Opinion polling for the next Hungarian parliamentary election

In the run up to the next Hungarian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Hungary. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 6 April 2014, to the present day. The next general election is scheduled to be held in or before spring 2018.

Poll results

Methodological note: The Hungarian pollsters generally release separate data about the support of political parties among all eligible voters (which tends to include a high percentage for "don't know/no preference"), and about the support of political parties among "active" or "certain" voters. The table below refers to the latter data.[lower-alpha 1]

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Date Polling Firm/Source Fidesz MSZP Jobbik LMP Együtt DK PM Others Lead
10-18 Nov Nézőpont 46.0 10.0 26.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 24.0
Nov Medián 53.0 14.0 16.0 3.0 3.0 9.0 0.0 2.0 37.0
7-14 Nov ZRi 44.0 16.0 21.0 5.0 3.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 23.0
24-26 Oct Nézőpont 45.0 9.0 23.0 3.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 9.0 22.0
16-26 Oct Republikon 52.0 17.0 19.0 5.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 33.0
14-23 Oct Tárki 54.0 15.0 17.0 3.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 37.0
12-21 Oct Iránytű 50.0 10.0 24.0 4.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 4.0 26.0
11-13 Oct Publicus 50.0 19.0 17.0 4.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 4.0 31.0
9-16 Oct ZRi 49.0 14.0 17.0 5.0 3.0 8.0 0.0 4.0 32.0
Sep Századvég 47.0 15.0 21.0 6.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 26.0
18-21 Sep Nézőpont 49.0 10.0 20.0 4.0 2.0 7.0 1.0 7.0 29.0
9-13 Sep Medián 54.0 15.0 17.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 37.0
4-11 Sep ZRI 45.0 15.0 19.0 5.0 3.0 9.0 0.0 4.0 26.0
Aug Republikon 48.0 18.0 19.0 5.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 29.0
12–15 Aug Nézőpont 45.0 10.0 22.0 6.0 2.0 9.0 1.0 5.0 23.0
11–16 Aug Publicus 47.0 20.0 18.0 6.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 27.0
4–11 Aug ZRI 43.0 17.0 22.0 4.0 1.0 9.0 0.0 4.0 21.0
1–7 Aug Iránytű 46.0 11.0 25.0 4.0 3.0 9.0 0.3 1.0 21.0
Jul Republikon 43.0 17.0 20.0 6.0 2.0 8.0 1.0 3.0 23.0
15–24 Jul Tárki 49.0 13.0 22.0 4.0 2.0 8.0 0.0 2.0 27.0
15–17 Jul Nézőpont 44.0 12.0 21.0 7.0 2.0 8.0 1.0 5.0 23.0
10–17 Jul ZRI 46.0 19.0 18.0 4.0 2.0 9.0 0.0 2.0 27.0
1–6 Jul Századvég 45.0 15.0 23.0 5.0 1.0 7.0 0.0 4.0 22.0
1–6 Jul Publicus 44.0 21.0 18.0 6.0 1.0 6.0 0.0 4.0 23.0
17–19 Jun Nézőpont 40.0 11.0 24.0 7.0 2.0 10.0 1.0 5.0 16.0
Jun Medián 56.0 14.0 15.0 4.0 2.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 41.0
10–15 Jun Publicus 45.0 20.0 18.0 5.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 25.0
5–12 Jun ZRI 39.0 19.0 19.0 5.0 3.0 11.0 0.0 4.0 20.0
1–5 Jun Századvég 44.0 16.0 24.0 4.0 1.0 8.0 0.0 3.0 20.0
25–31 May Republikon 43.0 20.0 18.0 5.0 3.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 23.0
19–25 May Iránytű 44.0 12.0 26.0 5.0 2.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 18.0
13–19 May Nézőpont 41.0 11.0 27.0 6.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 14.0
12–17 May Publicus 43.0 21.0 19.0 5.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 6.0 22.0
7–14 May ZRI 43.0 18.0 20.0 4.0 3.0 8.0 0.0 4.0 23.0
15–20 Apr Nézőpont 40.0 13.0 26.0 7.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 14.0
14–20 Apr Tárki 47.0 18.0 20.0 4.0 2.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 27.0
8–12 Apr Publicus 46.0 20.0 19.0 4.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 3.0 26.0
4–11 Apr ZRI 40.0 17.0 20.0 5.0 4.0 10.0 0.0 4.0 20.0
1–7 Apr Medián 50.0 13.0 18.0 3.0 3.0 11.0 0.0 1.0 32.0
Apr Republikon 51.0 19.0 17.0 4.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 2.0 32.0
18–21 Mar Nézőpont 41.0 12.0 24.0 5.0 4.0 9.0 2.0 3.0 17.0
10–17 Mar Publicus 47.0 21.0 18.0 5.0 1.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 26.0
6–13 Mar ZRI 44.0 18.0 17.0 6.0 3.0 8.0 0.0 4.0 26.0
Mar Republikon 50.0 19.0 17.0 4.0 2.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 31.0
20–25 Feb Századvég 46.0 14.0 23.0 4.0 1.0 9.0 0.0 3.0 23.0
18–28 Feb Iránytű 42.0 11.0 25.0 7.0 3.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 17.0
12–17 Feb Nézőpont 44.0 11.0 23.0 5.0 2.0 10.0 1.0 4.0 21.0
9–11 Feb Publicus 48.0 19.0 17.0 5.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 4.0 29.0
Feb Republikon 49.0 19.0 22.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 27.0
Feb ZRI 48.0 15.0 17.0 4.0 2.0 9.0 0.0 5.0 31.0
22–27 Jan Medián 53.0 15.0 19.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 34.0
22–26 Jan Századvég 45.0 14.0 22.0 5.0 2.0 10.0 0.0 2.0 23.0
15–20 Jan Tárki 54.0 12.0 20.0 4.0 3.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 34.0
15–19 Jan Nézőpont 44.0 15.0 23.0 5.0 2.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 21.0
12–17 Jan Publicus 49.0 18.0 17.0 5.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 4.0 31.0
2016
3–7 Dec Nézőpont 48.0 11.0 21.0 4.0 1.0 9.0 1.0 5.0 27.0
2–5 Dec Publicus 49.0 16.0 21.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 4.0 28.0
27 Nov–1 Dec Medián 51.0 11.0 21.0 4.0 2.0 9.0 0.0 2.0 30.0
14–19 Nov Nézőpont 48.0 9.0 22.0 6.0 2.0 7.0 1.0 5.0 26.0
17–21 Oct Nézőpont 45.0 10.0 22.0 5.0 2.0 9.0 1.0 6.0 23.0
16–23 Oct Tárki 51.0 14.0 23.0 4.0 1.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 28.0
14–26 Oct Iránytű 47.0 10.0 25.0 5.0 2.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 22.0
9–15 Oct Publicus 45.0 18.0 24.0 5.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 21.0
11–15 Sep Medián 50.0 15.0 22.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 28.0
7–15 Sep Ipsos 41.0 17.0 26.0 5.0 1.0 7.0 0.0 3.0 15.0
1–4 Sep Századvég 41.0 16.0 26.0 5.0 2.0 8.0 (Együtt) 2.0 15.0
14–19 Aug Nézőpont 40.0 10.0 26.0 7.0 2.0 13.0 0.0 2.0 14.0
6–12 Aug Publicus 42.0 19.0 24.0 5.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 4.0 18.0
24–29 Jul Nézőpont 41.0 11.0 26.0 6.0 4.0 9.0 2.0 1.0 15.0
17–21 Jul Tárki 39.0 19.0 24.0 4.0 2.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 15.0
19–25 Jun Nézőpont 41.0 12.0 26.0 5.0 2.0 11.0 1.0 2.0 15.0
10–14 Jun Századvég 40.0 15.0 27.0 6.0 2.0 8.0 (Együtt) 2.0 13.0
7–9 Jul Publicus 42.0 20.0 23.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 19.0
3–11 Jun Iránytű 42.0 11.0 28.0 6.0 3.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 14.0
1–8 Jun Ipsos 38.0 15.0 28.0 5.0 1.0 9.0 0.0 3.0 10.0
May Medián 44.0 12.0 24.0 5.0 3.0 9.0 1.0 2.0 20.0
16–22 May Nézőpont 39.0 12.0 25.0 7.0 3.0 10.0 0.0 4.0 14.0
20–25 Apr Nézőpont 36.0 13.0 28.0 7.0 3.0 10.0 0.0 3.0 8.0
16–23 Apr Tárki 38.0 17.0 24.0 5.0 1.0 9.0 1.0 4.0 14.0
12–19 Apr Ipsos 38.0 17.0 27.0 7.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 11.0
10–15 Apr Századvég 38.0 17.0 28.0 6.0 2.0 8.0 (Együtt) 1.0 10.0
27–31 Mar Medián 40.0 17.0 25.0 4.0 2.0 6.0 0.0 2.0 15.0
21–27 Mar Nézőpont 44.0 10.0 23.0 7.0 3.0 12.0 1.0 1.0 21.0
6–13 Mar Ipsos 37.0 19.0 28.0 4.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 3.0 9.0
5–10 Mar Századvég 41.0 18.0 27.0 5.0 2.0 6.0 (Együtt) 1.0 14.0
21–24 Feb Nézőpont 42.0 13.0 28.0 5.0 0.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 14.0
6–11 Feb Medián 45.0 17.0 21.0 5.0 3.0 7.0 (Együtt) 2.0 24.0
5–10 Feb Századvég 45.0 19.0 25.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 (Együtt) 1.0 20.0
1–7 Feb Ipsos 40.0 19.0 25.0 5.0 2.0 6.0 1.0 2.0 15.0
24–26 Jan Nézőpont 40.0 12.0 27.0 8.0 4.0 6.0 (Együtt) 3.0 13.0
16–22 Jan Tárki 41.0 18.0 20.0 5.0 4.0 10.0 (Együtt) 1.0 21.0
15–20 Jan Századvég 45.0 18.0 24.0 5.0 2.0 4.0 (Együtt) 2.0 21.0
11–18 Jan Iránytű 39.0 15.0 24.0 7.0 4.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 15.0
3–10 Jan Ipsos 44.0 19.0 24.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 20.0
2015
15–20 Dec Századvég 44.0 17.0 22.0 6.0 4.0 4.0 (Együtt) 3.0 22.0
9–16 Dec Nézőpont 40.0 12.0 24.0 8.0 4.0 9.0 (Együtt) 3.0 16.0
1–8 Dec Ipsos 45.0 18.0 24.0 5.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 21.0
28 Nov–2 Dec Medián 38.0 19.0 27.0 4.0 2.0 6.0 (Együtt) 4.0 11.0
13–23 Nov Tárki 45.0 20.0 21.0 5.0 3.0 5.0 (Együtt) 0.0 24.0
10–17 Nov Ipsos 48.0 15.0 21.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 (Együtt) 5.0 27.0
3–7 Nov Nézőpont 40.0 9.0 26.0 8.0 4.0 11.0 (Együtt) 2.0 14.0
14–20 Oct Tárki 55.0 16.0 17.0 3.0 2.0 5.0 (Együtt) 1.0 38.0
1–7 Oct Ipsos 55.0 15.0 16.0 4.0 3.0 5.0 (Együtt) 2.0 39.0
22–26 Sep Nézőpont 45.0 12.0 20.0 6.0 5.0 12.0 (Együtt) 0.0 25.0
22–25 Sep Századvég 54.0 15.0 17.0 3.0 3.0 6.0 (Együtt) 2.0 37.0
19–23 Sep Medián 50.0 15.0 21.0 3.0 6.0 4.0 (Együtt) 1.0 29.0
10–17 Sep Tárki 54.0 18.0 15.0 4.0 3.0 6.0 (Együtt) 1.0 36.0
7–14 Sep Ipsos 56.0 16.0 17.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 (Együtt) 0.0 39.0
25–30 Aug Nézőpont 42.0 11.0 26.0 9.0 4.0 8.0 (Együtt) 0.0 16.0
5–12 Aug Ipsos 49.0 18.0 19.0 3.0 3.0 5.0 (Együtt) 3.0 30.0
22–25 Jul Századvég 53.0 12.0 18.0 4.0 4.0 7.0 (Együtt) 2.0 35.0
21–24 Jul Nézőpont 41.0 13.0 23.0 8.0 6.0 8.0 (Együtt) 1.0 18.0
16–22 Jul Tárki 55.0 15.0 16.0 3.0 6.0 4.0 (Együtt) 2.0 39.0
13–21 Jul Ipsos 56.0 15.0 16.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 (Együtt) 3.0 40.0
12–18 Jul Iránytű 51.0 10.0 19.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 (Együtt) 2.0 32.0
16–18 Jun Nézőpont 47.0 14.0 19.0 7.0 6.0 7.0 (Együtt) 0.0 28.0
11–17 Jun Tárki 56.0 16.0 15.0 4.0 4.0 6.0 (Együtt) 1.0 40.0
6–13 Jun Ipsos 57.0 10.0 18.0 4.0 4.0 6.0 (Együtt) 1.0 39.0
25 May EP Election 51.5 10.9 14.7 5.0 7.3 9.8 (Együtt) 0.9 36.8
14–18 May Nézőpont 46.0 17.0 15.0 8.0 6.0 6.0 (Együtt) 2.0 29.0
7–15 May Tárki 55.0 15.0 16.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 (Együtt) 3.0 39.0
6–13 May Ipsos 56.0 16.0 17.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 (Együtt) 1.0 39.0
6–8 May Nézőpont 46.0 15.0 15.0 10.0 10.0 4.0 (Együtt) 0.0 31.0
25–29 Apr Medián 56.0 14.0 17.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 (Együtt) 3.0 39.0
6 Apr 2014 National Election 44.9 25.6 20.2 5.3 (Unity) (Unity) (Együtt) 4.0 19.3

Notes

  1. In addition, confusingly, two pollsters publish parallel data even about "active" or "certain" voters. Thus, Medián publishes different numbers for the categories of "választani tudók" and "választani tudó "biztos" szavazók", though they don't tend to differ much – the data in the table here generally refers to the latter. Tárki's polling releases always highlight results about "A pártok támogatottsága a pártválasztók körében", and those are included in the table here (and can be reviewed further back into time in this database on their website), but their website also provides a separate database with somewhat different polling data on "A pártok támogatottságának alakulása a biztos szavazó pártválasztók körében". Finally, in February 2013 Nézőpont switched to a system in which it distinguishes between "the entire population" and "active voters", but even the "active voters" sample always includes a percentage of those who are "undecided but favour a change in government" and a percentage of those who are "undecided altogether". Those numbers are given in the footnotes for each Nézőpont poll in the table.
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