United States presidential election in Kentucky, 2004

United States presidential election in Kentucky, 2004
Kentucky
November 2, 2004
 
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 8 0
Popular vote 1,069,439 712,733
Percentage 59.54% 39.6%

County Results
  Kerry—60-70%
  Kerry—50-60%
  Kerry—<50%
  Bush—50-60%
  Bush—60-70%
  Bush—70-80%
  Bush—80-90%
President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

 Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in Kentucky took place on November 2, 2004 throughout all 50 states and D.C., which was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 8 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for President and Vice President.

Kentucky was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 20.0% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. Bush widened his margin of victory since his victory here in 2000 against Al Gore, who used to be senator from neighboring Tennessee by 5%. He made his biggest progress in the eastern part of the state, and at the border with Virginia.

Primaries

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
  2. Associated Press: Solid Bush
  3. CNN: Bush
  4. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
  5. Newsweek: Solid Bush
  6. New York Times: Solid Bush
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush
  8. Research 2000: Solid Bush
  9. Washington Post: Bush
  10. Washington Times: Solid Bush
  11. Zogby International: Bush
  12. Washington Dispatch: Bush

Polling

Bush won every single pre-election poll, and won each by a double digit margin of victory and with at least 52% of the vote. The final 3 poll averaged Bush leading 57% to 38%.[2]

Fundraising

Bush raised $2,398,982.[3] Kerry raised $1,433,748.[4]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.[5][6]

Results

United States presidential election in Kentucky, 2004
Party Candidate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican George W. Bush 1,069,439 59.6% 8
Democratic John Kerry 712,733 39.7% 0
Reform Ralph Nader 8,856 0.5% 0
Libertarian Michael Badnarik 2,619 0.2% 0
Totals - 100.00% 8
Voter turnout (Voting age population) 57.5%

Results breakdown

By county

County Kerry% Kerry# Bush% Bush# Others% Others#
Adair 23.7% 1,764 75.6% 5,628 0.7% 55
Allen 26.8% 1,923 72.6% 5,202 0.5% 38
Anderson 32.7% 3,141 66.3% 6,363 0.9% 87
Ballard 42.1% 1,759 57.2% 2,389 0.7% 29
Barren 32.3% 5,216 67.1% 10,822 0.6% 102
Bath 53.0% 2,608 46.1% 2,269 0.9% 42
Bell 38.3% 4,210 61.1% 6,722 0.6% 70
Boone 27.5% 12,391 71.7% 32,329 0.8% 362
Bourbon 38.9% 3,198 60.3% 4,953 0.8% 66
Boyd 46.5% 10,132 52.8% 11,501 0.7% 144
Boyle 37.2% 4,646 62.2% 7,764 0.6% 80
Bracken 33.6% 1,213 65.5% 2,363 0.9% 34
Breathitt 56.0% 3,327 42.8% 2,542 1.3% 75
Breckinridge 33.8% 2,884 65.5% 5,580 0.7% 56
Bullshitt 31.6% 9,043 67.9% 19,433 0.5% 151
Butler 25.7% 1,436 73.7% 4,109 0.6% 33
Caldwell 35.4% 2,245 64.0% 4,066 0.6% 38
Calloway 37.8% 5,728 61.4% 9,293 0.8% 124
Campbell 35.5% 14,253 63.6% 25,540 1.0% 382
Carlisle 38.7% 1,102 60.9% 1,734 0.3% 9
Carroll 43.3% 1,688 55.8% 2,175 0.9% 34
Carter 50.2% 5,577 48.8% 5,422 1.1% 118
Casey 18.6% 1,174 80.8% 5,109 0.6% 38
Christian 33.2% 6,970 66.3% 13,935 0.5% 110
Clark 37.0% 5,661 62.3% 9,540 0.8% 116
Clay 24.7% 1,901 74.5% 5,726 0.8% 60
Clinton 21.9% 952 77.4% 3,369 0.7% 31
Crittenden 34.3% 1,438 65.1% 2,726 0.6% 26
Cumberland 26.2% 848 72.7% 2,356 1.1% 35
Daviess 38.1% 15,788 61.2% 25,372 0.8% 323
Edmonson 33.9% 1,856 65.6% 3,595 0.5% 30
Elliott 69.8% 2,064 29.5% 871 0.7% 22
Estill 34.2% 1,907 65.2% 3,633 0.6% 35
Fayette 46.2% 57,994 52.9% 66,406 0.9% 1,176
Fleming 38.8% 2,406 60.4% 3,749 0.8% 48
Floyd 62.2% 11,132 37.0% 6,612 0.8% 141
Franklin 48.1% 11,620 50.9% 12,281 1.0% 232
Fulton 46.4% 1,340 52.8% 1,527 0.8% 23
Gallatin 38.7% 1,188 60.8% 1,869 0.5% 16
Garrard 27.7% 1,841 71.9% 4,784 0.5% 33
Grant 31.9% 2,818 67.4% 5,951 0.6% 55
Graves 38.2% 6,206 61.0% 9,903 0.7% 120
Grayson 28.6% 2,905 70.7% 7,170 0.7% 68
Green 25.2% 1,312 74.3% 3,866 0.5% 28
Greenup 46.4% 7,630 52.9% 8,696 0.7% 109
Hancock 42.4% 1,709 56.7% 2,286 0.8% 34
Hardin 31.6% 11,507 67.6% 24,627 0.8% 307
Harlan 39.1% 4,332 60.2% 6,659 0.7% 79
Harrison 36.3% 2,807 62.8% 4,855 0.9% 69
Hart 36.4% 2,470 62.9% 4,269 0.7% 45
Henderson 43.3% 8,101 56.0% 10,467 0.7% 133
Henry 36.4% 2,366 63.0% 4,094 0.6% 39
Hickman 39.5% 926 59.6% 1,395 0.9% 21
Hopkins 34.1% 6,420 65.4% 12,314 0.6% 109
Jackson 14.9% 769 84.4% 4,369 0.8% 40
Jefferson 50.4% 170,158 48.8% 164,566 0.8% 2,626
Jessamine 29.5% 5,476 69.8% 12,972 0.7% 132
Johnson 35.3% 3,288 63.8% 5,940 0.8% 76
Kenton 34.0% 22,834 65.1% 43,664 0.9% 625
Knott 63.4% 4,685 35.8% 2,648 0.8% 61
Knox 31.8% 3,822 67.4% 8,108 0.8% 98
LaRue 30.5% 1,823 68.9% 4,111 0.6% 34
Laurel 23.8% 5,297 75.5% 16,819 0.7% 148
Lawrence 41.5% 2,705 57.7% 3,755 0.8% 53
Lee 30.1% 878 69.1% 2,018 0.8% 24
Leslie 25.5% 1,266 73.8% 3,661 0.7% 37
Letcher 46.2% 4,192 53.0% 4,801 0.8% 72
Lewis 30.4% 1,667 68.9% 3,778 0.7% 39
Lincoln 31.5% 2,796 67.7% 5,996 0.8% 71
Livingston 42.6% 2,007 56.8% 2,675 0.5% 24
Logan 35.4% 3,768 64.0% 6,815 0.6% 61
Lyon 45.1% 1,769 54.3% 2,132 0.6% 24
McCracken 38.1% 11,361 61.1% 18,218 0.7% 218
McCreary 26.9% 1,530 72.4% 4,121 0.7% 42
McLean 41.1% 1,823 58.3% 2,584 0.6% 28
Madison 37.5% 11,525 61.6% 18,922 0.8% 260
Magoffin 49.7% 2,843 49.6% 2,836 0.7% 39
Marion 46.2% 3,399 53.1% 3,905 0.7% 50
Marshall 41.1% 6,383 58.3% 9,049 0.6% 89
Martin 33.1% 1,504 66.0% 2,996 0.9% 39
Mason 37.3% 2,644 61.9% 4,381 0.8% 54
Meade 34.0% 3,724 65.3% 7,152 0.7% 75
Menifee 50.8% 1,284 48.1% 1,215 1.1% 29
Mercer 32.1% 3,224 67.3% 6,745 0.6% 59
Metcalfe 35.4% 1,472 63.6% 2,645 1.0% 40
Monroe 19.8% 1,158 79.7% 4,657 0.5% 28
Montgomery 44.0% 4,506 55.2% 5,647 0.8% 77
Morgan 48.0% 2,532 50.9% 2,682 1.1% 58
Muhlenberg 49.2% 6,636 50.1% 6,749 0.7% 94
Nelson 38.7% 6,524 60.3% 10,161 0.9% 159
Nicholas 43.5% 1,332 55.6% 1,700 0.9% 27
Ohio 36.2% 3,627 62.9% 6,311 0.9% 90
Oldham 29.8% 8,080 69.3% 18,801 0.9% 251
Owen 34.1% 1,615 65.0% 3,084 0.9% 42
Owsley 21.5% 430 77.9% 1,558 0.6% 11
Pendleton 32.2% 1,940 67.1% 4,045 0.7% 40
Perry 46.3% 5,400 53.1% 6,187 0.6% 68
Pike 52.3% 14,002 47.1% 12,611 0.6% 157
Powell 45.3% 2,249 54.2% 2,687 0.5% 24
Pulaski 22.8% 5,829 76.6% 19,535 0.6% 152
Robertson 37.9% 413 61.5% 670 0.6% 7
Rockcastle 21.4% 1,320 77.9% 4,804 0.7% 42
Rowan 52.3% 4,556 46.7% 4,063 1.0% 87
Russell 22.7% 1,772 76.8% 6,009 0.5% 40
Scott 37.1% 6,325 62.2% 10,600 0.7% 125
Shelby 32.3% 5,277 66.9% 10,909 0.8% 127
Simpson 38.8% 2,730 60.7% 4,273 0.6% 40
Spencer 28.9% 1,970 70.6% 4,816 0.5% 36
Taylor 28.9% 2,979 70.4% 7,247 0.7% 69
Todd 31.4% 1,491 68.2% 3,242 0.4% 21
Trigg 33.5% 2,046 65.8% 4,023 0.7% 42
Trimble 37.7% 1,428 61.5% 2,332 0.8% 30
Union 40.1% 2,398 59.1% 3,534 0.8% 45
Warren 36.1% 14,326 63.2% 25,100 0.7% 285
Washington 32.9% 1,724 66.4% 3,479 0.6% 33
Wayne 34.0% 2,616 65.4% 5,027 0.5% 42
Webster 41.5% 2,304 57.8% 3,207 0.6% 36
Whitley 29.2% 3,985 70.1% 9,559 0.6% 85
Wolfe 55.3% 1,744 43.9% 1,385 0.8% 26
Woodford 38.9% 4,480 60.3% 6,937 0.7% 85

By congressional district

Bush won 5 of 6 congressional districts.

District Bush Kerry Representative
1st 63% 36% Ed Whitfield
2nd 65% 34% Ron Lewis
3rd 49% 51% Anne Northup
4th 63% 36% Geoff Davis
5th 61% 39% Hal Rogers
6th 58% 41% Ben Chandler

Electors

Technically the voters of Kentucky cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Kentucky is allocated 8 electors because it has 6 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 8 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 8 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 8 were pledged to Bush/Cheney:

  1. Rachel N. McCubbin
  2. Keith A. Hall
  3. Carolyn Cole
  4. Martha G. Prewitt
  5. Donald E. Girdler
  6. Constance M. Gray
  7. Frank Schwendeman
  8. Carla T. Bartleman

References

  1. ↑ http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW[]
  2. ↑ http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=21
  3. ↑ http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04
  4. ↑ http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04
  5. ↑ http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/
  6. ↑ http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.25.html

See also

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