Conservative Party of Canada leadership election, 2017

Conservative leadership election, 2017
Date May 27, 2017
Convention TBD
Resigning leader Stephen Harper
Won by TBD
Entrance Fee C$100,000
($50,000 of which is a refundable compliance deposit)[1]
Spending limit $5,000,000

The 2017 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election will be held on May 27, 2017 to choose a successor to Stephen Harper, who led the Conservative Party of Canada as its first permanent leader from 2004 following the merger of the Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative parties. Harper led the party through five federal elections: the party increased its seat count in the House of Commons in 2004, formed two minority governments in 2006, and 2008, and then a majority government in 2011. Following the defeat of his party in the October 19, 2015 election, Harper tendered his resignation as party leader on election night.[2] In a statement, Conservative Party President John Walsh said he had spoken to Harper, "and he has instructed me to reach out to the newly elected parliamentary caucus to appoint an Interim Leader and to implement the leadership selection process."[3]

Interim leadership

Conservative Party president John Walsh's letter to caucus stated that only Members of Parliament (MPs) would vote for the interim leader, but Conservative Senators pointed out that the party constitution states that the entire parliamentary caucus votes.[4][5] The caucus allowed Senators to vote, declining to adopt the provisions of the Reform Act that would have only allowed MPs to vote.[6][7]

The caucus chose Rona Ambrose, MP for Sturgeon River—Parkland, Alberta and former Minister of Health, as interim leader at its first meeting on November 5, 2015 in a vote by preferential ballot.[8][9][10] Ambrose, as the interim leader, will also serve as Leader of the Official Opposition in the Parliament of Canada until a permanent leader is chosen. She defeated Candice Bergen, Diane Finley, Mike Lake, Rob Nicholson, Erin O'Toole, and the joint ticket of Denis Lebel and Michelle Rempel in the caucus vote.[11][12][13][10][14]

Under the party's constitution, Ambrose, as the interim leader, may not run for the permanent position.[12]

Leadership election timing

Following Harper's resignation, debate emerged within the Conservative Party regarding the timing of the leadership election. Some members of the party’s national council called for a leadership convention as early as May 2016 according to Maclean's magazine.[15] However, interim leader Rona Ambrose has said there is a consensus among the party's caucus that the leadership election shouldn't be rushed and should be held sometime in 2017.[16][17][17][18] In a December 2015 interview, Ambrose said the party would take its time allowing all members, including those not already involved in politics, to build a strong candidacy. "If we take a little extra time, that will mean we'll have a better leadership race,"[19]

The Conservative Party's Leadership Election Organizing Committee (LEOC) met at Toronto's Albany Club January 15–17, 2016 to discuss the process for the Party to elect its next leader. Among its decisions, LEOC selected May 27, 2017 for Conservative Party members to elect their next leader.[20]

Rules

Only party members in good standing at 5pm Eastern Time on March 28, 2017 will be allowed to vote.[1][21] The fee for a party membership was raised to $25 from $15, an increase that was reversed on April 23, 2016 after criticisms that the move was "elitist".[22] Membership fees can only be paid via personal cheque or credit card. Cash payments will not be permitted. This new requirement is intended to prevent the election being dominated by new members, and to prevent anyone other than the individual member, such as a candidate's campaign, from signing up scores of members and paying the membership fees in cash out of campaign funds.[23]

Voting will be on a one member one vote basis using a ranked ballot; however votes will be calculated so that each electoral district have equal weight with each electoral district allocated 100 points. Candidates will be assigned a point total based on his or her percentage of the vote in each electoral district. To win, a candidate must receive at least 16,901 points which would be a majority.[1][24]

To register, candidates must:[1]

A party committee reviews the candidate's nomination form and may disqualify a potential candidate.[25] Candidates are allowed to spend a maximum of $5 million on their campaigns.[26]

Timeline

Registered candidates

Candidates who have paid their deposit and filed their nomination papers:[37]

Chris Alexander

Chris Alexander
Background

Chris Alexander, 48, is the former Minister of Citizenship and Immigration (2013–2015), and the former MP for Ajax—Pickering, Ontario (2011–2015). Prior to entering politics he was the Canadian Ambassador to Afghanistan (2003–2005)[38]

Date campaign announced: October 12, 2016[39]
Campaign website:
Supporters
Other information
His campaign is expected to focus on foreign policy and the economy. Is proposing to increase immigration to 400,000 a year including 40,000 refugees and calling for doubling defence spending and "for an accelerated push to settle all outstanding land claims and to sign treaties with First Nations communities that would empower them to govern themselves".[39] Was prominent in the Conservative government's handling of the Syrian refugee crisis and in the government's promise during the 2015 election to create a telephone tip line to report so-called "barbaric cultural practices."[40]

Maxime Bernier

Maxime Bernier
Background

Maxime Bernier, 53, is the MP for Beauce, Quebec (2006–present) and was the Shadow Minister of Innovation (2015—2016). He served in the Harper government as Minister of State for Small Business and Tourism (2011–2015), Minister of Foreign Affairs (2007–2008), and Minister of Industry (2006–2007),[41][42][43][44] Bernier is considered a libertarian and advocate of limited government.[45][46][47] Prior to entering federal politics in 2006 Bernier, a lawyer by training, was vice-president of the Standard Life of Canada Insurance company and manager of corporate and international relations at the Commission des valeurs mobilières du Québec.[48]

Date candidacy announced: April 7, 2016[49]
Campaign website: www.maximebernier.com
Supporters
Other information

Steven Blaney

Steven Blaney
Background

Steven Blaney, 51, was the Shadow Minister of Public Works and Government Services (2015–2016) for the Conservative Opposition, and is the former Minister of Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness (2013–2015), Minister of Veterans Affairs (2011–2013). He is the MP for Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis, Quebec (2015–present) and Lévis—Bellechasse, Quebec (2006-2015).

Date campaign announced: October 23, 2016[67]
Campaign website: blaney2017.ca/en/
Supporters
Other information
Supports banning the wearing of the niqab while voting, taking the citizenship oath, or by federal public servants, even if such a ban would require invoking the notwithstanding clause of the Constitution in order to override the Charter of Rights and Freedoms.[69] Also advocates testing would be citizens on their “their understanding and appreciation of Canada’s core principles.”[70]

Michael Chong

Michael Chong
Background

Michael Chong, 45, is the MP for Wellington—Halton Hills, Ontario (2004–present) and was the Deputy Shadow Minister of the Environment (2015-2016). He was Minister of Intergovernmental Affairs and Youth (2006) and Minister of Sport (2006). Chong resigned from the Harper cabinet in 2006 to protest the government's recognition of the Québécois as a nation within Canada. As a backbench MP he advocated democratic reforms in Parliament to limit the power of the Prime Minister’s Office and party leaders over their caucuses and individual MPs and introduced the Reform Act to give caucuses the option of the power to remove party leaders, elect caucus chairs, and expel or readmit MPs, and elect interim leaders.[6][71][72][73]

Date campaign announced: May 16, 2016[74]
Campaign website: www.chong.ca
Supporters
Other information

Kellie Leitch

Kellie Leitch
Background

Kellie Leitch, 46, is the MP for Simcoe—Grey, Ontario (2011–present), and was the Shadow Minister of Health (2015–2016). In the Harper cabinet she was Minister of Labour and the Status of Women (2013–2015)[43][44][83][84][85][86] She is an orthopaedic pediatric surgeon at SickKids Hospital and is an associate professor at the University of Toronto.[87]

Date campaign announced: April 6, 2016[88]
Campaign website: www.kellieworks.ca
Supporters
Other information

Pierre Lemieux

Pierre Lemieux
Background

Pierre Lemieux, 53, is the former MP for Glengarry—Prescott—Russell, Ontario (2006–2015). In the Harper government he was the Parliamentary Secretary for Official Languages (2007–2008), Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister of Agriculture (2008–2015), and Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister of Veterans Affairs (2015).[104]

Date campaign announced: August 22, 2016[104]
Campaign website: www.pierrelemieux.ca
Supporters
Other information

Dan Lindsay

Background

Dan Lindsay, 60, president of the College of Physicians and Surgeons of Manitoba, radiologist, has done five tours as a civilian medical specialist with the Canadian Armed Forces, including in Kandahar, Afghanistan.[106]

Date campaign announced: May 25, 2016[107][108]
Campaign website:
Supporters
Other information

Deepak Obhrai

Deepak Obhrai
Background

Deepak Obhrai, 66, is the MP for Calgary Forest Lawn, Alberta (2015–present), and represented Calgary East, Alberta (1997–2015), was Shadow Minister of International Development (2015–2016), and is the Dean of the Conservative Caucus. In the Harper government he was the Parliamentary Secretary for Foreign Affairs (2006–2015).[110][111][112]

Date campaign announced: July 14, 2016[113]
Campaign website: www.electdeepakobhrai.com
Supporters
Other information

Erin O'Toole

Erin O'Toole
Background

Erin O'Toole, 43, is the MP for Durham, Ontario (2012–present) and was Shadow Minister of Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness (2015–2016) for the Conservative Party in Oppositon. Previously, he served as Minister of Veterans Affairs (2015)[118][119]

Date campaign announced: October 14, 2016[120]
Campaign website: erinotoole.ca/home/
Supporters
Other information

Rick Peterson

Background

Rick Peterson, 61, venture capitalist, principal Peterson Capital, former candidate for leadership of the Conservative Party of British Columbia, party fundraiser.[125]

Date campaign announced: October 18, 2015[126]
Campaign website:
Supporters
Other information
Advocates eliminating corporate income taxes. Supports boosting terrorist surveillance and enhance security screening for immigrants.[126]

Lisa Raitt

Lisa Raitt
Background

Lisa Raitt, 48, is the MP for Milton, Ontario (2015–present), previously Halton, Ontario (2008–2015) and the former Shadow Minister of Finance (2015–2016), Minister of Transport (2013–2015), Minister of Labour (2010–2013), Minister of Natural Resources (2008–2010), President and CEO of the Toronto Port Authority (2002–2008)[41][44][84][127] Stepped down from shadow cabinet on October 14, 2016, to prepare for leadership bid.[128]

Date campaign announced: November 2, 2016[129][130]
Campaign website: www.lisa2019.ca
Supporters
Other information
Opposes Leitch's proposal to screen immigrants for "anti-Canadian values".[133]

Andrew Saxton

Andrew Saxton
Background

Andrew Saxton, 52, is the former Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister of Finance (2013–2015), Parliamentary Secretary to the President of the Treasury Board and for Western Economic Diversification (2011–2013), MP for North Vancouver (2008–2015), former chief executive officer of King George Financial Corporation.[134]

Date campaign announced: October 18, 2016[126]
Campaign website: andrewsaxton.ca
Supporters
Other information

Andrew Scheer

Andrew Scheer
Background

Andrew Scheer, 37, Opposition House Leader (2015–2016), MP for Regina—Qu'Appelle, Saskatchewan (2004–present), Speaker of the House of Commons (2011–2015).

Date campaign announced: September 28, 2016[136]
Campaign website: www.andrewscheer.com
Supporters
Other information

Running as an "unapologetic" Conservative who can unite all wings of the party.[147][148]

Brad Trost

Background

Brad Trost, 42, MP for Saskatoon—University, Saskatchewan (2015–present), had represented Saskatoon—Humboldt, Saskatchewan (2004-2015), and was appointed Official Opposition Critic for Canada-U.S. Relations (2015–2016) following the 2015 election. Prior to election, Trost worked as a geophysicist in natural resources extraction in the north. He was also an active participant in his family’s mixed grain, oilseeds and beef cattle farm operation. In his first term, he founded the Conservative Party Energy Caucus and pushed for the re-creation of the Standing Committee on Natural Resources. He has served on the Standing Committee on International Trade, and on the Standing Committee on Industry, and was elected vice-chair of the Canada-U.S. Parliamentary Association.[149]

Date campaign announced: August 16, 2016[150]
Campaign website: www.brad4leader.ca
Supporters
Other information

Withdrawn candidates

Tony Clement

Tony Clement
Background

Tony Clement, 55, is the MP for Parry Sound—Muskoka, Ontario (2006–present) and has been Shadow Minister of Foreign Affairs (2015–2016), President of the Treasury Board (2011–2015), Minister of Industry (2008–2011), Minister of Health (2006–2008), and a 2004 leadership candidate, placing third. He was an MPP in the Ontario legislature (1995–2003) and a provincial cabinet minister (1997–2003) under Premiers Mike Harris and Ernie Eves. Clement also ran for the leadership of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario in 2002, placing third.[41][43][44][83][153]

Date campaign announced: July 12, 2016[154]
Date withdrawn: October 12, 2016[155]
Campaign website: clementleadership.ca
Supporters
Other information

Potential candidates

The following have expressed interest in running for the party leadership:

  1. ^ Cite error: The named reference CPCRace114 was invoked but never defined (see the help page).
  2. ^ "Kevin O'Leary circling as key Conservatives test Tory leadership waters". CBC News. January 14, 2016. Retrieved January 14, 2016. 
  3. ^ http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/kevin-oleary-considering-campaign-staff-for-possible-tory-leadership-bid/article33011390/
  4. ^ Levitz, Stephanie (August 23, 2015). "Adrienne Snow, Toronto Consultant, Launching Conservative Leadership Bid". The Huffington Post Canada. Retrieved August 24, 2016. 

Declined

Opinion polling

The polls below were conducted before nominations for the leadership closed and therefore include potential candidates for the leadership race. Rona Ambrose, as interim leader, is ineligible to run for the permanent leadership unless there is a change to the party's constitution.

Conservative Party members

Polling firm/Link Last date
of polling		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Maxime
Bernier		 Kellie
Leitch		 Kevin
O'Leary		 Lisa
Raitt		 Other/
Undecided
Forum Research May 11, 2016 118 ± 3.0% 11% 4% 23% 2% Someone else 23%
Peter MacKay 16%
Rona Ambrose 12%
Jason Kenney 9%
Forum Research April 5, 2016 112 ± 3.0% 9% 1% 28% 2% Someone else 24%
Peter MacKay 20%
Rona Ambrose 9%
Jason Kenney 7%

Conservative Party supporters

Polling firm/Link Last date
of polling		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Maxime
Bernier		 Michael
Chong		 Kellie
Leitch		 Kevin
O'Leary		 Erin
O'Toole		 Lisa
Raitt		 Andrew
Scheer		 Other/
Undecided
Mainstreet Research November 6, 2016 1,478 ± 2.55% 11% 12% 19% — 11% 4% 14% Undecided 18%
Deepak Obhrai 3%
Brad Trost 3%
Chris Alexander 2%
Steven Blaney 1%
Dan Lindsay 0%
Andrew Saxton 0%
Forum Research October 12, 2016 355 ± 3.0% 17% 6% 6% — 2% — 6% Someone else 41%
Tony Clement 14%
Brad Trost 4%
Chris Alexander 3%
Mainstreet Research September 8, 2016 1,564 ± 2.48% 6% 7% 15% — 9% 3% 9% Peter MacKay 19%
Undecided 12%
Tony Clement 12%
Someone else 7%
Deepak Obhrai 1%
Forum Research August 6, 2016 1,345 ± 4.9% 10% 5% 4% — — — — Tony Clement 18%
Deepak Obhrai 3%
Probit Inc. June 9, 2016 2,212 ± 2.08% 11% 3% 1% 21% — 5% — Peter MacKay 27%
Jason Kenney 17%
Rona Ambrose (write-in) 4%
Tony Clement 3%
Doug Ford 3%
Michelle Rempel 3%
Other 3%
Forum Research May 11, 2016 420 ± 3.0% 6% — 3% 27% — 2% — Peter MacKay 23%
Someone else 17%
Rona Ambrose 16%
Jason Kenney 6%
Mainstreet Research April 27, 2016 1,676 ± 2.4% 6% 3% 2% 20% — 1% — Rona Ambrose 26%
Peter MacKay 16%
Undecided 10%
Tony Clement 7%
Jason Kenney 6%
Someone else 3%
8% 5% 4% 22% — 3% — Peter MacKay 23%
Undecided 16%
Tony Clement 8%
Jason Kenney 7%
Someone else 4%
EKOS April 15, 2016 1,176 ± 2.9% 4% — 2% 17% — 5% — Stephen Harper 28%
Peter MacKay 23%
Someone else 17%
Don't know 5%
Forum Research April 5, 2016 1,455 ± 3.0% 5% — 1% 24% — 4% — Peter MacKay 22%
Someone else 19%
Rona Ambrose 17%
Jason Kenney 8%
Abacus Data March 18, 2016 1,500 ± 2.6% 5% 5% 1% 27% — 8% — Peter MacKay 36%
Jason Kenney 12%
Tony Clement 6%
Mainstreet Research January 15, 2016 4,937 ± 1.4% 4% — 3% 23% — 4% — Undecided 29%
Peter MacKay 22%
Jason Kenney 8%
Someone else 3%
Abacus Data January 12, 2016 1,500 ± 2.6% 5% — 4% — — 13% — Peter MacKay 42%
Jason Kenney 19%
Tony Clement 13%
Bernard Lord 5%
Abacus Data November 25, 2015 360 ± 2.6% 6% 3% 3% — — 8% — Peter MacKay 35%
Brad Wall 17%
Jason Kenney 12%
Jean Charest 11%
Doug Ford 4%
Forum Research November 7, 2015 334 ± 3.0% — — 4% — — — — Peter MacKay 32%
John Baird 18%
Jason Kenney 16%
Rona Ambrose 12%
Michelle Rempel 7%
Tony Clement 7%
Rob Nicholson 4%

All Canadians

Polling firm/Link Last date
of polling		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Maxime
Bernier		 Michael
Chong		 Kellie
Leitch		 Kevin
O'Leary		 Erin
O'Toole		 Lisa
Raitt		 Other/
Undecided
Forum Research October 12, 2016 1,143 ± 3.0% 14% 7% 4% — 3% — Someone else 54%
Tony Clement 9%
Andrew Scheer 5%
Chris Alexander 3%
Brad Trost 2%
Ipsos September 8, 2016 1,000 ± 3.5% 15% 5% 2% 25% 2% 7% Peter MacKay 26%
Candice Bergen 10%
Tony Clement 8%
Forum Research May 11, 2016 1,517 ± 3.0% 9% — 3% 14% — 4% Someone else 35%
Peter MacKay 18%
Rona Ambrose 11%
Jason Kenney 6%
EKOS April 15, 2016 1,176 ± 2.9% 6% — 3% 9% — 4% Someone else 36%
Peter MacKay 20%
Don't know 13%
Stephen Harper 11%
Forum Research April 5, 2016 1,455 ± 3.0% 9% — 2% 14% — 6% Someone else 35%
Peter MacKay 18%
Rona Ambrose 10%
Jason Kenney 6%
Abacus Data March 18, 2016 1,500 ± 2.6% 10% 6% 3% 18% — 12% Peter MacKay 33%
Tony Clement 9%
Jason Kenney 8%
Abacus Data November 25, 2015 360 ± 2.6% 8% 7% 4% — — 10% Peter MacKay 31%
Jean Charest 15%
Jason Kenney 10%
Brad Wall 9%
Doug Ford 8%
Forum Research November 7, 2015 334 ± 3.0% — — 9% — — — Peter MacKay 29%
Rona Ambrose 14%
John Baird 14%
Jason Kenney 11%
Michelle Rempel 11%
Tony Clement 7%
Rob Nicholson 6%

References

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