New Brunswick general election, 2014

New Brunswick general election, 2014
New Brunswick
September 22, 2014 (2014-09-22)
49 seats in the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick
25 seats needed for a majority
  Majority party Minority party
 
Leader Brian Gallant David Alward
Party Liberal Progressive Conservative
Leader since October 27, 2012 October 18, 2008
Leader's seat Shediac Bay-Dieppe Carleton
Last election 13 seats, 34.42% 42 seats, 48.84%
Seats before 13 41
Seats won 27 21
Seat change +14 -20
Percentage 42.73% 34.65%
Swing +8.31pp -14.19pp
  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader David Coon Dominic Cardy
Party Green New Democratic
Leader since September 22, 2012 March 2, 2011
Leader's seat Fredericton South ran in Fredericton West-Hanwell (lost)
Last election 0 seats, 4.54% 0 seats, 10.41%
Seats before 0 0
Seats won 1 0
Seat change +1 ±0
Percentage 6.61% 12.98%
Swing +2.07pp +2.57pp

Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding.
Premier before election

David Alward
Progressive Conservative

 Premier-designate

Brian Gallant
Liberal

The 38th New Brunswick general election was held on September 22, 2014, to elect 49 members to the 58th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada.

The 2013 redistribution reduced the size of the legislature from 55 seats to 49.

The New Brunswick Liberal Association, led by Brian Gallant, won a majority government, defeating Incumbent Premier David Alward's Progressive Conservatives, which became the second single-term government in New Brunswick's history.[1] The New Democratic Party, led by Dominic Cardy won the highest support in its history, though failed to win any seats. As a result of these losses, both Alward and Cardy resigned as leaders of their respective parties.[1][2] The Green Party of New Brunswick improved on its results from the previous election, with party leader David Coon winning the party's first seat, and becoming only the second Green politician (after British Columbia MLA Andrew J. Weaver) elected to a provincial legislature.[1]

Fracking was a major issue in the election as a whole. Most commentators described the election as a referendum on it.[3][4]

Polling in the weeks leading up to the campaign gave the Liberals a wide lead over the governing Progressive Conservatives. Some commentators openly speculated about whether the Liberals were on track to repeat the 1987 provincial election, when they won every seat in the legislative assembly.[5] As the campaign progressed, however, the gap in popular support between the two parties narrowed significantly. Some attributed this in part to a television interview with CBC New Brunswick anchor Harry Forestell in which Gallant gave inaccurate numbers relating to his proposal for a tax increase on the province's wealthiest residents.[6] In the final poll of the campaign, the Liberals and the Progressive Conservatives were tied at 40 per cent support each.[7]

Timeline

Results

Summary of the 2014 Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick election results
Party Party leader # of
candidates		 Seats Popular vote
2010 Dissolution Elected Change # % Change
Liberal Brian Gallant 49 13 13 27 +14 158,848 42.72% +8.30pp
Progressive Conservative David Alward 49 42 41 21 -20 128,801 34.64% -14.20pp
Green David Coon 46 0 0 1 +1 24,582 6.61% +2.07pp
New Democratic Dominic Cardy 49 0 0 0 ±0 48,257 12.98% +2.57pp
People's Alliance Kris Austin 18 0 0 0 ±0 7,964 2.14% +0.97pp
     Independent 9 0 1 0 -1 3,293 0.89% +0.28pp
Total 220 55 55 49 -6 371,819 100%

Tabulator problem and manual recount demand

The election marked the first time that the province used electronic vote tabulation machines from Dominion Voting in Ontario in a provincial election. They had previously been used in New Brunswick municipal elections.[1] On election night, the machines displayed vote totals which were verified by Elections New Brunswick officials and entered into a province-wide database for the media. By 11:45 PM, these unverified numbers were to have been replaced by totally machine-reported numbers from the tabulators themselves with no human interventions or errors possible to distort results. It was "a program processing the initial results that had a glitch", not the tabulators themselves, according to officials.[19]

Elections New Brunswick grew uncomfortable with the human involvement and influence of the unevenly tabulated results. It brought the results reporting to a standstill as counts were reverified by hand before further resignations or concessions were triggered.

At 10:45 p.m. Atlantic time, Elections New Brunswick officially suspended the results reporting count, with 17 ridings still undeclared, while it investigated the delay.[20] It called for over sixty tabulator count devices to be brought to central locations for verification without uploading via Internet and thus without relying on the flawed reporting program. However at no time was there an allegation of major fraud by any party or public official.

As a result of this controversy, both the Progressive Conservatives and the People's Alliance of New Brunswick called for a hand count of all ballots, with the former refusing to concede the election until the following day.[1] Despite this, Michael Quinn, the province's chief electoral officer, has said that no recount is necessary.[1]

This was largely reported as a technological and competence "fiasco" with implications not just for tabulators but for voting machine and Internet voting in the future.[1] Later, recounts were held in 7 of 49 ridings and the results were upheld with variations of no more than 1 vote per candidate per riding.[21]

Results by region

Party Name Northern Miramichi Southeastern Southern Capital Region Upper River Valley Total
     Liberal Seats 8 2 9 4 1 3 27
     Popular Vote 58.12% 45.34% 46.52% 34.30% 29.27% 43.00% 42.72%
     Progressive
Conservative		 Seats 0 1 5 7 6 2 21
     Popular Vote 25.51% 40.30% 31.13% 40.29% 35.79% 43.61% 34.65%
     New Democratic Seats 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
     Popular Vote 11.49% 6.01% 11.76% 16.50% 18.37% 7.67% 12.98%
  Green Seats 0 0 0 0 1 0 1
  Popular Vote 2.42% 3.10% 9.44% 5.83% 9.65% 4.35% 6.61%
  People's Alliance Seats 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
  Popular Vote 0.00% 2.83% 1.15% 2.53% 6.33% 0.46% 2.14%
     Independent Seats 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
     Popular Vote 2.46% 2.43% 0.00% 0.55% 0.59% 0.90% 0.89%
Total seats 8 3 14 11 8 5 49

Results by place

Party Seats Second Third Fourth
Liberal 27 18 4 0
Progressive Conservative 21 26 2 0
Green 1 1 4 34
New Democratic 0 3 35 11
People's Alliance 0 1 2 1
     Independent 0 0 2 1

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Date of Polling Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democrats Green People's Alliance MOE Source
Forum Research September 21, 2014 40 40 12 6 - ±3% PDF
Corporate Research Associates September 15–18, 2014 36 45 11 6 2 ±4.4% [22]
Forum Research September 11, 2014 32 42 13 6 - ±4% PDF
Corporate Research Associates August 19–31, 2014 28 48 17 4 2 ±3.5% [23]
Forum Research August 25, 2014 31 46 15 7 - ±3% [24]
NRG Research Group August 18–21, 2014 26 34 13 5 - ±2.8% [25]
Corporate Research Associates May 12–31, 2014 28 53 16 3 0 ±3.5% [26]
Corporate Research Associates February 12–28, 2014 31 43 21 4 0 ±6.6% [27]
Corporate Research Associates November 13–28, 2013 25 47 24 4 0 ±4.9% [28]
Corporate Research Associates August 14– September 1, 2013 23 47 24 4 3 ±4.9% [29]
Corporate Research Associates May 14–30, 2013 29 41 27 3 1 ±3.5% [30]
Corporate Research Associates February 13 - March 8, 2013 32 35 26 5 0 ±4.9% [31]
Corporate Research Associates November 13 - December 1, 2012 38 38 19 4 1 ±4.9% [32]
Corporate Research Associates August 14–31, 2012 38 32 24 6 0 ±4.9% [33]
Corporate Research Associates May 14–30, 2012 44 32 19 5 0 ±4.8% [34]
Environics (Saint John only) March 29 – April 1, 2012 33 28 39 ±3.8% [35][36]
Corporate Research Associates February 16–29, 2012 45 31 22 3 0 ±4.9% [37]
Corporate Research Associates November 14–29, 2011 45 28 23 3 1 ±3.5% [38]
Corporate Research Associates August 15–31, 2011 41 34 23 2 ±4.9% [39]
Corporate Research Associates May 12–31, 2011 56 20 20 1 3 ±3.5% [40]
Corporate Research Associates February 9–28, 2011 58 27 8 6 ±4.9% [41]
Corporate Research Associates November, 2010 61 25 10 4 [41]
Election 2010 September 27, 2010 48.8 34.3 10.4 4.5 1.2 [42]

Retiring incumbents

The following sitting members of the legislative assembly (MLAs) have announced that they will not re-offer at this election:

Progressive Conservatives

Liberals

Candidates

New boundaries are in effect as a result of an electoral redistribution replacing the districts used in the 2006 and 2010 elections. Candidates had to file their nomination papers by September 2, 2014 to appear on the ballot.[51]

Legend

Northern

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Progressive Conservatives Liberal NDP Green Other
Restigouche West Martine Coulombe*
1,710
20.08%		 Gilles LePage
4,940
58.02%		 Gilles Cyr
351
4.12%		 —[52] Charles Thériault (Independent)
1,514
17.78%		 new district
Campbellton-Dalhousie Joseph Elias
1,879
24.27%		 Donald Arseneault
4,820
62.25%		 Jamie O'Rourke
762
9.84%		 Heather Wood
282
3.64%		 Donald Arseneault
merged district
Greg Davis†[45]
Restigouche-Chaleur Gilberte Boudreau
1,120
14.84%		 Daniel Guitard
4,069
53.92%		 Ray Godin
2,198
29.12%		 Mario Comeau
160
2.12%		 Roland Haché†[50]
Bathurst West-Beresford Anne Bard-Lavigne
1,778
25.54%		 Brian Kenny*
4,367
62.74%		 Etienne Arseneau
564
8.10%		 Catherine Doucet
252
3.62%		 new district
Bathurst East-Nepisiguit-Saint-Isidore Ryan Riordon*
1,894
26.31%		 Denis Landry*
4,431
61.56%		 Benjamin Kalenda
559
7.77%		 Gerry Aubie
314
4.36%		 new district
Caraquet Suzanne Morais-Vienneau
1,814
21.86%		 Hédard Albert
4,716
56.82%		 Mathieu Chayer
1,579
19.02%		 Sophie Chiasson-Gould
191
2.30%		 Hédard Albert
Shippagan-Lamèque-Miscou Paul Robichaud
3,970
45.60%		 Wilfred Roussel
4,014
46.10%		 Juliette Paulin
497
5.71%		 Tony Mallet
226
2.60%		 Paul Robichaud
Tracadie-Sheila Claude Landry
2,195
23.97%		 Serge Rousselle
5,916
64.61%		 François Rousselle
861
9.40%		 Nancy Benoit
121
1.32%		 Donald Thomas (Independent)
64
0.70%		 Claude Landry

Miramichi

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Progressive Conservatives Liberal NDP Green Other
Miramichi Bay-Neguac Serge Robichaud
3,307
38.76%		 Lisa Harris
4,199
49.22%		 Curtis Bartibogue
785
9.20%		 Filip Vanicek
240
2.81%		 Serge Robichaud
Miramichi Robert Trevors
2,743
34.51%		 Bill Fraser
3,974
50.00%		 Roger Vautour
328
4.13%		 Patty Deitch
307
3.86%		 Michael "Tanker" Malley (Independent)
596
7.50%		 Bill Fraser
merged district
Robert Trevors
Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin Jake Stewart
3,837
47.62%		 Norma Smith
2,951
36.63%		 Douglas Mullin
361
4.48%		 Kevin Matthews
214
2.66%		 Wes Gullison (PANB)
694
8.61%		 Jake Stewart

Southeastern

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Progressive Conservatives Liberal NDP Green Other
Kent North Nancy Blanchard
1,559
16.60%		 Bertrand LeBlanc
4,699
50.02%		 Allan Marsh
1,294
13.77%		 Rébeka Frazer-Chiasson
1,707
18.17%		 Raven-Chanelle Arsenault-Augustine (PANB)
135
1.44%		 Bertrand LeBlanc
Kent South Claude Williams
3,216
33.75%		 Benoît Bourque
4,637
48.66%		 Paul Musgrave
535
5.61%		 Tina Beers
953
10.00%		 Joël MacIntosh (PANB)
188
1.97%		 Brian Gallant[A]
merged district
Claude Williams
Shediac Bay-Dieppe Dolorès Poirier
1,678
19.15%		 Brian Gallant*
5,661
64.61%		 Agathe Lapointe
803
9.16%		 Stephanie Matthews
620
7.08%		 new district
Shediac-Beaubassin-Cap-Pelé Carmel Brun
1,718
18.81%		 Victor Boudreau
5,496
60.18%		 Bernice Boudreau
1,175
12.87%		 Charles Thibodeau
743
8.14%		 Victor Boudreau
Memramcook-Tantramar Mike Olscamp
2,037
26.45%		 Bernard LeBlanc*
3,515
45.64%		 Hélène Boudreau
972
12.62%		 Megan Mitton
1,178
15.29%		 Mike Olscamp
Dieppe Normand Léger
1,360
18.44%		 Roger Melanson
4,866
65.97%		 Sandy Harquail
736
9.98%		 Françoise Aubin
414
5.61%		 Roger Melanson
Moncton East Jane Mitton-MacLean
2,521
33.01%		 Monique LeBlanc
3,443
45.09%		 Roy MacMullin
1,105
14.47%		 Matthew Clark
567
7.43%		 new district
Moncton Centre Marie-Claude Blais*
1,589
25.21%		 Chris Collins*
3,339
52.98%		 Luc Leblanc
866
13.74%		 Jeffrey McCluskey
508
8.06%		 new district
Moncton South Sue Stultz
2,247
34.91%		 Cathy Rogers
2,903
45.10%		 Elisabeth French
757
11.76%		 Rish McGlynn
530
8.23%		 Sue Stultz
Moncton Northwest Ernie Steeves
3,012
42.15%		 Brian Hicks
2,773
38.80%		 Jason Purdy
783
10.96%		 Mike Milligan
436
6.10%		 Carl Bainbridge (PANB)
142
1.99%		 John Betts†
Moncton Southwest Sherry Wilson*
2,523
38.80%		 Tyson Milner
2,274
34.97%		 Charles Doucet
1,129
17.36%		 Mathieu LaPlante
392
6.03%		 Lucy Goguen (PANB)
184
2.83%		 new district
Riverview Bruce Fitch
3,751
52.73%		 Tammy Rampersaud
2,097
29.48%		 Danie Pitre
723
10.16%		 Linda Hardwick
542
7.62%		 Bruce Fitch
Albert Brian Keirstead
3,163
40.78%		 Terry Keating
2,190
28.24%		 Kelly-Sue O'Connor
880
11.35%		 Ira Wilbur
929
11.98%		 Bill Brewer (PANB)
594
7.66%		 Wayne Steeves†
Gagetown-Petitcodiac Ross Wetmore*
3,352
44.47%		 Barak Stevens
2,499
33.15%		 Anthony Crandall
978
12.97%		 Fred Harrison
709
9.41%		 new district

Southern

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Progressive Conservatives Liberal NDP Green Other
Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins Bruce Northrup
3,677
49.86%		 Heike MacGregor
1,710
23.19%		 Billy Carter
652
8.84%		 Stephanie Coburn
570
7.73%		 LeRoy Armstrong (PANB)
766
10.39%		 Bruce Northrup
Hampton Gary Crossman
2,679
38.74%		 John Cairns
1,618
23.40%		 Bev Harrison*
1,796
25.97%		 John Sabine
554
8.01%		 Joan K. Seeley (PANB)
269
3.89%		 new district
Quispamsis Blaine Higgs
3,884
51.35%		 Mary Schryer
2,390
31.60%		 Angela-Jo Griffin
938
12.40%		 Patrick Kemp
238
3.15%		 Brandon Gardner (PANB)
114
1.51%		 Blaine Higgs
Rothesay Ted Flemming
3,039
45.24%		 Stephanie Tomilson
1,838
27.36%		 John Wilcox
1,559
23.21%		 Ann McAllister
282
4.20%		 Ted Flemming[B]
Saint John East Glen Savoie
2,323
36.88%		 Gary Keating
2,332
37.02%		 Phil Comeau
1,167
18.53%		 Sharon Murphy
353
5.60%		 Jason Inness (PANB)
124
1.97%		 Glen Savoie
merged district
Glen Tait†[49]
Portland-Simonds Trevor Holder
2,782
48.90%		 Michael Butler
1,905
33.49%		 Tony Sekulich
743
13.06%		 Sheila Croteau
259
4.55%		 Trevor Holder
Saint John Harbour Carl Killen
1,615
30.84%		 Ed Doherty
1,686
32.19%		 Gary Stackhouse
1,120
21.39%		 Wayne Dryer
701
13.39%		 Arthur Watson (PANB)
115
2.20%		 Carl Killen
Saint John Lancaster Dorothy Shephard
2,619
39.18%		 Peter McGuire
2,162
32.35%		 Abel LeBlanc
1,535
22.97%		 Ashley Durdle
283
4.23%		 Mary Ellen Carpenter (Independent)
85
1.27%		 Dorothy Shephard
Kings Centre Bill Oliver
2,431
35.66%		 Shannon Merrifield
2,110
30.95%		 Daniel Anderson
1,642
24.09%		 Mark Connell
311
4.56%		 Colby Fraser (Independent)
323
4.74%		 new district
Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West Jim Parrott*
1,828
25.39%		 Rick Doucet
4,498
62.47%		 Terry James
558
7.75%		 Krysta Oland
316
4.39%		 Rick Doucet
Charlotte-Campobello Curtis Malloch
2,982
39.19%		 John Ames
3,176
41.73%		 June Greenlaw
515
6.77%		 Derek Simon
453
5.95%		 Joyce Wright (PANB)
484
6.36%		 Curtis Malloch

Capital Region

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Progressive Conservatives Liberal NDP Green Other
Oromocto-Lincoln Jody Carr
2,827
41.97%		 Trisha Hoyt
2,354
34.95%		 Amanda Diggins
857
12.72%		 Jean Louis Deveau
379
5.63%		 Jeff Langille (PANB)
318
4.72%		 Jody Carr
merged district
Craig Leonard
Fredericton-Grand Lake Pam Lynch
2,403
28.79%		 Sheri Shannon
2,330
27.91%		 Bronwen Mosher
879
10.53%		 Dan Weston
358
4.29%		 Kris Austin(PANB)
2,377
28.48%		 Pam Lynch
merged district
Ross Wetmore
New Maryland-Sunbury Jeff Carr
3,391
40.95%		 Michael Pearson
2,595
31.34%		 Aimee Foreman
1,787
21.58%		 Kelsey Adams
508
6.13%		 Jack Carr†
Fredericton South Craig Leonard*
1,938
26.17%		 Roy Wiggins
1,601
21.62%		 Kelly Lamrock
1,465
19.78%		 David Coon
2,272
30.68%		 Courtney Mills (Independent)
130
1.76%		 new district
Fredericton North Troy Lifford*
2,445
31.73%		 Stephen Horsman
2,589
33.60%		 Brian Duplessis
1,560
20.25%		 Madeleine Berrevoets
791
10.27%		 Patricia Wilkins (PANB)
320
4.15%		 new district
Fredericton-York Kirk MacDonald*
2,886
35.42%		 Randy McKeen
2,365
29.03%		 Sharon Scott-Levesque
1,695
20.80%		 Dorothy Diamond
583
7.16%		 Rick Wilkins (PANB)
379
4.65%
Gerald Bourque (Independent)
240
2.95%		 new district
Fredericton West-Hanwell Brian Macdonald
2,971
35.21%		 Bernadine Gibson
2,384
28.25%		 Dominic Cardy
2,502
29.65%		 Gayla MacIntosh
582
6.90%		 Brian Macdonald
merged district
Carl Urquhart
Carleton-York Carl Urquhart*
3,662
46.53%		 Ashley Cummings
2,203
27.99%		 Jacob Elsinga
816
10.37%		 Terry Wishart
602
7.65%		 David Graham (PANB)
587
7.46%		 new district

Upper River Valley

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
 Progressive Conservatives Liberal NDP Green Other
Carleton David Alward*
4,061
56.77%		 Thomas Reid
1,588
22.20%		 Jeremiah Clark
580
8.11%		 Andrew Clark
750
10.49%		 Steven Love (PANB)
174
2.43%		 new district
Carleton-Victoria Colin Lockhart
3,049
39.76%		 Andrew Harvey
3,131
40.83%		 Joe Gee
683
8.91%		 Garth Farquhar
464
6.05%		 Carter Edgar (Independent)
216
2.82%
Terry Ritchie (Independent)
125
1.63%		 Dale Graham†[46]
merged district
Wes McLean†[47]
Victoria-la-Vallée Danny Soucy
3,056
38.20%		 Chuck Chiasson
3,969
49.62%		 Joe Berube
546
6.83%		 Daniel Zolondek
428
5.35%		 Danny Soucy
Edmundston-Madawaska Centre Madeleine Dubé
3,666
48.16%		 Michel LeBlond
3,423
44.97%		 Alain Martel
523
6.87%		 Madeleine Dubé
Madawaska-les-Lacs-Edmundston Yvon Bonenfant
2,616
35.92%		 Francine Landry
4,106
56.39%		 Widler Jules
560
7.69%		 Yvon Bonenfant

Notes

  • A1 Gallant won the seat in a by-election on April 15, 2013. The seat was previously held by Liberal former premier Shawn Graham.
  • B1 Flemming won the seat in a by-election on June 25, 2012. The seat was previously held by Progressive Conservative Margaret-Ann Blaney.

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 McHardie, Daniel (September 23, 2014). "N.B. election 2014 results: Brian Gallant's Liberals win amid vote-count fiasco". CBC News. Retrieved September 23, 2014.
  2. ↑ "David Alward concedes election, resigns as Tory leader". CBC News. September 23, 2014. Retrieved September 23, 2014.
  3. ↑ globalnews.ca:
  4. ↑ vancouverobserver.com: "Pro-gas fracking government turfed in New Brunswick election", 24 Sep 2014
  5. ↑ "Brian Gallant struggles to articulate campaign message". CBC News. August 30, 2014. Retrieved September 22, 2014.
  6. ↑ "New Brunswick Tories call Brian Gallant gaffe his "Stéphane Dion" moment". Yahoo! News. September 17, 2014. Retrieved September 22, 2014.
  7. ↑ "New Brunswick election too close to call, final poll shows". Toronto Sun. September 22, 2014. Retrieved September 22, 2014.
  8. ↑ CBC News Online. "Graham may not join Grits in opposition." Archived October 1, 2010, at the Wayback Machine.
  9. ↑ CBC News Online. "N.B. NDP leader resigns." Archived October 28, 2010, at the Wayback Machine.
  10. ↑ "CBC News Online. "Cardy is N.B.'s new NDP leader."". Cbc.ca. 2011-03-02. Retrieved 2014-08-27.
  11. ↑ (French) La ministre néo-brunswickoise Margaret-Ann Blaney quitte la vie politique Mise à jour le mercredi 16 mai 2012 à 12 h 06 HAE
  12. ↑ "Saint John-area MLA kicked out of Tory caucus". CBC News. September 20, 2012. Retrieved September 20, 2012.
  13. ↑ "Conservationist Coon N.B.'s new Green Party leader". CBC News. September 22, 2012. Retrieved September 24, 2012.
  14. ↑ "Electoral Boundaries and Representation Commission concludes mandate". .gnb.ca. 2013-06-06. Retrieved 2014-08-27.
  15. ↑ "Dr. Jim Parrott rejoins Progressive Conservative caucus - New Brunswick - CBC News". Cbc.ca. 2014-04-30. Retrieved 2014-08-27.
  16. ↑
  17. ↑ "MLA Bios -58th Legislature". 2014-08-20. Retrieved 2014-08-27.
  18. 1 2 3 "Jobs and the economy the top issues of New Brunswick election, premier says". Prince George Citizen. August 18, 2014. Retrieved August 20, 2014.
  19. ↑ Odell, Patrick (September 23, 2014). "Vote tabulators not to blame for N.B. election results glitches: official". Global News. Retrieved September 23, 2014.
  20. ↑ "Liberals win majority in N.B. election amid vote-counting problems". CTV News Atlantic. September 23, 2014. Retrieved September 23, 2014.
  21. ↑ http://www.cbc.ca/m/touch/canada/new-brunswick/story/1.2787839
  22. ↑ "Liberal lead shrinks as Tories gain, CRA poll says | Corporate Research Associates Inc | (CRA)". Cra.ca. Retrieved 2014-09-19.
  23. ↑ "NB Liberals Still Well Ahead in Voter Intentions Although Gap Narrows | Corporate Research Associates Inc | (CRA)". Cra.ca. Retrieved 2014-09-02.
  24. ↑ "Liberals hold big lead in New Brunswick election: poll". David Akin's On The Hill. Retrieved 2014-08-31.
  25. ↑ "Leaked New Brunswick PC internal poll: All the details here". QMI Agency. Retrieved 2014-08-31.
  26. ↑ "NB Liberals Widen Lead in Voter Intentions | Corporate Research Associates Inc | (CRA)". Cra.ca. Retrieved 2014-08-27.
  27. ↑ http://cra.ca/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/14-1-NB-Press-Release.pdf
  28. ↑ "NB Liberals Maintain Lead in Voter Intentions | Corporate Research Associates Inc | (CRA)". Cra.ca. Retrieved 2014-08-27.
  29. ↑ "Popularity of NB Liberals growing" (PDF) (Press release). Halifax: Corporate Research Associates. June 6, 2013. Retrieved September 5, 2013.
  30. ↑ "Popularity of NB Liberals growing" (PDF) (Press release). Halifax: Corporate Research Associates. June 6, 2013. Retrieved June 9, 2013.
  31. ↑ "Voter Intentions Tighten as Satisfaction with NB PC Declines" (PDF) (Press release). Saint John: Corporate Research Associates. March 11, 2013. Retrieved March 11, 2013.
  32. ↑ "Support for NB PC Government Remains Stable, Liberal Party Gains Ground with New Leader" (PDF) (Press release). Saint John: Corporate Research Associates. December 5, 2012. Retrieved March 11, 2013.
  33. ↑ "While NB Provincial Government Satisfaction Remains Stable, Support Declines" (PDF) (Press release). Saint John: Corporate Research Associates. September 6, 2012. Retrieved September 11, 2012.
  34. ↑ "Support for NB PC Government Remains Steady" (PDF) (Press release). Saint John: Corporate Research Associates. June 7, 2012. Retrieved June 11, 2012.
  35. ↑ "Environics Poll Shows New Democrats in the Lead in Saint John: New Democrats 39%, PCs 33%, Liberals 28%" (Press release). Fredericton: New Brunswick NDP. April 12, 2012. Retrieved April 13, 2012.
  36. ↑ "Enfin de l'espoir pour le NPD" (Press release). Caraquet: L'Acadie Nouvelle. April 11, 2012. Retrieved April 18, 2012.
  37. ↑ "Support for Government stable, although satisfaction declined" (PDF) (Press release). Saint John: Corporate Research Associates. March 7, 2012. Retrieved June 17, 2016.
  38. ↑ "Government Satisfaction Increase" (PDF) (Press release). Saint John: Corporate Research Associates. December 6, 2011. Retrieved June 17, 2016.
  39. ↑ "Support for New Brunswick Conservative Government Declines" (PDF) (Press release). Saint John: Corporate Research Associates. September 6, 2011. Retrieved October 9, 2011.
  40. ↑ "Satisfaction With Government Increases Significantly" (PDF) (Press release). Saint John: Corporate Research Associates. June 7, 2011. Retrieved October 9, 2011.
  41. 1 2 "Satisfaction with PCs Has Increased" (PDF) (Press release). Saint John: Corporate Research Associates. March 7, 2011. Retrieved October 9, 2011.
  42. ↑ Thirty-Seventh General Election – September 27, 2010 (PDF) (Report). Elections New Brunswick. p. 26. Retrieved October 9, 2011.
  43. ↑ "New Brunswick Tory John Betts says he won't run in September election - National". Prince George Citizen. 2014-08-23. Retrieved 2014-08-27.
  44. ↑ The, Staff (2014-01-22). "New Brunswick Tory won't seek re-election | Metro". Metronews.ca. Retrieved 2014-08-27.
  45. 1 2 "Jacques Poitras on Twitter: Campbellton-Restigouche Centre MLA Greg Davis has announced he won't run for re-election this fall. #NB". Twitter.com. 2014-03-11. Retrieved 2014-08-27.
  46. 1 2 "Jacques Poitras on Twitter: Seeing reports that Speaker Dale Graham has made it official: he won't run in election this fall. Retiring from politics. #NB". Twitter.com. 2014-03-20. Retrieved 2014-08-27.
  47. 1 2 "Jacques Poitras on Twitter: BREAKING: 1st-term PC MLA Wes McLeanwon't run for re-election; some Perth-Andover supporters allege he was pushed. Full story soon. #NB". Twitter.com. 2014-05-05. Retrieved 2014-08-27.
  48. ↑ "Another longtime Tory MLA not running," Telegraph-Journal, July 3, 2014
  49. 1 2 "Jacques Poitras on Twitter: I've started asking MLAs if they're running again next year. So far, Glen Tait (PC, SJ East) is only incumbent I know of who isn't. #NB". Twitter.com. 2013-12-05. Retrieved 2014-08-27.
  50. 1 2 1 May 2013 (2013-05-01). "Jacques Poitras on Twitter: Nigadoo-Chaleur Liberal MLA Roland Hache says he will not re-offer in #NB election next year". Twitter.com. Retrieved 2014-08-27.
  51. ↑ gnb.ca: Unofficial List of Candidates - Provincial Election (9/22/2014), and archive.org copy
  52. ↑ http://greenpartynb.ca/en/news-events/media-releases/703-green-leader-david-coon-thanks-all-party-supporters-candidates-their-families-and-volunteers
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