Typhoon Megi (2010)

This article is about the 2010 typhoon. For other storms of the same name, see Typhoon Megi (disambiguation).
Typhoon Megi (Juan)
Typhoon (JMA scale)
Category 5 (Saffir–Simpson scale)

Typhoon Megi nearing landfall over the Philippines on October 18, 2010
Formed October 12, 2010
Dissipated October 24, 2010
Highest winds 10-minute sustained: 230 km/h (145 mph)
1-minute sustained: 295 km/h (185 mph)
Lowest pressure 885 hPa (mbar); 26.13 inHg
Fatalities 69 dead, 4 missing
Damage $709 million (2010 USD)
Areas affected Philippines, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Macau, China
Part of the 2010 Pacific typhoon season

Typhoon Megi, known in the Philippines as Super Typhoon Juan, was one of the most intense tropical cyclones on record. Megi, which means catfish in Korean (Hangul: 메기), was the only super typhoon in 2010. Early on October 18, Megi made its first landfall over Luzon.[1] By passing Luzon, Megi weakened but gradually regained strength in the South China Sea, before weakening and losing its eyewall in the Taiwan Strait. Megi made its second landfall over Zhangpu in Fujian, China on October 23.[2]

Megi killed 31 people and caused $255.1 million (2010 USD) in damage over Luzon, making it one of the costliest typhoons in the Philippines.[3] After moving to the South China Sea, the outflow of Megi and a weather front together brought torrential rainfall, caused $42.2 million (2010 USD) in damage and killed 38 people in Yilan, Taiwan, making Megi the deadliest typhoon of 2010 in Taiwan.[4] Megi also caused $411.7 million (2010 USD) in damage over Fujian, China, although there were no deaths by the storm in the province.[5]

Meteorological history

Map plotting the track and intensity of the storm according to the Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale

Late on October 10, a tropical disturbance formed east-southeast of Guam.[6] There were favorable environmental conditions, such as low vertical wind shear, good upper-level divergence and poleward outflow.[7] The system began to significantly develop on October 12, prompting the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) issuing a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert at 09:00 UTC.[8] Several hours later, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) began monitoring the system as a tropical depression.[9] Early on October 13, JTWC also classified the system as a tropical depression and designated it 15W.[10]

Hours later, well-defined convective banding features developed around the system and thunderstorm activity over the center of circulation increased. Sea surface temperature above 28 °C (82 °F) and high oceanic heat content allowed for further strengthening. Situated to the southwest of a subtropical ridge, the system slowly tracked west-northwest towards the Philippines.[11] Around 12:00 UTC, the system further intensified into a tropical storm, earning the name Megi from JMA.[12]

Satellite animation of Megi’s lifespan

Late on October 13, Tropical Storm Megi became quasi-stationary, but a mid-latitude trough moving from the west caused the storm to resume a northwestward track around the periphery of the subtropical ridge.[13] Throughout the morning of October 14, a central dense overcast developed over the center of Megi, allowing for intensification.[14] Later that day, a microwave scanned the developing eye of Megi, resulting in JMA upgrading the system to a severe tropical storm and JTWC upgrading it to a typhoon.[15] On October 15, JMA upgraded Megi to a typhoon, and the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) began to mention the typhoon and named it Juan as it entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility, with improved outflow over the western semi-circle and a well-defined low-level circulation center with tightly-curved banding.[16][17] On October 16, Megi began rapid deepening with a well-defined eye due to enhanced poleward outflow by a transitory mid-latitude trough.[18]

Early on October 17, Megi started to moved westward and then west-southwestward because of the subtropical ridge. By the warm waters, impressive convection and a circular 20 nautical miles (37 km; 23 mi) diameter eye, JTWC upgraded Megi to a super typhoon with category 5 strength on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale, becoming the only super typhoon in 2010 and the first since Nida in 2009.[19] A hurricane hunter aircraft indicated 1-minute maximum sustained surface winds at 165 knots (306 km/h; 190 mph) and a mean sea level pressure of 890 hPa (26.28 inHg) at 13:05 UTC.[20] However, in postanalysis, the JTWC lowered the maximum intensity slightly, to 160 knots (296 km/h; 184 mph). Late on October 17, Megi developed a well-defined 25 nautical miles (46 km; 29 mi) diameter eye with a concentric eyewall and excellent radial outflow.[21] According to RSMC Best Track Data, Megi attained the highest 10-minute maximum sustained winds at 125 knots (230 km/h, 145 mph) since Bess in 1982 and the lowest atmospheric pressure at 885 hPa (26.13 inHg) since Vanessa in 1984 in the Northwest Pacific Ocean at 18:00 UTC and 00:00 UTC on the next day.

Typhoon Megi over the South China Sea on October 21

Maintaining peak intensity, Typhoon Megi made landfall over Isabela, Philippines at 03:25 UTC (11:25 PST) on October 18.[1][22] When passing the Sierra Madre, the eye filled due to land interaction, but tightly curved banding and excellent radial outflow remained.[23] The weakened typhoon arrived at the South China Sea late on October 18, and it began to reorganize.[24] On October 19, Megi formed an enlarged but ragged eye.[25] Late on the same day, Megi turned northwestward and moved slowly due to the significantly weakening western subtropical ridge in response to a deepening mid-latitude shortwave trough moving into Southeast China.[26]

Typhoon Megi turned northward then north-northeastward towards a break in the subtropical ridge caused by an approaching mid-latitude trough on October 20.[27] By low vertical wind shear and good radial outflow especially on the poleward channel, the typhoon started to gradually intensify.[28] On October 21, JMA reported that Megi attained its secondary peak intensity by the 10-minute maximum sustained winds reaching 95 knots (175 km/h, 110 mph) and the atmospheric pressure decreasing to 935 hPa (27.61 inHg), when the typhoon had a 40 nautical miles (74 km; 46 mi) diameter round eye.[29]

On October 22, the eye of Typhoon Megi became cloud-filled and convection has begun erode due to increasing vertical wind shear.[30] Late on the same day, JMA downgraded Megi to a severe tropical storm in the Taiwan Strait because of subsidence induced by a developing upper-level trough west of the storm.[31] On October 23, Megi made landfall over Zhangpu in Fujian, China at 04:55 UTC.[2][32] Soon, Megi weakened to a tropical storm in mainland China, as the majority of convection associated with the system has dissipated, prompting JTWC issuing a final warning.[33] Megi further weakened to a tropical depression late on October 23. On October 24, the tropical depression dissipated completely around 12:00 UTC, yet JTWC Best Track Data analyses that Megi became extratropical at 00:00 UTC.

Preparations

Philippines

Typhoon Megi approaching the Philippines on October 17

The typhoon entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility early on October 16, prompting new and modified warnings for the Luzon coast.[34] There was the expectation that the typhoon would become a super-typhoon and produce as much rain as Typhoon Ketsana in 2009,[35][36] with the possibility of Magat Dam being filled.[37] As Typhoon Megi neared Luzon, the Philippine National Red Cross established centers for evacuees fleeing the typhoon.[38]

Highest public storm signals raised by PAGASA

In response to orders from President Benigno Aquino III, PAGASA posted hourly tropical cyclone updates.[39] Inhabitants of the Isabela and Cagayan provinces were advised to bring in their harvests before Megi arrived, while fishermen in the Ilocos region were advised to seek shelter.[40] Late on October 16, PAGASA issued Storm Signal 1 for Cagayan, Isabela, Babuyan and Calayan islands in the northern Philippines,[41] while President Aquino called for cooperation from all concerned government and private sector groups to prevent fatalities.[42]

On October 17, evacuations began with hundreds of people fleeing from Luzon[43][44] as Megi intensified into a super typhoon and Storm signal number 3 raised.[45] Over 18 provinces had been placed under alert for the typhoon as it approached the Philippines.[46] Later on that day, all state schools and colleges were suspended.[47] PAGASA declared public storm warning number 4 announcing that over 7 million people were liable to be affected.[48][49] The storm warning was later raised to the highest level over Cagayan and Isabela[50] as tropical storm force winds began blowing throughout Cagayan province.[51]

By October 18, all state schools and colleges in Cagayan, the Ilocos and the Cordilleras were closed for the day in preparation.[52] Isabela province was placed under a state of calamity when the typhoon made landfall and moved further inland.[53]

Highest Public Storm Warning Signal

PSWS# LUZON VISAYAS MINDANAO
PSWS #4 Cagayan, Isabela, Ifugao, Mt. Province, Kalinga NONE NONE
PSWS #3 Babuyan Is., Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Apayao, Abra, La Union, Benguet, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Northern Aurora, Pangasinan NONE NONE
PSWS #2 Zambales, Tarlac, Nueva Ecija, Polilio Island, Batanes, Southern Aurora NONE NONE
PSWS #1 Metro Manila, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, Rizal, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Southern Quezon NONE NONE

Mainland China

Typhoon Megi approaching China on October 22

China began preparing for Super Typhoon Megi on October 17 by issuing an orange alert to local authorities and advising all vessels to return to port.[54] Evacuation of coastal residents began on October 18[55] as authorities issued disaster warnings and urgent advice to local officials in Hainan, Guangxi, Guangdong and Fujian provinces to prepare for relief operations.[56] The government ordered all fishing vessels to return to port by midnight on October 19 as Typhoon Megi entered the South China Sea.[57] The following day, China railways suspended all trains in and out of Hainan in preparation for Typhoon Megi.[58] Equipment used in relief operations from heavy rains the previous month were kept in preparation for Typhoon Megi.[59] As the typhoon approached, over 150,000 residents from coastal areas of Fujian province were evacuated and tens of thousands of fishing vessels were ordered to seek shelter in port. Warnings were also issued to prepare for storm surges when the typhoon arrives.[60] Rail services to and from Hainan Island were resumed while tonnes of food and other supplies were brought in for disaster relief.[61]

Hong Kong

In response to Megi's approach, the Hong Kong Observatory issued Standby Signal No. 1 at 16:35 HKT (08:35 UTC) on October 20 .[62] The Government had already informed the Travel Industry council and the Hong Kong International Airport to make plans in case of passengers being stranded at the airport. The Observatory subsequently issued Strong Wind Signal No. 3 at 05:40 HKT (21:40 UTC) on October 21 (October 20 UTC).[63] As of 8:40 pm on October 22 all Signals were cancelled by the Hong Kong Observatory.

Macau

The Macao Meteorological and Geophysical Bureau (SMG) hoisted the Standby Signal No. 1 at 19:00 HKT(11:00 UTC) on October 19, 2010.

Impact and aftermath

Philippines

The centre of the storm made landfall near Divalacan Bay, Luzon, at 11:25 am (local time) on October 18 preceded by torrential rain and flash flooding[64][65] forcing residents of the area to seek shelter.[66] A reported total of 3,687 individuals from the northern Philippines[67] were evacuated to schools, churches, halls and other sturdier structures[68] but over 200,000 people were rendered homeless.[69][70][71] Although at little risk of being struck by the departing typhoon, classes throughout Metro Manila were suspended on October 19 as a precaution.[72]

Initial estimates suggested that Philippine rice farmers could lose over 600,000 metric tons of crops[73][74] as the typhoon swept through some of the biggest agricultural areas, such as Isabela and Cagayan,[75] in the northern Philippines. Official estimates following the passing of the typhoon placed agricultural losses at around US$34 million with tens of thousands of tons of rice and corn lost.[76][77] Fears of a rice shortage in the next few weeks were allayed by the National Food Authority which announced that sufficient food had been stockpiled.[78]

Megi inflicted substantial damage to much of the infrastructure as it crossed Luzon.[79] Communication infrastructure in Cagayan and Isabela suffered extensive damage during the typhoon with an estimated 90% of regional communications lost.[80] Officials believe that it would take five days to restore them.[81] Electricity in the northern provinces of Cagayan, Kalinga, Apayao, Northern Isabela, the Mountain Province, parts of Benguet, Ilocos Norte, la Union, Nueva Ecija, Aurora, parts of Tuguegarao[82] was disrupted by Megi. The National Grid Corp. announced that eleven towers along one transmission line suffered extensive damage, which also affected power supplies to the capital leading to outages of up to 3 hours.[83]

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