Portuguese legislative election, 1995

Portuguese legislative election, 1995
Portugal
1 October 1995
230 seats to the Portuguese Assembly
116 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party
 
Leader António Guterres Fernando Nogueira
Party PS PSD
Leader since 23 February 1992 19 February 1995
Leader's seat Castelo Branco[1] Porto[2]
Last election 72 seats, 29.1% 135 seats, 50.6%
Seats won 112 88
Seat change Increase 40 Decrease 47
Popular vote 2,583,755 2,014,589
Percentage 43.8% 34.1%
Swing Increase 14.7% Decrease 16.5%
Prime Minister before election

Aníbal Cavaco Silva
PSD

 Elected Prime Minister

António Guterres
PS

Portugal

This article is part of the series:
Politics and government of
Portugal

The Portuguese legislative election of 1995 took place on 1 October. The Socialist Party defeated the Social Democratic Party under the lead of António Guterres, elected three years before, but missed the absolute majority by 4 MPs. The Social Democratic party under the lead of Fernando Nogueira was weakened by the end of a ten years cycle of government of Cavaco Silva. The two minor parties, the People's Party and the Democratic Unity Coalition achieved only 15 MPs each, a thing that marked the growing bi-polarization of the Portuguese political map. Although turnout, in percentage point, was lower than the previous election in 1991, almost 6 million voters cast a ballot on election day, the highest figure since 1980.

Voter turnout stood at 66.3%, the lowest till then.

Parties

The major parties involved were listed with their leaders:

António Guterres, leader of the Socialist Party, was nominated Prime Minister for the first time, becoming the first socialist Prime Minister in 10 years.

Opinion Polling

See also: Exit poll and Opinion poll

The following table shows the opinion polls of voting intention of the Portuguese voters before the election. Those parties that are listed are currently represented in parliament. Included is also the result of the Portuguese general elections in 1991 and 1995 for reference.

Note, until 2000, the publication of opinion polls in the last week of the campaign was forbidden.

Date Released Polling Firm PSD PS CDU CDS-PP Others Lead
Leg. Election Election Results 34.1
88 seats		 43.8
112 seats		 8.6
15 seats		 9.1
15 seats		 4.4
0 seats		 9.7
23 Sep Metris 32.0 42.0 10.0 8.0 8.0 10.0
23 Sep Euroteste 35.0 39.0 9.0 10.0 7.0 4.0
23 Sep Euroexpansão 32.7 44.5 11.5 6.9 4.4 11.8
23 Sep Universidade Católica 35.0 40.0 9.0 10.0 6.0 5.0
22 Sep IPSOS 35.0 41.0 9.0 9.0 6.0 6.0
21 Sep Marktest 33.0 42.0 10.0 9.0 6.0 9.0
16 Sep Compta 39.0 40.0 12.0 8.0 1.0 1.0
1995
6 Oct 1991 Leg. Election 50.6
135 seats		 29.1
72 seats		 8.8
17 seats		 4.4
5 seats		 7.1
1 seats		 21.5

National summary of votes and seats

 Summary of the 1 October 1995 Assembly of the Republic elections results
Parties Votes % ± MPs MPs %/
votes %
1991 1995 ± % ±
Socialist 2,583,75543.76Increase14.772112Increase4048.70Increase17.41.11
Social Democratic 2,014,58934.12Decrease16.513588Decrease4738.26Decrease20.41.12
People's[A] 534,4709.05Increase4.7515Increase106.52Increase4.30.72
Democratic Unity Coalition[B] 506,1578.57Decrease0.21715Decrease26.52Decrease0.90.76
Workers' Communist Party 41,1370.70Decrease0.200Steady00.00Steady0.00.0
Revolutionary Socialist Party 37,6380.64Decrease0.500Steady00.00Steady0.00.0
People's Democratic Union 33,8760.57Increase0.500Steady00.00Steady0.00.0
National Solidarity Party 12,6130.21Decrease1.510Decrease10.00Decrease0.40.0
Party of the People 8,2790.14 N/A N/A0 N/A0.00 N/A0.0
Earth Party 8,2350.14 N/A N/A0 N/A0.00 N/A0.0
Earth Party / People's Monarchist Party 5,9320.10 N/A N/A0 N/A0.00 N/A0.0
Unity Movement for Workers 2,5440.04 N/A N/A0 N/A0.00 N/A0.0
Democratic Party of the Atlantic 2,5360.04Decrease0.200Steady00.00Steady0.00.0
Total valid 5,791,761 98.08 Increase0.0 230 230 Steady0 100.00 Steady0.0 —
Blank ballots 45,7930.78Decrease0.0
Invalid ballots 67,3001.14Increase0.0
Total (turnout 66.30%) 5,904,854 100.00 Decrease1.5
A In 1993, the name "People´s Party" was added to the party's name.
B Portuguese Communist Party (13 MPs) and "The Greens" (2 MPs) ran in coalition.[3]
Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições
Vote share
PS
  
 43.76%
PSD
  
 34.12%
CDS-PP
  
 9.05%
CDU
  
 8.57%
Others/Invalides
  
 4.50%
Parliamentary seats
PS
  
 48.70%
PSD
  
 38.26%
CDS-PP
  
 6.52%
CDU
  
 6.52%

Distribution by constituency

 Results of the 1995 election of the Portuguese Assembly of the
Republic by constituency
Constituency%S%S%S%S Total
S
PS PSD CDS–PP CDU
Azores 37.6 2 47.8 3 9.4 - 1.8 - 5
Aveiro 40.2 6 41.2 6 12.6 2 2.7 - 14
Beja 45.8 2 15.7 1 3.6 - 29.2 1 4
Braga 42.9 8 38.2 7 10.7 1 4.5 - 16
Bragança 40.3 2 44.8 2 9.4 - 1.9 - 4
Castelo Branco 53.2 3 32.1 2 7.2 - 5.3 - 5
Coimbra 49.1 6 34.5 4 7.1 - 5.1 - 10
EvoraÉvora 42.6 2 20.2 1 5.2 - 26.9 1 4
Faro 49.6 5 29.2 3 8.3 - 7.8 - 8
Guarda 43.7 2 39.9 2 9.9 - 2.3 - 4
Leiria 36.7 4 43.3 5 11.4 1 4.5 - 10
Lisbon 44.3 24 29.0 15 9.4 5 12.0 6 50
Madeira 32.0 2 46.1 3 12.9 - 1.3 - 5
Portalegre 50.5 2 23.4 1 6.3 - 14.0 - 3
Porto 46.7 18 36.4 14 7.8 3 6.0 2 37
Santarém 45.8 5 31.0 3 8.7 1 9.5 1 10
Setúbal 44.9 9 18.4 3 7.2 1 23.8 4 17
Viana do Castelo 38.8 3 42.1 3 11.3 - 4.6 - 6
Vila Real 40.0 2 46.0 3 7.8 - 1.9 - 5
Viseu 38.4 4 44.3 4 11.5 1 1.8 - 9
zEurope 35.1 1 33.8 1 4.4 - 6.4 - 2
zRest of the World 12.8 - 69.3 2 3.8 - 1.2 - 2
Total 43.8 112 34.1 88 9.1 15 8.6 15 230
Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições

References

  1. ↑ Assembleia da República - Deputados e Grupos Parlamentares
  2. ↑ Assembleia da República - Deputados e Grupos Parlamentares
  3. ↑ Electoral results - Assembly of the Republic

See also

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