South Korean presidential election, 2017

South Korean presidential election, 2017
South Korea
in or before 20 December 2017
Incumbent President

Park Geun-hye
Saenuri
South Korea
This article is part of a series on the
politics and government of
South Korea
Constitution

The 19th South Korean presidential election is scheduled to be held on or before 20 December 2017. Under present law, the election will be decided in a single round on a first-past-the-post basis. The incumbent president, Park Geun-hye, is limited to a single term in office, and cannot seek re-election.[1] The president-elect will take office on 25 February 2018.

Background

Park Geun-hye of the conservative Saenuri Party won the previous presidential election in 2012, succeeding Lee Myung-bak from the same party.

The Saenuri Party lost the parliamentary election in April 2016, oppositions include the opposition liberal Minjoo Party of Korea and People's Party gain majority in the National Assembly. Commentators described the result as leaving Park a lame duck president, whereas she may not run again under South Korean one-term presidency rule.[2][3][4] and the Nikkei Asian Review noted that in the wake of her "crushing defeat", "rivals sense a prime opportunity to complete the power shift in the December 2017 presidential vote".[2] The Korea Times stated that "the drama of deals and power struggles for next year's election has already begun".[5]

Potential candidates

The four parties represented in the National Assembly are the ruling conservative Saenuri Party, the liberal Minjoo Party of Korea, the centrist People's Party, and the progressive Justice Party. Potential candidates are listed below by their present party-political affiliation.

Minjoo Party of Korea (Democratic Party)

Nonpartisan

People's Party

Saenuri Party

Justice Party

Opinion polling

Date Polling firm Saenuri candidate % Democratic candidate % Third candidate % Lead
14-15 Nov 2016 Realmeter Ban Ki-moon 31.5 Moon Jae-in (Minjoo) 32.7 Ahn Cheol-soo (People's) 22.8 1.2
Ban Ki-moon 37.6 Moon Jae-in (Minjoo) 46.2 8.6
Ban Ki-moon 37.2 Ahn Cheol-soo (People's) 39.9 2.7
19-20 Sep 2016 Realmeter Ban Ki-moon 38.5 Moon Jae-in (Minjoo) 30.6 Ahn Cheol-soo (People's) 18.0 7.9
Ban Ki-moon 46.7 Moon Jae-in (Minjoo) 38.4 8.3
Ban Ki-moon 46.3 Ahn Cheol-soo (People's) 32.5 13.8
13-14 Jun 2016 Realmeter Ban Ki-moon 36.5 Moon Jae-in (Minjoo) 34.9 Ahn Cheol-soo (People's) 19.0 1.6
Ban Ki-moon 44.2 Moon Jae-in (Minjoo) 44.9 0.7
Ban Ki-moon 40.9 Ahn Cheol-soo (People's) 33.7 7.2
18–19 Apr 2016 Realmeter Ban Ki-moon 42.3 Moon Jae-in (Minjoo) 42.8 0.5
Ban Ki-moon 41.0 Ahn Cheol-soo (People's) 32.3 8.7
14–15 Mar 2016 Realmeter Kim Moo-sung 45.0 Moon Jae-in (Minjoo) 44.0 1.0
Kim Moo-sung 44.2 Ahn Cheol-soo (People's) 37.2 7.0
17–19 Feb 2016 Realmeter Kim Moo-sung 45.0 Moon Jae-in (Minjoo) 44.3 0.7
Kim Moo-sung 43.8 Ahn Cheol-soo (People's) 37.7 6.1

References

  1. 1 2 "Ban looms large in S. Korea's opinion polls". The Korea Herald. 29 September 2015. Retrieved 17 April 2016.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Minegishi, Hiroshi (15 April 2016). "South Korean politicians jostle to succeed lamest of ducks". Nikkei Asian Review. Retrieved 17 April 2016.
  3. ↑ "Vote defeat for South Korea's Park raises 'lame duck' prospect". Reuters. 14 April 2016. Retrieved 17 April 2016.
  4. ↑ "Conservative rout leaves South Korea's Park Geun-hye a lame duck". The Australian. 14 April 2016. Retrieved 17 April 2016.
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Jun, Ji-hye (13 April 2016). "Attention to shift to 2017 presidential race". The Korea Times. Retrieved 17 April 2016.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Split voting could boost fate of People's Party". Korea JoongAng Daily. 12 April 2016. Retrieved 24 April 2016.
  7. ↑ Jun, Ji-hye (14 April 2016). "Kim Chong-in solidifies leadership with election victory". The Korea Times. Retrieved 17 April 2016.
  8. ↑ Klingner, Bruce (22 April 2016). "Lame duck president or parliament?". The Korea Times. Retrieved 24 April 2016.
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