460.14 N/A N/A0 N/A0.00 N/A0.0
Workers Party of Socialist Unity 4,1040.08Increase0.100Steady00.00Steady0.00.0
Democratic Party of the Atlantic[B] 4380.01Decrease0.000Steady00.00Steady0.00.0
Total valid 5,306,956 98.00 Decrease0.1 230 230 Steady0 100.00 Steady0.0
Blank ballots 56,9641.05Increase0.3
Invalid ballots 51,2300.95Decrease0.1
Total (turnout 61.09%) 5,415,102 100.00 Decrease5.2
A Portuguese Communist Party (15 MPs) and "The Greens" (2 MPs) ran in coalition.[3]
B Democratic Party of the Atlantic electoral list only in Azores.
Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições
Vote share
PS
 
44.06%
PSD
 
32.32%
CDU
 
8.99%
CDS-PP
 
8.34%
BE
 
2.44%
Others/Invalides
 
3.86%
Parliamentary seats
PS
 
50.00%
PSD
 
35.22%
CDU
 
7.39%
CDS-PP
 
6.52%
BE
 
0.87%

Distribution by constituency

 Results of the 1999 election of the Portuguese Assembly of the Republic
by constituency
Constituency%S%S%S%S%S Total
S
PS PSD CDU CDS–PP BE
Azores 53.3 3 35.8 2 1.7 - 5.6 - 1.1 - 5
Aveiro 40.2 7 38.3 6 3.5 - 13.6 2 1.3 - 15
Beja 46.7 2 14.5 - 28.3 1 3.9 - 1.6 - 3
Braga 44.3 8 36.7 7 5.4 1 8.9 1 1.2 - 17
Bragança 39.7 2 45.1 2 2.6 - 8.7 - 0.8 - 4
Castelo Branco 51.6 3 32.0 2 5.3 - 6.3 - 1.2 - 5
Coimbra 47.2 6 35.2 4 6.1 - 6.0 - 2.0 - 10
EvoraÉvora 45.7 2 18.7 1 24.6 1 5.1 - 1.5 - 4
Faro 48.4 5 29.5 3 8.3 - 7.3 - 2.3 - 8
Guarda 43.4 2 39.2 2 3.2 - 9.8 - 1.1 - 4
Leiria 36.8 4 42.6 5 5.3 - 9.9 1 1.7 - 10
Lisbon 42.7 23 27.3 14 12.3 6 8.5 4 4.9 2 49
Madeira 35.1 2 46.2 3 2.8 - 10.9 - 1.2 - 5
Portalegre 51.2 2 22.5 1 15.0 - 5.9 - 1.2 - 3
Porto 48.0 19 32.7 13 6.2 2 7.5 3 2.3 - 37
Santarém 45.5 5 30.2 3 10.1 1 8.1 1 2.0 - 10
Setúbal 43.7 8 18.0 3 24.8 5 5.6 1 3.5 - 17
Viana do Castelo 40.2 3 35.8 2 5.0 - 14.0 1 1.2 - 6
Vila Real 40.8 2 45.5 3 2.4 - 6.8 - 0.8 - 5
Viseu 38.1 4 44.3 4 2.2 - 10.5 1 1.2 - 9
zEurope 55.4 2 24.7 - 5.3 - 3.2 - 0.6 - 2
zRest of the World 39.8 1 49.5 1 1.7 - 3.5 - 0.4 - 2
Total 44.1 115 32.3 81 9.0 17 8.3 15 2.4 2 230
Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições

References

See also

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