Opinion polling for the next Polish parliamentary election

In the run up to the next Polish parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 25 October 2015, to the present day. The next general election is scheduled to be held not later than November 2019, though it may be held earlier if a snap election is called.

Graphical summary

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling		 United Left Others /
Don't know		 Lead
Millward Brown / RMF November 25, 2016 34 17 8 19 2 5 4 2 9 15
Pollster November 24, 2016 33 13 10 23 3 8 4 4 2 10
PAS-P November 21, 2016 34.0 13.5 18.0 7.0 7.0 3.5 6.0 2.5 8.5 16.0
IBRiS / "Rz" November 19, 2016[1] 29.7 14.2 9.1 19.9 4.3 4.5 3.5 4.0 10.8[lower-alpha 1] 9.8
Kantar Public November 17, 2016 34 19 8 9 5 4 1 1 2 17 15
CBOS November 13, 2016 38 14 6 17 4 5 2 1 13 21
IBRiS / Onet November 10, 2016 30.6 14.2 7.4 22.4 5.7 4.9 2.0 3.1 9.7[lower-alpha 2] 8.2
TNS Poland / "GW" October 26, 2016 29 14 11 19 3 2 1 3 3 15 10
IBRiS / "Rz" October 22, 2016[2] 30.2 16.7 8.9 20.1 5.1 5.7 1.1 2.9 9.3 10.1
CBOS October 19, 2016 38 15 6 16 4 4 3 2 12 22
Dobra Opinia October 16, 2016 33.9 20.7 8.6 17.5 4.2 6.0 2.2 4.2 2.7[lower-alpha 3] 13.2
IBRiS / Onet October 13, 2016 29.3 16.3 6.8 22.9 5.2 5.3 1.4 3.4 9.4[lower-alpha 4] 6.4
TNS Poland October 12, 2016 34 15 9 11 3 3 0 3 3 19 19
Pollster October 11, 2016 24 13 7 18 2 6 5 4 21 6
IBRiS / ZET October 8, 2016 29.8 16.1 6.7 24.3 5.1 4.7 1.6 3.9 7.8[lower-alpha 5] 5.5
Millward Brown October 5, 2016 30 16 8 22 2 5 5 4 8 8
IPSOS September 30, 2016 34 14 11 22 2 3 3 3 8 12
IBRiS / "Rz" September 29, 2016[3] 29.4 12.8 10.0 25.1 3.2 5.2 3.3 5.0 6.0 4.3
IBRiS / "Rz" September 24, 2016[3] 31.8 15.2 10.9 20.4 4.0 5.1 1.9 3.5 7.2 11.4
TNS Poland / "Fakt" September 20, 2016 36.1 17.1 12.6 19.6 2.5 4.9 3.7 1.8 1.7 16.5
IBRiS / Onet September 16, 2016 31.2 18.2 9.0 20.1 3.5 4.1 1.9 2.3 9.7 11.1
Pollster September 15, 2016 23 9 9 15 2 6 4 4 28 8
CBOS September 15, 2016 36 17 6 16 3 3 2 2 15 19
TNS Poland September 14, 2016 36 17 9 11 3 3 1 2 1 17 19
IBRiS / "Rz" August 27, 2016[4] 28.6 17.4 10.6 18.9 5.2 5.3 1.9 3.8 8.3 9.7
CBOS August 25, 2016 41 16 8 12 3 3 2 3 12 25
IBRiS / Onet August 19, 2016 34.3 18.4 10.1 17.9 3.2 4.8 2.5 3.5 5.3 15.9
TNS Poland August 10, 2016 36 18 9 8 5 3 1 3 0 17 18
IBRiS / "Rz" July 30, 2016[5] 31.8 18.3 10.6 18.4 4.1 6.4 3.2 2.2 5.0 13.4
Pollster July 23, 2016 25 12 9 15 2 7 4 3 23 10
IBRiS / Onet July 22, 2016 33.2 17.5 7.9 19.7 3.1 5.3 3.2 2.7 7.4 13.5
Millward Brown July 21, 2016 33 19 7 18 2 4 3 4 10 14
Pollster July 18, 2016 25 10 8 16 4 6 5 5 21 9
Pracownia Mediowa July 8, 2016 24.0 19.8 4.0 15.5 3.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 26.7 4.2
CBOS July 7, 2016 39 15 8 14 3 3 4 3 11 24
TNS Poland July 6, 2016 36 18 8 10 4 4 0 1 2 17 18
IBRiS / "Rz" July 5, 2016[6] 32.2 15.4 10.3 20.6 2.5 5.4 3.3 3.4 6.9 11.6
IPSOS[lower-alpha 6] June 28, 2016 35 15 7 20 3 2 8 3 7 15
TNS Poland / "GW" June 28, 2016 30 18 9 16 3 3 1 6 4 10 12
IBRiS / Onet June 24, 2016 35.5 15.4 11.0 19.6 3.2 4.7 3.5 2.0 5.1 15.9
Pollster June 20, 2016 29 9 8 19 2 5 4 5 19 10
PAS-P June 12, 2016 41 14 19 6 4.5 3 7 1.5 4 22
Millward Brown June 10, 2016 36 14 7 21 2 4 5 3 8 15
CBOS June 9, 2016 35 15 9 14 2 5 3 3 14 20
TNS Poland June 8, 2016 40 17 9 9 2 3 1 4 2 13 23
IBRiS / "Rz" June 4, 2016[8] 32.7 18.2 7.9 19.3 4.6 3.7 5.0 2.9 5.7 13.4
CBOS May 29, 2016[9] 36 16 6 14 5 4 3 3 13 20
IBRiS / Onet May 27, 2016 32.6 16.2 7.5 21.1 4.2 4.9 3.9 3.8 5.8 11.5
Pollster[lower-alpha 7] May 25, 2016 28 12 7 17 2 7 5 2 20 11
Millward Brown May 24, 2016 37 17 5 20 4 5 4 3 5[lower-alpha 8] 17
Millward Brown / "GW" May 22, 2016 34 14 4 19 4 5 6 3 11[lower-alpha 9] 15
TNS Poland May 18, 2016 39 17 7 11 4 4 0 2 2 14 22
Dobra Opinia May 17, 2016 37.1 19.0 9.0 18.0 3.9 4.0 0.0 4.7 2.6 1.7[lower-alpha 10] 18.1
CBOS May 12, 2016[11] 34 16 8 18 4 4 0 3 2 11 16
TNS Poland / "GW"[lower-alpha 11] May 10, 2016 34 17 9 20 2 3 0 4 2 9 14
IBRiS / "Rz" May 8, 2016[13] 33.1 11.9 10.4 20.7 5.3 5.6 0.0 3.0 3.2 6.8 12.4
IBRiS / Onet April 29, 2016 34.0 16.0 8.4 22.5 3.5 5.1 0.0 1.4 1.9 7.2 11.5
Pollster April 28, 2016 28 12 9 20 3 6 0 4 3 15 8
Millward Brown April 28, 2016 33 15 7 22 3 4 0 4 3 9[lower-alpha 8] 11
IBRiS April 14, 2016[14] 30.9 12.8 13.1 20.4 4.6 4.6 0.0 2.7 3.0 7.9 10.5
TNS Poland April 13, 2016 34 18 8 9 3 3 2 2 2 19 16
TNS Poland / "GW" April 13, 2016 32 15 12 17 3 4 0 4 3 10 15
IBRiS / "Rz" April 8, 2016[15] 27.6 15.0 11.7 21.9 4.6 4.6 0.0 4.9 3.1 6.6 5.7
Pollster April 7, 2016 26 12 10 19 2 6 0 4 5 16 7
CBOS April 7, 2016[16] 38 13 8 18 3 4 0 2 3 11 20
IBRiS / Onet April 1, 2016[17] 29.3 14.3 11.5 22.7 2.4 4.1 0.0 5.0 4.6 6.1 6.6
Millward Brown March 23, 2016 29 17 10 18 3 6 0 5 5 7 11
CBOS March 19, 2016[18] 34 14 12 16 3 4 0 6 2 9 18
IBRiS March 17, 2016[19] 33.5 15.7 6.7 23.5 3.3 5.4 0.0 2.5 3.7 5.7 10.0
TNS Poland / "GW" March 16, 2016 26 15 14 19 2 3 1 5 4 11 7
IBRiS / "Rz" March 12, 2016[20] 32.9 18.9 8.3 22.1 3.6 4.7 0.0 2.1 2.3 5.1 10.8
TNS Poland March 9, 2016[21] 38 12 9 13 5 3 0 2 1 17 25
CBOS March 9, 2016[22] 37 18 8 17 3 3 0 2 2 10 19
IBRiS / Onet March 4, 2016[23] 33.9 17.9 7.4 23.5 2.9 4.2 0.0 2.7 3.2 4.3 10.4
Millward Brown February 26, 2016 32 17 8 22 2 4 0 3 3 9 10
Pollster February 23, 2016 27 11 11 22 5 5 0 4 3 12 5
Dobra Opinia February 16, 2016 34.5 18.0 11.6 18.4 4.2 4.8 0.0 4.0 3.1 1.5[lower-alpha 12] 16.1
IBRiS / "Rz" February 13, 2016[24] 30.5 14.4 8.6 23.7 3.6 4.8 0.0 2.7 2.2 9.5 6.8
TNS Poland February 10, 2016[25] 40 15 9 13 5 2 1 3 2 10 25
CBOS February 10, 2016[26] 34 14 11 19 2 3 0 3 2 12 15
Pollster February 8, 2016 26 12 10 21 4 4 0 3 3 17 5
PAS-P February 6, 2016 39 14 19 7 3.5 3 7.5 2 5 20
IBRiS / Onet February 5, 2016[27] 30.3 15.2 6.9 26.2 4.6 5.7 0.0 3.6 2.7 4.8 4.1
TNS Poland / "GW" January 31, 2016 28 19 8 22 4 19 6
TNS Poland / "Fakt" January 28, 2016 31.2 21.1 9.5 24.4 2.0 3.5 4.2 3.5 0.6 6.8
CBOS January 28, 2016[28] 36 14 11 18 2 3 1 4 2 9 18
TNS Poland January 27, 2016[29] 37 17 10 13 4 4 4 1 10 20
TNS Poland January 20, 2016 38 16 11 15 3 2 3 2 10 22
Pollster January 18, 2016 27 12 8 24 4 5 4 3 13 3
IBRiS / "Rz" January 16, 2016[30] 31.6 13.6 4.8 28.2 4.6 5.0 0 2.9 1.7 7.6 3.4
Millward Brown January 14, 2016 30 14 9 27 2 5 0 4 1 8 3
CBOS January 14, 2016[31] 39 13 9 22 2 2 1 3 3 6 17
PressMix January 9, 2016 48 7 5 9 2 1 0 1 4 23 36
IBRiS / Onet January 7, 2016[32] 27.3 16.2 7.0 29.6 4.5 5.4 3.3 2.2 4.5 2.3
PAS-P December 20, 2015 38 16 21 6 6 4 4 3 2 17
IBRiS / "WP" December 17, 2015[33] 27.9 12.7 7.7 30.8 3.8 6.1 5.0 1.9 4.1 2.9
Millward Brown December 17, 2015 33 14 6 28 4 4 0 4 1 6 5
IBRiS / "SE" December 15, 2015[34] 27.3 14.4 7.9 30.9 5.6 5.3 3.9 1.6 3.1 3.6
IBRiS / "Rz" December 12, 2015[35] 29.8 14.8 5.3 25.3 5.7 7.4 5.7 1.7 4.3 4.5
TNS Poland / "GW" December 11, 2015 27 16 12 24 4 6 4 7 3
IPSOS December 11, 2015 33 17 6 18 3 6 6 2 9 15
CBOS December 10, 2015[36] 35 15 8 21 3 3 1 3 3 8 14
TNS Poland December 9, 2015[37] 42 17 12 10 3 4 2 1 9 25
PressMix December 6, 2015 45 10 10 12 4 3 3 6 7 33
IBRiS / Onet December 5, 2015[38] 31.8 18.0 6.1 20.0 6.4 7.9 3.7 1.3 4.8 11.8
Millward Brown December 3, 2015 32 19 7 20 4 6 4 2 6 12
IBRiS / "Rz" November 28, 2015[39] 34.6 14.8 7.0 22.8 4.9 5.4 5.4 1.5 3.6 11.8
Estymator November 27, 2015 42 16 8 17 4 4 4 3 2 25
IPSOS November 19, 2015 35 18 10 10 4 4 6 3 10 17
Millward Brown November 18, 2015 35 22 7 9 5 7 5 4 6 13
IBRiS / "Rz" November 14, 2015[40] 35.3 19.6 6.9 13.8 5.1 7.8 4.0 2.9 4.6 15.7
TNS Poland November 12, 2015[41] 44 17 9 8 4 5 3 1 9 27
IBRiS / Onet November 6, 2015[42] 34.4 19.9 7.6 13.5 5.0 8.9 3.8 4.2 2.7 14.5
IBRiS / "Rz" November 3, 2015[43] 35.7 19.0 10.4 11.8 4.1 5.8 3.6 5.1 4.5 16.7
General Election October 25, 2015 37.6 24.1 8.8 7.6 5.1 7.6 4.8 3.6 0.8 13.5

Notes

  1. ↑ Includes: 0.6% – Congress of the New Right, 0.6% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  2. ↑ Includes: 0.6% – Congress of the New Right, 0.0% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  3. ↑ Includes: 1.5% – National Movement, 1.1% – German Minority.
  4. ↑ Includes: 0.9% – Congress of the New Right, 0.5% – Right Wing of the Republic.
  5. ↑ Includes: 1.1% – Congress of the New Right.
  6. ↑ The poll includes an alternative scenario: Coalition of PO, .N, PSL and SLD – 38%, PiS – 32%, Kukiz'15 – 12%, KORWiN – 6%, Razem – 4%, others – 8%.[7]
  7. ↑ The poll includes an alternative scenario: Coalition of .N, PSL, SLD – 28%, PiS – 27%, PO – 11%, Kukiz'15 – 6%, KORWiN – 5%, Razem – 3%, others – 20%.[10]
  8. 1 2 Includes: 1% – National Movement.
  9. ↑ Includes: 2% – National Movement.
  10. ↑ Includes: 1.7% – National Movement.
  11. ↑ The poll includes an alternative scenario: Coalition of PO, .N, PSL, SLD and TR – 38%, PiS – 33%, Kukiz'15 – 13%, KORWiN – 6%, Razem – 3%, others – 7%.[12]
  12. ↑ Includes: 0.8% – National Movement, 0.7% – German Minority.

References

  1. ↑ Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż: PO wciąż traci do Nowoczesnej, PiS na czele (23.11.2016)
  2. ↑ Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż dla "Rzeczpospolitej": PiS nie zyskałby dziś samodzielnej większości w Sejmie (24.10.2016)
  3. 1 2 Onet.pl, "Rzeczpospolita": nowy sondaż, PiS wyraźnie traci (03.10.2016)
  4. ↑ Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż IBRiS dla „Rzeczpospolitej": Spada poparcie PiS (30.08.2016)
  5. ↑ Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż IBRiS dla "Rzeczpospolitej": PiS na czele, PO przed Nowoczesną (03.08.2016)
  6. ↑ Interia.pl, Sondaż dla "Rz": PiS na prowadzeniu. Partii rośnie niebezpieczny konkurent? (05.07.2016)
  7. ↑ "Kodalicja" wygrywa wybory. Tylko jak utworzyć rząd w takim Sejmie?, Oko.press (4 July 2016)
  8. ↑ Rzeczpospolita, Stankiewicz: Platforma walczy ze sobą (14.06.2016)
  9. ↑ Sondaż: wzrost poparcia dla PiS, Nowoczesna traci, TVN24, 30.05.2016
  10. ↑ Nowy SONDAŻ dla SE.pl: KOD bez PO WYGRYWA z PiS, Super Express (27 May 2016)
  11. ↑ Sondaż: PiS traci, ale wciąż nie ma sobie równych. PO zyskuje, Radio ZET, 13.05.2016
  12. ↑ Koalicja lepsza od PiS. Sondaż TNS dla "Gazety Wyborczej", Gazeta Wyborcza (12 May 2016)
  13. ↑ Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż: 500plus pomaga notowaniom PiS (14.05.2016)
  14. ↑ Fakt24.pl, Wielka porażka Schetyny. Nawet Kukiz ma lepsze notowania
  15. ↑ Ewybory.eu, Sondaż IBRiS dla „Rzeczpospolitej” (09.04.2016)
  16. ↑ Najnowszy sondaż: PiS i Nowoczesna zyskują poparcie. PO i Kukiz'15 - tracą, Gazeta Prawna, 08.04.2016
  17. ↑ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu. Liderem partia Jarosława Kaczyńskiego
  18. ↑ CBOS: PiS - 34 proc.; Nowoczesna - 16 proc.; PO - 14 proc., Rzeczpospolita, 21.03.2016
  19. ↑ Ewybory.eu, Sondaż IBRiS (17.03.2016)
  20. ↑ Ewybory, Sondaż IBRiS dla “Rzeczpospolitej” (12.03.2016)
  21. ↑ Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż: PiS z ogromną przewagą nad opozycją
  22. ↑ Sondaż CBOS: PiS - 37 proc., PO - 18 proc. Cztery partie w Sejmie, Wiadomości, 10.03.2016
  23. ↑ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu: PiS umacnia się na prowadzeniu
  24. ↑ Rzeczpospolita.pl, Sondaż: Co trzeci Polak wybiera PiS
  25. ↑ Gazeta.pl, Sondaż TNS Polska: Rośnie poparcie dla PiS. Pięć ugrupowań powyżej progu
  26. ↑ PiS wciąż na prowadzeniu. W Sejmie cztery partie [SONDAŻ CBOS], Gazeta Wyborcza, 11.02.2016
  27. ↑ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu. PiS nadal na prowadzeniu
  28. ↑ Sondaż CBOS. PiS na prowadzeniu przed Nowoczesną i PO, Polskie Radio, 29.01.2016
  29. ↑ TVN24, Nowy sondaż: PiS na szczycie z gigantyczną przewagą
  30. ↑ RP.pl, PiS na czele, Nowoczesna goni
  31. ↑ Sondaż CBOS: PiS daleko przed .Nowoczesną, Rzeczpospolita, 15.01.2016
  32. ↑ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu: niespodziewany lider, PiS na drugim miejscu
  33. ↑ WP.pl, Sondaż: Tomasz Siemoniak wygrałby z Grzegorzem Schetyną w wyborach wewnętrznych w PO
  34. ↑ Super Express, SE.pl, Sensacyjny SONDAŻ IBRiS dla Super Expressu: Petru WYPRZEDZIŁ Kaczyńskiego
  35. ↑ RP.pl, Sondaż: PiS traci poparcie. Petru zyskuje
  36. ↑ CBOS: 35 proc. poparcia dla PiS, Nowoczesna wyprzedza PO [SONDAŻ], Gazeta Wyborcza, 11.12.2015
  37. ↑ WP Wiadomości, Sondaż TNS Polska: 42 proc. chcących głosować popiera PiS, 17 proc. PO
  38. ↑ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu: Prawo i Sprawiedliwość zdecydowanym liderem
  39. ↑ Sondaż: PiS stabilnie, Nowoczesna nową PO
  40. ↑ RP.pl Duża przewaga PiS. Petru goni PO
  41. ↑ TVN24, Sondaż: PiS wygrywa z PO jeszcze wyraźniej niż 25 października]
  42. ↑ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Pierwszy powyborczy sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu: liderzy tracą
  43. ↑ RP.pl, Sondaż: Petru szybko goni Platformę

External links

Parlamentarny.pl - List of all polls

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