Opinion polling for the Spanish general election, 2016
In the run up to the 2016 Spanish general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 20 December 2015, to the present day. The next general election will be held on 26 June 2016.
Party vote
Graphical summary
Poll results
Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.
- Color key:
Multi-scenario poll Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls Exit poll
w/ Unidos Podemos
- Color key:
Multi-scenario poll Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls Exit poll
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
TO | _Logo.svg.png){kind=logo} |
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| General Election | 26.06.16 | N/A | 66.2% | 33.0 | 22.6 | 21.2 | 13.0 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 10.4 |
| Sigma Dos | 26.06.16 (20:00) | 132,000 | ? | 28.5 | 22.0 | 25.6 | 11.8 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.9 |
| Sigma Dos | 26.06.16 (16:00) | ? | ? | 29.1 | 22.7 | 25.6 | 11.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.5 |
| Sigma Dos | 26.06.16 (12:45) | ? | ? | 30.0 | 22.7 | 24.6 | 10.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.4 |
| PP | 25.06.16 | ? | 70% | 29.5 | 20.1 | 26.3 | 14.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.2 |
| GESOP | 22.06.16–25.06.16 | 1,000 | 69% | 28.7 | 21.6 | 23.9 | 14.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.8 |
| GESOP | 22.06.16–24.06.16 | 900 | 71% | 28.7 | 21.6 | 23.7 | 14.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.0 |
| GAD3 | 13.06.16–24.06.16 | 4,000 | ? | 30.4 | 21.8 | 24.8 | 13.2 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 5.6 |
| GESOP | 21.06.16–23.06.16 | 900 | 70% | 28.0 | 21.8 | 24.0 | 15.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.0 |
| GESOP | 20.06.16–22.06.16 | 900 | 70% | 28.2 | 21.7 | 23.6 | 15.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.6 |
| GESOP | 19.06.16–21.06.16 | 900 | 69% | 28.5 | 21.5 | 23.7 | 15.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.8 |
| GESOP | 18.06.16–20.06.16 | 900 | 70% | 29.0 | 21.5 | 23.7 | 14.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.3 |
| GAD3 | 13.06.16–20.06.16 | 1,900 | ? | 30.7 | 21.2 | 24.9 | 14.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.8 |
| GIPEyOP | 06.06.16–20.06.16 | 10,244 | ? | 29.5 | 22.0 | 24.5 | 14.5 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 | — | 5.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados | 19.06.16 | 1,000 | ? | 29.4 | 21.5 | 24.9 | 15.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.5 |
| JM & Asociados | 19.06.16 | ? | ? | 29.8 | 22.1 | 23.9 | 13.9 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 5.9 |
| Invymark | 17.06.16–19.06.16 | 1,200 | ? | 30.1 | 19.9 | 26.1 | 13.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.0 |
| GESOP | 17.06.16–19.06.16 | 900 | 71% | 28.3 | 21.9 | 24.0 | 14.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.3 |
| TNS Demoscopia | 13.06.16–19.06.16 | 500 | 70.5% | 29.6 | 21.0 | 24.7 | 14.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.9 |
| Encuestamos | 11.06.16–19.06.16 | 2,400 | ? | 30.6 | 22.0 | 23.9 | 13.6 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 6.7 |
| GESOP | 16.06.16–18.06.16 | 900 | 72% | 28.8 | 21.6 | 23.7 | 15.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.1 |
| GESOP | 15.06.16–17.06.16 | 900 | 71% | 28.3 | 21.2 | 24.2 | 15.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.1 |
| Celeste-Tel | 14.06.16–17.06.16 | 1,100 | 66.5% | 30.5 | 21.8 | 25.3 | 13.3 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 5.2 |
| A+M | 13.06.16–17.06.16 | 4,000 | 68.8% | 28.8 | 21.7 | 24.3 | 16.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 4.5 |
| HM-AI | 11.06.16–17.06.16 | 1,450 | 68.8% | 30.4 | 21.0 | 26.2 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 4.2 |
| Netquest | 07.06.16–17.06.16 | 2,000 | ? | 30.4 | 20.4 | 24.0 | 15.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.4 |
| NC Report | 05.06.16–17.06.16 | 2,000 | 64.6% | 31.1 | 21.2 | 25.4 | 13.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 5.7 |
| Invymark | 15.06.16–16.06.16 | ? | ? | 29.8 | 20.4 | 25.3 | 14.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.5 |
| Sigma Dos | 14.06.16–16.06.16 | 1,500 | ? | 30.5 | 20.0 | 24.8 | 14.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | — | — | 5.7 |
| GESOP | 14.06.16–16.06.16 | 900 | 70% | 28.6 | 20.8 | 24.1 | 15.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.5 |
| GAD3 | 13.06.16–16.06.16 | 1,400 | ? | 30.3 | 21.4 | 24.6 | 14.4 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 5.7 |
| Celeste-Tel | 13.06.16–16.06.16 | 1,100 | 66.4% | 30.3 | 21.8 | 25.1 | 13.4 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 5.2 |
| MyWord | 13.06.16–16.06.16 | 1,502 | ? | 28.9 | 20.4 | 24.8 | 14.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.1 |
| DYM | 14.06.16–15.06.16 | 1,011 | 72.5% | 29.0 | 21.0 | 24.9 | 15.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.1 |
| Metroscopia | 13.06.16–15.06.16 | 1,800 | 70% | 29.0 | 20.5 | 26.0 | 14.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.0 |
| GESOP | 13.06.16–15.06.16 | 900 | 69% | 28.3 | 20.8 | 24.5 | 15.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.8 |
| Advice Strategic | 05.06.16–15.06.16 | 2,500 | ? | 29.6 | 20.5 | 25.1 | 14.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.5 |
| Simple Lógica | 01.06.16–15.06.16 | 1,226 | 70.9% | 29.2 | 22.5 | 23.5 | 15.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.7 |
| GESOP | 12.06.16–14.06.16 | 900 | 70% | 27.8 | 21.1 | 24.7 | 15.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.1 |
| Redondo & Asociados | 09.06.16–14.06.16 | 1,000 | ? | 29.2 | 21.1 | 24.6 | 15.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 4.6 |
| Celeste-Tel | 08.06.16–14.06.16 | 1,100 | 66.3% | 29.8 | 22.0 | 24.9 | 13.8 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 4.9 |
| JM & Asociados | 13.06.16 | ? | 69.0% | 29.2 | 21.1 | 24.4 | 15.1 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 4.8 |
| GESOP | 11.06.16–13.06.16 | 900 | 71% | 28.0 | 21.0 | 24.9 | 14.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.1 |
| TNS Demoscopia | 06.06.16–12.06.16 | 500 | 69.5% | 29.0 | 21.3 | 24.5 | 15.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.5 |
| NC Report | 10.06.16 | ? | ? | 30.6 | 21.3 | 24.8 | 13.7 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 5.8 |
| SyM Consulting | 07.06.16–10.06.16 | 1,816 | 72.8% | 29.7 | 22.9 | 24.4 | 13.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.3 |
| Invymark | 06.06.16–10.06.16 | ? | ? | 30.1 | 20.0 | 24.8 | 14.4 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | — | — | 5.3 |
| Netquest | 01.06.16–10.06.16 | 2,000 | ? | 28.8 | 21.0 | 24.7 | 15.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.1 |
| Sondaxe | 01.06.16–09.06.16 | 1,005 | ? | 29.2 | 21.4 | 26.1 | 12.9 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | — | 3.1 |
| Metroscopia | 07.06.16–08.06.16 | 1,200 | 70% | 28.9 | 20.8 | 25.4 | 15.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.5 |
| GESOP | 03.06.16–07.06.16 | 1,816 | ? | 27.9 | 21.2 | 24.5 | 15.5 | 2.3 | 1.6 | — | — | — | 3.4 |
| Celeste-Tel | 01.06.16–07.06.16 | 1,100 | 65.6% | 29.7 | 22.1 | 24.4 | 14.3 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 5.3 |
| GAD3 | 03.06.16–06.06.16 | 1,016 | 70% | 29.8 | 21.4 | 24.3 | 14.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 5.5 |
| Encuestamos | 26.05.16–05.06.16 | 2,000 | ? | 30.4 | 21.9 | 23.6 | 13.6 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 6.8 |
| Netquest | 01.06.16–03.06.16 | 1,000 | ? | 27.7 | 21.6 | 24.3 | 15.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.4 |
| NC Report | 30.05.16–03.06.16 | 2,000 | 63.9% | 30.5 | 21.4 | 24.5 | 13.9 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 6.0 |
| Sigma Dos | 31.05.16–02.06.16 | 1,000 | ? | 31.0 | 20.3 | 23.7 | 14.0 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.3 | — | — | 7.3 |
| JM & Asociados | 01.06.16 | ? | 69.5% | 28.7 | 21.7 | 24.1 | 14.8 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 4.6 |
| PSOE | 01.06.16 | 1,000 | ? | 27.9 | 23.8 | 22.4 | 14.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.1 |
| Metroscopia | 31.05.16–01.06.16 | 1,200 | 68% | 28.5 | 20.2 | 25.6 | 16.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.9 |
| NC Report | 16.05.16–27.05.16 | 2,000 | ? | 30.5 | 21.3 | 24.7 | 14.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 5.8 |
| GAD3 | 23.05.16–26.05.16 | 1,000 | 70% | 29.6 | 21.6 | 22.5 | 14.8 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 7.1 |
| Advice Strategic | 19.05.16–25.05.16 | 2,500 | ? | 29.8 | 20.4 | 24.4 | 14.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.4 |
| MyWord | 20.05.16–24.05.16 | 1,000 | ? | 29.2 | 20.7 | 24.8 | 14.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.4 |
| CIS | 04.05.16–22.05.16 | 17,488 | ? | 29.2 | 21.2 | 25.6 | 14.6 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 3.6 |
| Encuestamos | 02.05.16–22.05.16 | 2,000 | ? | 30.3 | 22.9 | 23.2 | 13.9 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 7.1 |
| Celeste-Tel | 16.05.16–20.05.16 | 1,100 | 65.0% | 29.5 | 22.0 | 24.2 | 14.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 5.3 |
| NC Report | 09.05.16–20.05.16 | 2,500 | 63.5% | 30.4 | 21.1 | 24.9 | 14.5 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 5.5 |
| Metroscopia | 17.05.16–18.05.16 | 1,200 | ? | 29.9 | 20.2 | 23.2 | 15.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.7 |
| GIPEyOP | 12.05.16–18.05.16 | 2,940 | ? | 29.3 | 21.9 | 24.3 | 13.3 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 5.0 |
| Redondo & Asociados | 13.05.16–17.05.16 | 1,000 | 70.1% | 29.4 | 21.2 | 24.3 | 15.1 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 5.1 |
| JM & Asociados | 13.05.16 | ? | 69.2% | 27.8 | 20.3 | 24.5 | 16.6 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 3.3 |
| Netquest | 10.05.16–13.05.16 | 1,000 | ? | 30.8 | 19.7 | 23.7 | 14.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 7.1 |
| Invymark | 09.05.16–13.05.16 | ? | ? | 29.6 | 20.1 | 24.2 | 15.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.4 |
| NC Report | 09.05.16–12.05.16 | 1,500 | ? | 30.2 | 21.0 | 24.9 | 14.7 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 5.3 |
| NC Report | 25.04.16–07.05.16 | 2,000 | 63.6% | 30.2 | 20.8 | 24.7 | 15.0 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 5.5 |
| Celeste-Tel | 02.05.16–06.05.16 | 1,100 | 64.5% | 29.2 | 22.4 | 24.2 | 15.5 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 5.0 |
| Encuestamos | 23.04.16–02.05.16 | 1,800 | ? | 30.0 | 22.8 | 23.9 | 14.1 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 6.1 |
| NC Report | 18.04.16–30.04.16 | 2,000 | 63.9% | 30.1 | 20.7 | 24.5 | 15.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 5.6 |
| GAD3 | 26.04.16–29.04.16 | 800 | 68% | 29.7 | 23.2 | 20.9 | 14.0 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 6.5 |
| Metroscopia | 26.04.16–28.04.16 | 1,200 | 70% | 29.0 | 20.3 | 22.3 | 16.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.7 |
| NC Report | 18.04.16–23.04.16 | 2,000 | 63.9% | 30.2 | 20.9 | 24.1 | 15.5 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 6.1 |
| JM & Asociados | 22.04.16 | ? | 68.6% | 27.8 | 20.0 | 25.2 | 16.5 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.6 |
| Sigma Dos | 18.04.16–22.04.16 | 800 | ? | 29.8 | 22.9 | 21.5 | 15.2 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | — | — | 6.9 |
| NC Report | 12.04.16–16.04.16 | 2,400 | 64.5% | 30.1 | 21.0 | 23.7 | 15.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 6.4 |
| NC Report | 04.04.16–09.04.16 | 2,300 | ? | 30.0 | 21.4 | 23.1 | 15.8 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 6.9 |
| Metroscopia | 05.04.16–06.04.16 | 1,200 | 70% | 29.0 | 20.1 | 20.8 | 17.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 8.2 |
| Redondo & Asociados | 28.03.16–04.04.16 | 1,000 | 69.7% | 29.1 | 21.8 | 24.0 | 15.7 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 5.1 |
| NC Report | 22.03.16–02.04.16 | 1,800 | ? | 29.8 | 22.1 | 22.1 | 15.8 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 7.7 |
| NC Report | 22.03.16–27.03.16 | 900 | ? | 29.8 | 22.4 | 22.3 | 15.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 7.4 |
| Redondo & Asociados | 16.12.15–25.01.16 | 13,000 | ? | 29.8 | 19.4 | 25.6 | 10.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.2 |
| IMOP | 09.01.16–11.01.16 | 1,000 | 69% | 31.4 | 23.5 | 22.9 | 11.8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | — | 7.9 |
w/o Unidos Podemos
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
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| Simple Lógica | 02.05.16–10.05.16 | 1,035 | 71.7% | 29.9 | 21.5 | 14.2 | 17.7 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 8.4 |
| Celeste-Tel | 02.05.16–06.05.16 | 1,100 | 64.5% | 29.1 | 21.9 | 19.8 | 15.4 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7.2 |
| Encuestamos | 23.04.16–02.05.16 | 1,800 | ? | 30.0 | 22.8 | 19.1 | 14.1 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 7.2 |
| NC Report | 18.04.16–30.04.16 | 2,000 | 63.9% | 29.9 | 20.4 | 20.9 | 15.0 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 9.0 |
| GAD3 | 26.04.16–29.04.16 | 800 | 69% | 29.3 | 22.6 | 17.0 | 13.9 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 6.7 |
| Invymark | 25.04.16–29.04.16 | 1,200 | ? | 28.7 | 19.4 | 20.7 | 15.4 | 4.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 8.0 |
| Metroscopia | 26.04.16–28.04.16 | 1,200 | 70% | 29.0 | 20.3 | 18.1 | 16.9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 8.7 |
| NC Report | 18.04.16–23.04.16 | 2,000 | 63.9% | 29.9 | 20.5 | 21.2 | 15.2 | 4.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 8.7 |
| Netquest[C] | 18.04.16–22.04.16 | 1,000 | ? | 29.1 | 19.2 | 19.9 | 16.1 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 9.2 |
| Netquest[SS] | 18.04.16–22.04.16 | 1,000 | ? | 30.9 | 20.0 | 19.9 | 15.8 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 10.9 |
| Netquest[D] | 18.04.16–22.04.16 | 1,000 | ? | 26.2 | 18.3 | 20.2 | 17.8 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.0 |
| Netquest[RS] | 18.04.16–22.04.16 | 1,000 | ? | 27.0 | 20.6 | 20.0 | 17.9 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.4 |
| Netquest | 18.04.16–22.04.16 | 1,000 | ? | 27.3 | 20.2 | 18.7 | 17.0 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 7.1 |
| Sigma Dos | 18.04.16–22.04.16 | 800 | ? | 29.5 | 22.2 | 18.6 | 14.7 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | — | — | 7.3 |
| Encuestamos | 01.04.16–20.04.16 | 2,000 | ? | 30.3 | 23.0 | 19.4 | 14.2 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 7.3 |
| NC Report | 12.04.16–16.04.16 | 2,400 | 64.5% | 29.8 | 20.7 | 20.9 | 15.4 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 8.9 |
| Invymark | 11.04.16–15.04.16 | ? | ? | 28.6 | 20.4 | 19.2 | 15.8 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 8.2 |
| TNS Demoscopia | 12.04.16–14.04.16 | 1,000 | 68.5% | 29.4 | 22.3 | 17.5 | 15.8 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 7.1 |
| NC Report | 07.04.16–14.04.16 | 955 | ? | 30.7 | 21.2 | 21.9 | 14.5 | 4.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 8.8 |
| JM & Asociados | 13.04.16 | ? | 66.9% | 27.9 | 19.8 | 20.9 | 17.0 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 7.0 |
| Simple Lógica | 04.04.16–12.04.16 | 1,047 | 73.8% | 28.3 | 20.6 | 16.9 | 17.7 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 7.7 |
| IMOP | 06.04.16–10.04.16 | 1,027 | 69% | 28.8 | 22.2 | 15.6 | 16.6 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | — | 6.6 |
| Advice Strategic | 04.04.16–10.04.16 | 2,500 | ? | 29.1 | 21.7 | 17.4 | 16.0 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | — | — | 7.4 |
| CIS | 01.04.16–10.04.16 | 2,490 | ? | 27.4 | 21.6 | 17.7 | 15.6 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 5.8 |
| NC Report | 04.04.16–09.04.16 | 2,300 | ? | 29.6 | 21.0 | 20.4 | 15.5 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 8.6 |
| GAD3 | 06.04.16–07.04.16 | 800 | 68% | 29.2 | 23.3 | 15.5 | 14.4 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 5.9 |
| Metroscopia | 05.04.16–06.04.16 | 1,200 | 70% | 29.0 | 20.1 | 17.0 | 17.7 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 8.9 |
| DYM | 30.03.16–06.04.16 | 1,036 | ? | 29.2 | 20.7 | 19.6 | 15.2 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 8.5 |
| Celeste-Tel | 01.04.16–05.04.16 | 1,100 | 64.9% | 29.1 | 22.2 | 19.4 | 15.9 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 6.9 |
| Redondo & Asociados | 28.03.16–04.04.16 | 1,000 | 69.7% | 29.1 | 21.8 | 19.1 | 15.7 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 7.3 |
| NC Report | 22.03.16–02.04.16 | 1,800 | ? | 29.4 | 21.8 | 19.2 | 15.5 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 7.6 |
| Invymark | 28.03.16–01.04.16 | 1,200 | ? | 28.6 | 21.6 | 19.9 | 15.2 | 4.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 7.0 |
| Sigma Dos | 28.03.16–31.03.16 | 800 | ? | 30.2 | 22.0 | 16.7 | 16.2 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.1 | — | — | 8.2 |
| Metroscopia | 28.03.16–30.03.16 | 1,200 | 73% | 27.7 | 21.0 | 15.9 | 18.8 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.7 |
| Netquest | 23.03.16–30.03.16 | 1,002 | ? | 27.5 | 19.3 | 17.3 | 16.9 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 8.2 |
| NC Report | 22.03.16–27.03.16 | 900 | ? | 29.4 | 22.0 | 19.4 | 15.3 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 7.4 |
| Encuestamos | 01.03.16–20.03.16 | 2,000 | ? | 30.1 | 23.2 | 19.6 | 14.2 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 6.9 |
| NC Report | 13.03.16–17.03.16 | 1,000 | 64.7% | 29.3 | 22.1 | 19.5 | 15.1 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 7.2 |
| MyWord | 10.03.16–14.03.16 | 1,004 | ? | 27.0 | 20.9 | 15.9 | 18.0 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.1 |
| Invymark | 07.03.16–11.03.16 | ? | ? | 28.5 | 20.8 | 21.5 | 14.3 | 4.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.6 |
| NC Report | 01.02.16–11.03.16 | 2,300 | ? | 29.3 | 22.0 | 19.8 | 15.1 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 7.3 |
| GAD3 | 07.03.16–10.03.16 | 800 | 67% | 28.2 | 24.2 | 18.7 | 14.1 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 4.0 |
| Metroscopia | 08.03.16–09.03.16 | 1,200 | 75% | 26.0 | 23.1 | 16.8 | 19.5 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.9 |
| Sondaxe | 05.03.16–09.03.16 | 1,002 | ? | 28.6 | 22.0 | 19.1 | 15.6 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 6.6 |
| Simple Lógica | 01.03.16–09.03.16 | 1,206 | 72.5% | 26.2 | 21.6 | 18.3 | 17.1 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.6 |
| GESOP | 05.03.16–08.03.16 | 1,000 | ? | 26.4 | 21.9 | 18.1 | 17.8 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 | — | — | — | 4.5 |
| Celeste-Tel | 02.03.16–05.03.16 | 1,100 | 66.1% | 28.6 | 22.6 | 19.6 | 15.7 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 6.0 |
| NC Report | 01.02.16–04.03.16 | 1,400 | 65.0% | 29.2 | 21.8 | 20.2 | 14.9 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 7.4 |
| JM & Asociados | 03.03.16 | ? | 67.3% | 26.5 | 20.2 | 20.9 | 16.9 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 5.6 |
| Invymark | 22.02.16–26.02.16 | 1,200 | ? | 26.8 | 20.3 | 22.1 | 15.8 | 4.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.7 |
| DYM | 19.02.16–23.02.16 | 1,071 | ? | 25.6 | 22.1 | 19.8 | 17.6 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.5 |
| Invymark | 15.02.16–19.02.16 | ? | ? | 26.4 | 21.8 | 20.7 | 16.2 | 4.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.6 |
| Sigma Dos | 16.02.16–18.02.16 | 1,000 | ? | 27.8 | 23.1 | 18.8 | 15.3 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 | — | — | 4.7 |
| NC Report | 10.02.16–18.02.16 | 1,400 | 65.3% | 28.9 | 21.4 | 21.1 | 14.2 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 7.5 |
| Encuestamos | 01.02.16–17.02.16 | 1,800 | ? | 27.7 | 24.2 | 20.5 | 13.9 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 3.5 |
| GIPEyOP | 07.02.16–16.02.16 | 1,960 | ? | 27.1 | 22.3 | 22.3 | 14.9 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | — | 4.8 |
| GAD3 | 08.02.16–11.02.16 | 800 | 68% | 27.9 | 20.8 | 21.4 | 14.9 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 6.5 |
| JM & Asociados | 07.02.16 | ? | 70.5% | 27.8 | 20.4 | 21.2 | 14.9 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 6.6 |
| Simple Lógica | 01.02.16–05.02.16 | 1,048 | 75.6% | 26.9 | 21.7 | 20.3 | 18.9 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.2 |
| Celeste-Tel | 01.02.16–05.02.16 | 1,100 | 66.6% | 28.5 | 22.4 | 20.4 | 15.1 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 6.1 |
| Invymark | 01.02.16–05.02.16 | ? | ? | 27.8 | 21.1 | 21.6 | 15.1 | 3.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.2 |
| Metroscopia | 03.02.16–04.02.16 | 1,000 | 73% | 24.0 | 23.3 | 19.9 | 18.5 | 4.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.7 |
| GAD3 | 15.01.16–21.01.16 | 802 | 70% | 30.1 | 21.3 | 20.0 | 13.4 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 8.8 |
| NC Report | 04.01.16–21.01.16 | 1,900 | 65.6% | 30.7 | 21.1 | 21.9 | 12.0 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 8.8 |
| MyWord | 15.01.16–19.01.16 | 1,000 | ? | 28.0 | 21.3 | 20.3 | 14.4 | 4.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.7 |
| Redondo & Asociados | 16.01.16 | ? | ? | 30.5 | 20.7 | 22.8 | 10.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7.7 |
| Invymark | 11.01.16–15.01.16 | ? | ? | 30.8 | 20.8 | 21.6 | 12.6 | 3.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 9.2 |
| Celeste-Tel | 04.01.16–15.01.16 | 1,100 | 67.5% | 30.2 | 21.9 | 22.2 | 12.6 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 8.0 |
| NC Report | 04.01.16–15.01.16 | 955 | ? | 30.5 | 22.1 | 20.7 | 13.4 | 3.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 8.4 |
| Encuestamos | 01.01.16–15.01.16 | 1,800 | ? | 33.2 | 22.2 | 21.4 | 10.9 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 6.5 |
| Metroscopia | 12.01.16–14.01.16 | 1,200 | 76.4% | 29.0 | 21.1 | 22.5 | 16.6 | 3.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.5 |
| Sociología Consultores | 02.01.16–14.01.16 | 2,200 | ? | 32.4 | 22.4 | 20.5 | 13.2 | 3.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 10.0 |
| Simple Lógica | 04.01.16–12.01.16 | 1,050 | 77.1% | 30.0 | 20.4 | 21.3 | 14.7 | 4.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 8.7 |
| IMOP | 09.01.16–11.01.16 | 1,000 | 69% | 31.4 | 23.5 | 19.5 | 11.8 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | — | 7.9 |
| CIS | 02.01.16–11.01.16 | 2,496 | ? | 28.8 | 20.5 | 21.9 | 13.3 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.2 |
| General Election | 20.12.15 | N/A | 69.7% | 28.7 | 22.0 | 20.7 | 13.9 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 6.7 |
Notes
- C Identifies multi-scenario opinion polls which hypothesize on Cristina Cifuentes as PP candidate, with all other parties' candidates unchanged from the 2015 general election.
- SS Identifies multi-scenario opinion polls which hypothesize on Soraya Sáenz de Santamaría as PP candidate, with all other parties' candidates unchanged from the 2015 general election.
- D Identifies multi-scenario opinion polls which hypothesize on Susana Díaz as PSOE candidate, with all other parties' candidates unchanged from the 2015 general election.
- RS Identifies multi-scenario opinion polls which hypothesize on Mariano Rajoy as PP candidate and Pedro Sánchez as PSOE candidate, with all other parties' candidates unchanged from the 2015 general election.
- CV Identifies polling firms that explicitly show their top-line results projected over "candidacy votes", that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots. This is in contrast to "valid votes", which is the most frequent method of vote projection by opinion pollsters and which do account for blank ballots. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results projected over "valid votes" as well as projections from other pollsters, a rule of three is applied, considering a comparison between 2011 election results calculated both over "candidacy" and "valid votes". The results of such calculation are shown instead.
Seat projections
Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 176 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.
| Polling firm/Link | Last date of polling |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| General Election | June 26, 2016 | 137 | 85 | 71 | 32 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| Sigma Dos (20:00) | June 26, 2016 | 117/121 | 81/85 | 91/95 | 26/30 | 11/12 | 5 | 5/6 |
| Sigma Dos (16:00) | June 26, 2016 | 116/127 | 81/91 | 81/99 | 20/27 | |||
| Sigma Dos (12:45) | June 26, 2016 | 120/131 | 81/90 | 85/96 | 19/25 | |||
| OKDiario | June 26, 2016 | 119/122 | 76/80 | 86/91 | 37/40 | 9 | 7 | |
| PP | June 25, 2016 | 113/118 | 76/85 | 92/95 | 37/41 | |||
| GESOP | June 25, 2016 | 116/120 | 83/87 | 83/87 | 37/41 | |||
| GESOP | June 24, 2016 | 116/120 | 83/87 | 83/87 | 38/42 | |||
| GAD3 | June 24, 2016 | 121/124 | 84/86 | 87/89 | 29/32 | 10/11 | 6 | 5 |
| GESOP | June 23, 2016 | 114/118 | 83/87 | 84/88 | 40/44 | |||
| GESOP | June 22, 2016 | 114/118 | 83/87 | 83/87 | 40/44 | |||
| GESOP | June 21, 2016 | 115/119 | 82/86 | 83/87 | 40/44 | |||
| GESOP | June 20, 2016 | 116/120 | 82/86 | 83/87 | 38/42 | |||
| GAD3 | June 20, 2016 | 122/125 | 79/82 | 84/86 | 36/38 | 9 | 6 | 5 |
| GIPEyOP | June 20, 2016 | 114/130 | 74/88 | 80/92 | 33/45 | 8/11 | 5/9 | 3/6 |
| Redondo & Asociados | June 19, 2016 | 121 | 83 | 85 | 37 | 9 | 7 | 5 |
| GESOP | June 19, 2016 | 114/118 | 83/87 | 83/87 | 38/42 | |||
| Jaime Miquel & Asociados | June 19, 2016 | 119 | 85 | 85 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| Encuestamos | June 19, 2016 | 125/129 | 84/88 | 85/89 | 31/35 | 6/9 | 5/8 | 4/7 |
| Infortécnica | June 19, 2016 | 121/129 | 84/88 | 71/77 | 40/44 | |||
| GESOP | June 18, 2016 | 116/120 | 81/85 | 83/87 | 40/44 | |||
| NC Report | June 18, 2016 | 126/131 | 80/83 | 82/87 | 33/35 | 8/9 | 6/7 | 5/6 |
| GESOP | June 17, 2016 | 114/118 | 80/84 | 84/88 | 40/44 | |||
| Celeste-Tel | June 17, 2016 | 123/128 | 84/86 | 83/88 | 32/34 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| A+M | June 17, 2016 | 118/124 | 79/82 | 78/86 | 41/48 | 8/9 | 6/7 | 5 |
| HM-AI | June 17, 2016 | 125/133 | 75/85 | 72/93 | 30/38 | 7/9 | 6/8 | 6/7 |
| Netquest | June 17, 2016 | 125 | 75 | 85 | 42 | |||
| Sigma Dos | June 16, 2016 | 124/129 | 73/78 | 86/92 | 35/40 | 8/9 | 5/6 | 4/6 |
| GESOP | June 16, 2016 | 114/118 | 79/83 | 84/88 | 40/44 | |||
| GAD3 | June 16, 2016 | 121/124 | 80/83 | 84/85 | 38/40 | 9 | 6 | 5 |
| Celeste-Tel | June 16, 2016 | 123/128 | 83/86 | 82/87 | 32/34 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| MyWord | June 16, 2016 | 118/123 | 75/80 | 87/90 | 38/39 | |||
| DYM | June 15, 2016 | 116/117 | 81/82 | 85/89 | 40 | 9/10 | 8 | 5/6 |
| Metroscopia | June 15, 2016 | 113/116 | 78/85 | 92/95 | 37/41 | |||
| GESOP | June 15, 2016 | 113/117 | 79/83 | 85/89 | 40/44 | |||
| GESOP | June 14, 2016 | 112/116 | 81/85 | 85/89 | 39/43 | |||
| Redondo & Asociados | June 14, 2016 | 122 | 80 | 86 | 38 | 9 | 7 | 5 |
| Celeste-Tel | June 14, 2016 | 121/126 | 83/86 | 80/84 | 35/36 | 8 | 6/7 | 6 |
| Jaime Miquel & Asociados | June 13, 2016 | 118 | 80 | 87 | 39 | 9 | 9 | 5 |
| GESOP | June 13, 2016 | 113/117 | 80/84 | 86/90 | 38/42 | |||
| NC Report | June 10, 2016 | 126/130 | 81/83 | 81/86 | 35/37 | 8/9 | 6/7 | 5/6 |
| SyM Consulting | June 10, 2016 | 122/125 | 79/82 | 87/89 | 36/38 | 7/8 | 6/7 | 5 |
| Netquest | June 10, 2016 | 117 | 78 | 87 | 45 | |||
| Sondaxe | June 9, 2016 | 121 | 85 | 90 | 34 | 8 | 6 | 3 |
| GESOP | June 7, 2016 | 113/117 | 80/84 | 84/88 | 40/44 | 8/9 | 5/6 | |
| Celeste-Tel | June 7, 2016 | 122/125 | 83/86 | 79/85 | 36/37 | 7/8 | 5/6 | 6 |
| GAD3 | June 6, 2016 | 119/122 | 80/82 | 85/87 | 40/41 | 8/9 | 6/7 | 5 |
| Encuestamos | June 5, 2016 | 122/126 | 84/87 | 87/90 | 31/34 | 7/9 | 5/7 | 4/6 |
| Netquest | June 3, 2016 | 113 | 82 | 86 | 44 | |||
| NC Report | June 3, 2016 | 125/130 | 80/83 | 80/84 | 37/39 | 8/9 | 6 | 5/6 |
| Sigma Dos | June 2, 2016 | 130 | 77 | 80 | 37 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| Jaime Miquel & Asociados | June 1, 2016 | 118 | 83 | 84 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| CDC | May 31, 2016 | 117 | 79 | 88 | 41 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| NC Report | May 27, 2016 | 124/130 | 80/82 | 79/84 | 38/40 | 8 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
| GAD3 | May 26, 2016 | 121 | 86 | 77 | 40 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| CIS | May 22, 2016 | 118/121 | 78/80 | 88/92 | 38/39 | 8/9 | 6/7 | 5 |
| Encuestamos | May 22, 2016 | 121/125 | 87/90 | 84/87 | 33/36 | 7/9 | 6/8 | 4/6 |
| Celeste-Tel | May 20, 2016 | 120/122 | 84/87 | 78/82 | 38/41 | 7/8 | 5/6 | 6 |
| NC Report | May 20, 2016 | 125/130 | 80/83 | 77/82 | 38/40 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| GIPEyOP | May 18, 2016 | 113/120 | 85/89 | 82/88 | 33/36 | 9 | 7/8 | 5 |
| Redondo & Asociados | May 17, 2016 | 126 | 82 | 79 | 38 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| Jaime Miquel & Asociados | May 13, 2016 | 112 | 73 | 88 | 52 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| Netquest | May 13, 2016 | 128 | 73 | 84 | 40 | |||
| NC Report | May 12, 2016 | 125/130 | 80/84 | 76/81 | 39/41 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| NC Report | May 7, 2016 | 126/130 | 80/84 | 75/80 | 39/42 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| Celeste-Tel | May 6, 2016 | 120/123 | 85/89 | 75/80 | 39/41 | 8/9 | 5/6 | 5 |
| Encuestamos | May 2, 2016 | 115/117 | 87/89 | 86/88 | 35/37 | 7/8 | 7/8 | 4/5 |
| NC Report | April 30, 2016 | 126/130 | 80/83 | 75/82 | 39/44 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| GAD3 | April 29, 2016 | 125 | 94 | 68 | 39 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| NC Report | April 23, 2016 | 125/130 | 80/83 | 74/81 | 40/45 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| Jaime Miquel & Asociados | April 22, 2016 | 110 | 72 | 92 | 51 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| Sigma Dos | April 22, 2016 | 123 | 90 | 70 | 44 | 9 | 6 | 5 |
| NC Report | April 16, 2016 | 126/130 | 83/85 | 70/76 | 42/47 | 8/9 | 5/6 | 6/7 |
| CIS | April 10, 2016 | 115 | 87 | 81 | 45 | 9 | 6 | 4 |
| Redondo & Asociados | April 4, 2016 | 125 | 84 | 78 | 38 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| Redondo & Asociados | January 25, 2016 | 131 | 74 | 101 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| IMOP | January 11, 2016 | 128 | 93 | 78 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| Polling firm/Link | Last date of polling |
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.svg.png){kind=small} |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celeste-Tel[CV] | May 6, 2016 | 124/126 | 88/90 | 63/67 | 41/43 | 5/7 | |||
| Encuestamos | May 2, 2016 | 129/132 | 91/93 | 58/61 | 40/41 | 4/5 | 9/10 | 8/9 | 5/6 |
| NC Report | April 30, 2016 | 127/132 | 82/85 | 67/70 | 41/45 | 4/6 | |||
| GAD3 | April 29, 2016 | 129 | 95 | 50 | 41 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| NC Report | April 23, 2016 | 127/132 | 82/85 | 68/71 | 41/46 | 3/5 | |||
| Sigma Dos | April 22, 2016 | 126 | 91 | 58 | 45 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| Encuestamos | April 20, 2016 | 131/135 | 92/94 | 60/63 | 40/42 | 3/5 | 9/10 | 7/8 | 5/6 |
| NC Report | April 16, 2016 | 128/131 | 83/85 | 67/71 | 42/47 | 3/5 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| Jaime Miquel & Asociados | April 13, 2016 | 115 | 77 | 69 | 60 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| IMOP | April 10, 2016 | 123 | 90 | 48 | 53 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| CIS | April 10, 2016 | 119 | 90 | 56 | 52 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| NC Report | April 9, 2016 | 127/129 | 84/86 | 64/69 | 43/48 | 2/4 | 8/9 | 6/7 | 6 |
| GAD3 | April 7, 2016 | 127 | 95 | 46 | 45 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| Celeste-Tel | April 5, 2016 | 123/125 | 89/90 | 61/66 | 44/47 | 3/5 | 9/10 | 7 | 5/6 |
| Redondo & Asociados | April 4, 2016 | 126 | 87 | 61 | 47 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| NC Report | April 2, 2016 | 126/128 | 86/88 | 62/64 | 44/49 | 2/4 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| Sigma Dos | March 31, 2016 | 128 | 90 | 49 | 52 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| NC Report | March 26, 2016 | 126/128 | 87/89 | 63/65 | 43/48 | 2/4 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| Encuestamos | March 20, 2016 | 128/131 | 93/95 | 61/64 | 40/42 | 2/4 | 9/10 | 7/8 | 6/7 |
| NC Report | March 17, 2016 | 124/128 | 87/90 | 62/66 | 44/48 | 2/4 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| NC Report | March 11, 2016 | 126/128 | 87/90 | 63/67 | 42/47 | 2/4 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| GAD3 | March 10, 2016 | 123 | 98 | 60 | 42 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| Sondaxe | March 9, 2016 | 124 | 89 | 60 | 48 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| GESOP | March 8, 2016 | 107/110 | 88/91 | 58/61 | 59/62 | 7/9 | 9/10 | 6/7 | |
| Celeste-Tel | March 5, 2016 | 120/124 | 91/94 | 63/67 | 42/45 | 3/5 | 9 | 7 | 5 |
| NC Report | March 4, 2016 | 125/128 | 87/90 | 64/67 | 42/46 | 2/4 | 9 | 7/8 | 6 |
| Jaime Miquel & Asociados | March 3, 2016 | 112 | 78 | 69 | 61 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| NC Report | February 18, 2016 | 125/127 | 87/89 | 68/72 | 41/42 | 1/2 | 9 | 7/8 | 6 |
| Sigma Dos | February 18, 2016 | 119 | 93 | 60 | 50 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| Encuestamos | February 17, 2016 | 117/119 | 98/100 | 66/68 | 38/40 | 1/2 | 9/10 | 7/8 | 6 |
| GAD3 | February 11, 2016 | 119 | 84 | 75 | 44 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| Jaime Miquel & Asociados | February 7, 2016 | 118 | 84 | 75 | 44 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| Celeste-Tel | February 5, 2016 | 120/124 | 89/92 | 65/69 | 41/46 | 2 | 9/10 | 7/8 | 5/6 |
| GAD3 | January 21, 2016 | 131 | 89 | 65 | 38 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| NC Report | January 21, 2016 | 130/132 | 86/88 | 70/73 | 30/33 | 1/2 | 9 | 7/8 | 6 |
| Redondo & Asociados | January 16, 2016 | 133 | 79 | 82 | 31 | ||||
| Celeste-Tel | January 15, 2016 | 128/130 | 87/90 | 68/72 | 33/35 | 2 | 9/10 | 7/8 | 5/6 |
| Encuestamos | January 15, 2016 | 140/145 | 90/92 | 74/76 | 17/21 | 1 | 10/11 | 5/7 | 5/6 |
| Sociología Consultores | January 14, 2016 | 137 | 90 | 65 | 30 | 2 | |||
| IMOP | January 11, 2016 | 136 | 96 | 63 | 29 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| CIS[LV] | January 11, 2016 | 123 | 83 | 79 | 37 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 6 |
| Redondo & Asociados | January 4, 2016 | 130 | 80 | 78 | 30 | ||||
| General Election | December 20, 2015 | 123 | 90 | 69 | 40 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
Notes
- LV Identifies seat projections done by La Vanguardia over a poll's vote estimations.
Regional polling
Leadership polls
Rating scale
Poll results showing party leaders' popularity are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. Values are shown in a 0 to 10 scale, with 10 indicating the most positively valued and 0 being the most negatively valued. Values are shaded in a string of colors ranging from dark red to dark green, in accordance with the value awarded to the leader (the color legend is also shown below).
- Color legend
| 0.00– 2.49 | 2.50– 2.99 | 3.00– 3.49 | 3.50– 3.99 | 4.00– 4.49 | 4.50– 4.99 | 5.00– 5.49 | 5.50– 5.99 | 6.00– 6.49 | 6.50– 6.99 | 7.00– 7.49 | 7.50– 10.00 |
| Polling firm/Link | Last date of polling |
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Margin of error |
Sample size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIPEyOP | June 20, 2016 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 4.8 | N/A | ±1.0 pp | 10,244 |
| Sigma Dos | June 19, 2016 | 4.30 | 4.51 | 3.85 | 5.00 | 4.30 | ||
| Encuestamos | June 16, 2016 | 2.4 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 4.2 | ||
| DYM | June 15, 2016 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 4.7 | N/A | ±3.2 pp | 1,011 |
| SyM Consulting | June 10, 2016 | 4.10 | 4.24 | 4.48 | 5.12 | N/A | ±2.3 pp | 1,816 |
| GESOP | June 7, 2016 | 3.69 | 4.39 | 3.80 | 4.82 | N/A | ±2.7 pp | 1,816 |
| PSOE | June 3, 2016 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 4.9 | N/A | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 |
| Sigma Dos | June 2, 2016 | 3.66 | 4.67 | 3.91 | 5.03 | 4.58 | ±3.2 pp | 1,000 |
| CIS | May 22, 2016 | 3.09 | 3.99 | 3.41 | 4.17 | 4.81 | ±0.8 pp | 17,488 |
| Encuestamos | May 22, 2016 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 4.3 | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 |
| Sigma Dos | April 22, 2016 | 3.84 | 4.08 | 3.55 | 4.49 | 4.23 | ±3.5 pp | 800 |
| Encuestamos | April 20, 2016 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 4.1 | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 |
| IMOP | April 10, 2016 | 3.5 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 5.3 | 5.0 | ±3.0 pp | 1,037 |
| CIS | April 10, 2016 | 2.89 | 3.74 | 3.16 | 3.99 | 4.69 | ±2.0 pp | 2,490 |
| DYM | April 6, 2016 | 3.0 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 4.8 | ±3.2 pp | 1,036 |
| Sigma Dos | March 31, 2016 | 4.03 | 4.42 | 3.46 | 4.77 | 4.31 | ±3.5 pp | 800 |
| Encuestamos | March 20, 2016 | 1.9 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 4.5 | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 |
| CIS | March 19, 2016 | 3.43 | 4.19 | 4.06 | 4.55 | 5.23 | ±1.3 pp | 6,242 |
| NC Report | March 17, 2016 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.7 | N/A | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 |
| Sondaxe | March 9, 2016 | 3.56 | 4.17 | 3.44 | 4.71 | 4.72 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 |
| GESOP | March 8, 2016 | 3.43 | 4.52 | 3.64 | 5.11 | 5.04 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 |
| Sigma Dos | February 18, 2016 | 3.80 | 4.38 | 3.78 | 5.02 | 4.81 | ±3.2 pp | 1,000 |
| Encuestamos | February 17, 2016 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.4 | ±2.3 pp | 1,800 |
| GAD3 | February 11, 2016 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 4.4 | N/A | ±3.5 pp | 800 |
| Invymark | February 1, 2016 | 3.72 | 4.16 | 3.67 | 4.43 | 4.16 | ||
| Encuestamos | January 15, 2016 | 2.4 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 4.2 | ±2.3 pp | 1,800 |
| CIS | January 11, 2016 | 3.08 | 3.75 | 3.78 | 3.92 | 4.68 | ±2.0 pp | 2,496 |
| Invymark | January 11, 2016 | 3.72 | 3.99 | 3.80 | 4.09 | 4.18 |
Preferred Prime Minister
Poll results showing public opinion on who would make the best Prime Minister are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.
| Polling firm/Link | Last date of polling |
|
|
|
|
|
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Margin of error |
Sample size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Invymark | June 19, 2016 | 25.1 | 21.3 | 28.0 | 12.3 | N/A | 13.3 | ||
| TNS Demoscopia | June 19, 2016 | 20.5 | 17.5 | 16.0 | 15.6 | N/A | 20.5 | ±4.5 pp | 500 |
| Invymark | June 16, 2016 | 25.7 | 23.2 | 25.6 | 12.9 | N/A | 12.6 | ||
| MyWord | June 16, 2016 | 14.7 | 16.4 | 26.0 | 20.5 | N/A | 22.4 | ±2.6 pp | 1,502 |
| TNS Demoscopia | June 12, 2016 | 19.3 | 18.9 | 18.2 | 16.6 | N/A | 18.9 | ±4.5 pp | 500 |
| GESOP | June 7, 2016 | 23.0 | 17.5 | 21.5 | 16.7 | N/A | 21.3 | ±2.7 pp | 1,816 |
| GAD3 | June 6, 2016 | 23.2 | 16.9 | 16.3 | 11.3 | N/A | 32.3 | ||
| Invymark | May 9, 2016 | 24.5 | 23.6 | 25.5 | 14.5 | N/A | 11.9 | ||
| IMOP | April 10, 2016 | 23.4 | 27.1 | 11.9 | 21.9 | 12.3 | 3.4 | ±3.0 pp | 1,037 |
| GESOP | March 8, 2016 | 20.5 | 22.6 | 12.7 | 18.9 | 11.0 | 14.3 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 |
| Invymark | December 21, 2015 | 27.0 | 20.3 | 26.3 | 12.8 | N/A | 13.6 |
Prime Minister likelihood
The following table shows opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become new Prime Minister.
| Polling firm/Link | Last date of polling |
|
|
|
|
Other | None | |
Margin of error |
Sample size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Invymark | June 19, 2016 | 45.3 | 13.7 | 10.8 | 1.6 | 28.6 | ||||
| TNS Demoscopia | June 19, 2016 | 40.5 | 19.4 | 11.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | N/A | 22.5 | ±4.5 pp | 500 |
| Invymark | June 16, 2016 | 47.1 | 14.7 | 7.5 | 1.1 | 29.6 | ||||
| GAD3 | June 16, 2016 | 38.3 | 10.1 | 8.6 | 1.2 | ±2.7 pp | 1,400 | |||
| TNS Demoscopia | June 12, 2016 | 42.7 | 15.7 | 11.3 | 3.9 | 1.5 | N/A | 24.9 | ±4.5 pp | 500 |
| GAD3 | May 26, 2016 | 37.6 | 13.4 | 4.5 | ±3.2 pp | 1,000 | ||||
| Encuestamos | May 22, 2016 | 35.2 | 28.6 | 29.5 | 4.8 | 6.8 | N/A | N/A | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 |
| Invymark | May 9, 2016 | 54.0 | 18.4 | 7.1 | 1.6 | 18.9 | ||||
| GAD3 | April 29, 2016 | 32.7 | 17.5 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 7.5 | 34.3 | ±3.5 pp | 800 |
| Encuestamos | April 20, 2016 | 35.2 | 35.1 | 13.0 | 5.8 | 10.9 | N/A | N/A | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 |
| GAD3 | April 7, 2016 | 26.8 | 33.2 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 7.2 | 24.8 | ±3.5 pp | 800 |
| Encuestamos | March 20, 2016 | 28.5 | 36.1 | 13.1 | 6.0 | 16.3 | N/A | N/A | ±2.2 pp | 2,000 |
| GAD3 | March 10, 2016 | 25.3 | 28.8 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 12.0 | 22.0 | ±3.5 pp | 800 |
| Encuestamos | February 17, 2016 | 9.2 | 49.9 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 31.3 | N/A | ±2.3 pp | 1,800 |
| GAD3 | February 11, 2016 | 21.1 | 40.0 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 8.8 | 21.2 | ±3.5 pp | 800 |
| GAD3 | January 21, 2016 | 32.5 | 31.7 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 6.9 | 17.9 | ±3.5 pp | 800 |
Likelihood of victory
The following table shows opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.
| Polling firm/Link | Last date of polling |
|
|
|
|
Margin of error |
Sample size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TNS Demoscopia | June 19, 2016 | 70.7 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 1.3 | ±4.5 pp | 500 |
| TNS Demoscopia | June 12, 2016 | 68.6 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 1.4 | ±4.5 pp | 500 |
| GESOP | June 7, 2016 | 73.7 | 6.3 | 4.2 | 1.3 | ±2.7 pp | 1,816 |
| Metroscopia | June 1, 2016 | 77 | 7 | 6 | 2 | ±2.9 pp | 1,200 |
| CIS | May 22, 2016 | 67.4 | 6.7 | 4.0 | 0.9 | ±0.8 pp | 17,488 |
| Polling firm/Link | Last date of polling |
|
|
|
|
Margin of error |
Sample size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAD3 | April 29, 2016 | 71.4 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 | ±3.5 pp | 800 |
| GAD3 | April 7, 2016 | 68.6 | 13.0 | 4.4 | 4.3 | ±3.5 pp | 800 |
| GAD3 | March 10, 2016 | 68.4 | 12.2 | 6.6 | 2.7 | ±3.5 pp | 800 |
| GESOP | March 8, 2016 | 66.6 | 11.4 | 3.8 | 1.7 | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 |
| GAD3 | February 11, 2016 | 65.2 | 12.9 | 7.0 | 2.5 | ±3.5 pp | 800 |
| GAD3 | January 21, 2016 | 68.8 | 9.2 | 7.7 | 3.3 | ±3.5 pp | 802 |
External links
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