Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2012
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A state election occurred in Schleswig-Holstein on 6 May 2012.[1][2] All 69 seats in the Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein were contested in this election.
Exit polling results predicted a close race, with 30.6% for the CDU, 8.3% for the FDP, 29.9% for the SPD, 14% for the Greens, 8% for the Pirates, and 4.5% for the minority Danish SSW. The Left Party failed to achieve enough votes to pass the minimum threshold for representation.[3]
After the elections, SPD held coalition talks with the Greens and SSW, which have 35 seats altogether. The proposed coalition is dubbed as the Danish traffic light or Namibia coalition due to the participation of SSW. After the parties reached an agreement, SPD leader Albig was chosen by the Landtag as the new Minister-President with 37 votes on 12 June 2012.
Polls
Opinion polls
The following opinion polls were conducted during the campaign:
| Pollster | Date | CDU | SPD | FDP | Greens | The Left | SSW | Pirates | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GMS[4] | 2012-05-02 | 32% | 33% | 6% | 12% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 3% |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[5] | 2012-04-27 | 31% | 31% | 7% | 12,5% | 2,5% | 4% | 9% | 3% |
| Infratest dimap[6] | 2012-04-26 | 30% | 32% | 6% | 13% | 2,5% | 4,5% | 9% | 3% |
| Infratest dimap[7] | 2012-04-19 | 31% | 32% | 5% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 3% |
| Infratest dimap[8] | 2012-04-19 | 31% | 32% | 5% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 3% |
| Infratest dimap[9] | 2012-04-12 | 32% | 32% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 2% |
| Infratest dimap[10] | 2012-03-29 | 34% | 32% | 4% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 2% |
| Infratest dimap[11] | 2012-03-16 | 34% | 33% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 2% |
| Forsa[12] | 2012-03-05 | 35% | 35% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% |
| Infratest dimap[13] | 2012-02-17 | 33% | 33% | 3% | 16% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% |
| Emnid[14] | 2012-01-20 | 34% | 32% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 2% |
| Forsa[15] | 2011-11-18 | 33% | 32% | 3% | 17% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 3% |
| Infratest dimap[16] | 2011-09-28 | 30% | 34% | 3% | 21% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
| Forsa[17] | 2011-08-17 | 30% | 32% | 4% | 19% | 4% | 4% | – | 7% |
| Infratest dimap[18] | 2011-05-17 | 33% | 31% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 4% | 1 %[19] | 3% |
Minister-President preference
Pollsters also asked about voter preferences for the next Minister-President:
| Pollster | Date | Jost de Jager (CDU) |
Torsten Albig (SPD) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[20] | 2012-04-27 | 29% | 44% |
| Infratest dimap | 2012-04-26 | 27% | 49% |
| Infratest dimap | 2012-04-19 | 32% | 56% |
| Infratest dimap | 2012-04-12 | 31% | 53% |
| Infratest dimap | 2012-03-29 | 33% | 49% |
| Infratest dimap | 2012-02-17 | 29% | 45% |
| Infratest dimap | 2011-09-28 | 27% | 45% |
| Forsa | 2011-08-17 | 30% | 34% |
Results
Angela Merkel, Jost de Jager and Susanne Herold (L to R)
| Party | Popular vote | Seats | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | +/– | Seats | +/– | |||
| Christian Democratic Union Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands - CDU | 408,573 | 30.8 |  0.7 | 22 | 12 | ||
| Social Democratic Party of Germany Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands - SPD | 403,783 | 30.4 |  5.0 | 22 | 3 | ||
| Alliance '90/The Greens Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | 174,752 | 13.2 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 | ||
| Free Democratic Party Freie Demokratische Partei – FDP | 108,902 | 8.2 | 6.7 | 6 | 8 | ||
| Pirate Party Germany Piraten Partei Deutschlands | 108,740 | 8.2 | 6.4 | 6 | 6 | ||
| South Schleswig Voter Federationa Südschleswigscher Wählerverband – SSW | 61,022 | 4.6 | 0.3 | 3 | 1 | ||
| Left Die Linke | 29,868 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 0 | 6 | ||
| Other parties | 32,032 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Valid votes | 1,327,672 | 59.3 | 12.8 |
||||
| Invalid votes | 19,585 | 0.9 | 0 | ||||
| Totals and voter turnout | 1,347,257 | 60.1 | 13.5 |
69 | 26 | ||
| Electorate | 2,240,148 | 100.00 | — | ||||
| Note: a As representation of the Danish minority in Schleswig-Holstein, South Schleswig Voter Federation does not need to gain a minimum of 5 percent of the votes to obtain seats in the parliament, as all other parties do. | |||||||
References
- ↑ "Schleswig-Holstein wählt im Mai 2012", Welt (in German), 15 March 2011, retrieved 12 January 2012
- ↑ "Landtagswahl 2012". Schleswig-Holstein.de (in German). Retrieved 12 January 2012.
- ↑ "Close race in German state elections with center-right poised to lose majority". Washington Post. Associated Press. 6 May 2012. Retrieved 7 May 2012.
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- ↑ "LN-Umfrage: Schleswig-Holsteiner strafen CDU für Sex-Affäre ab" [LN poll: Schleswig-Holsteiner punish CDU for sex affair]. ln-online.de (in German). Retrieved 17 August 2011.
- ↑ "Wahlumfragen zur Landtagswahl in Schleswig-Holstein" [Opinion polls for Schleswig-Holstein parliamentary election]. Wahlrecht.de (in German).
- ↑ "Umfragen von Infratest dimap zur Landtagswahl" [Infratest dimap polls for state elections] (in German). Infratest dimap. 27 September 2011. Retrieved 7 May 2012.
- ↑ "Unklare Mehrheitsverhältnisse in Kiel" [Unclear majority in Kiel]. ZDF Politbarometer Extra (in German). ZDF. 27 April 2012. Retrieved 7 May 2012.
- ↑ "Landtagswahl in Schleswig-Holstein am 6. Mai 2012" (in German). Statistical Office for Schleswig-Holstein and Hamburg. 7 May 2012. Retrieved 7 May 2012.
See also: Elections in the Free State of Prussia |
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