Mississauga—Lakeshore

For the provincial electoral district, see Mississauga South (provincial electoral district).
Mississauga—Lakeshore
Ontario electoral district

Mississauga South in relation to the other Toronto area ridings (2003 boundaries)
Federal electoral district
Legislature House of Commons
MP
 
 
 

Sven Spengemann
Liberal

District created 1976
First contested 1979
Last contested 2015
District webpage profile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)[1] 118,893
Electors (2015) 85,379
Area (km²)[2] 92
Pop. density (per km²) 1,292.3
Census divisions Peel
Census subdivisions Mississauga
Map of Mississauga South
Federal election results, 1979-2008

Mississauga—Lakeshore (formerly Mississauga South) is a federal electoral district in the Peel Region of Ontario, Canada. It has been represented in the Canadian House of Commons since 1979.

Geography

The riding includes the Mississauga neighbourhoods of Clarkson, Lakeview, Lorne Park, Mineola, Port Credit, Sheridan, Sheridan Park, Southdown and parts of Erindale and Cooksville.

Political geography

Conservative support is centred in the interior of the riding, particularly in the upscale Lorne Park area, while the Liberals and the NDP tend to do better along the waterfront of the riding, such as Port Credit and Lakeview, and the eastern and western edges of the riding.

History

The federal riding was created in 1976 from parts of Mississauga and Mississauga Centre ridings.

It consisted initially of the part of the City of Mississauga lying south of a line drawn from west to east along Highway 5, south along Cawthra Road, and east along the Queen Elizabeth Way.

In 1987, it was redefined to consist of the part of the City of Mississauga lying south of a line drawn from southwest to northeast along Dundas Street West, east along the Credit River, northeast along the Queen Elizabeth Way, northwest along Cawthra Road, and northeast along the Queensway East to the eastern city limit.

In 1996, it was redefined to consist of the part of the City of Mississauga lying south of a line drawn from southwest to northeast along Dundas Street West, southeast along Erin Mills Parkway, northeast along the Queen Elizabeth Way, northwest along Hurontario Street, northeast along the Queensway East to the northeastern city limit.

In 2003, it was given its current boundaries as described above.

In 2013, the riding gained the area around Huron Park, and was renamed Mississauga—Lakeshore. It was defined to consist of the part of the City of Mississauga lying southeast of a line drawn from northeast to southwest along the Queensway to Mavis Road, north along Mavis Road until Dundas Street and west along Dundas Street to the southwestern city limit.

Electoral history

The Mississauga South riding and its precursors, while being more competitive than in provincial elections, still has a generally conservative history, and despite voting Liberal since 1993, could be described as a small "c" conservative riding. The Progressive Conservatives held the riding from creation its first election in 1979 under Don Blenkarn, (who served as MP for Peel South, one of the precursor ridings between 1972–1974), until 1993, when he was defeated by Paul Szabo. With the exception of the 1988 election, Szabo has been the Liberal candidate in every election since 1980 (an election he almost won.)

The riding voting Liberal in 1993 can in part be blamed by vote splitting on the right, as Blenkarn was knocked into third place by the Reform Party candidate, although both were far behind Szabo, who only marginally improved on the Liberal performance from 1988, winning 37%, only 2% more than the 1988 Liberal result, and less than the combined vote total for the two right-wing parties. Szabo however greatly increased his percentage of the vote in the elections afterward, winning over 50% in every election from 1997–2004, despite facing a united right-wing vote in 2004.

In the 2006 election Szabo and the Liberals were re-elected again; however, the Liberal vote dropped sharply, with the Conservatives coming within 5% of winning the riding, getting 40% of the vote, one of the best performances for them in the Greater Toronto Area. The riding was generally assumed to be a top Tory target for the next election; however, the drawn out and somewhat acrimonious nature of the Conservative nomination process, and Szabo's increased profile as a result of his chairmanship of the House of Commons Ethics committee may have damaged Conservative attempts to capture the riding. Despite the Conservatives strengthening in the 2008 election overall, Arrison was unable to defeat Szabo, and Mississauga South was one of the few ridings outside Quebec where the Liberal Party increased the percentage of the vote received from 2006 (albeit very slightly).

Riding associations

Riding associations are the local branches of political parties:

Party Association Name CEO HQ Address
Conservative Mississauga—Lakeshore Conservative Association Brian J. Schmidt 1801 Lakeshore Road West
Liberal Mississauga—Lakeshore Federal Liberal Association
New Democratic Mississauga—Lakeshore Federal NDP Riding Association Eric S. Guerbilsky 44 Park Street East

Members of Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of the Canadian House of Commons:

Parliament Years Member Party
Mississauga South
Riding created from Mississauga and Mississauga Centre
31st  1979–1980     Don Blenkarn Progressive Conservative
32nd  1980–1984
33rd  1984–1988
34th  1988–1993
35th  1993–1997     Paul Szabo Liberal
36th  1997–2000
37th  2000–2004
38th  2004–2006
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015     Stella Ambler Conservative
Mississauga—Lakeshore
42nd  2015–Present     Sven Spengemann Liberal

Election results

Canadian federal election, 2015
Party Candidate Votes%∆%
LiberalSven Spengemann 28,279 47.71 +10.86
ConservativeStella Ambler 24,435 41.22 -5.68
New DemocraticEric Guerbilsky 4,735 7.99 -4.80
GreenAriana Burgener 1,397 2.36 -0.72
LibertarianPaul Wodworth 316 0.53 -
Marxist–LeninistDagmar Sullivan 111 0.19 -
Total valid votes 59,273 100.00
Total rejected ballots 271 0.46
Turnout 59,544 68.99
Eligible voters 86,308
Liberal gain from Conservative Swing +8.27
2011 federal election redistributed results[3]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 24,269 46.91
  Liberal 19,068 36.85
  New Democratic 6,616 12.79
  Green 1,592 3.08
  Others 195 0.38
Canadian federal election, 2011
Party Candidate Votes%∆%Expenditures
ConservativeStella Ambler 22,991 46.48 +6.90
LiberalPaul Szabo 18,393 37.18 -7.04
New DemocraticFarah Kalbouneh 6,354 12.85 +4.01
GreenPaul Simas 1,532 3.10 -4.24
IndependentRichard Barrett 194 0.39
Total valid votes 49,464100.00
Total rejected ballots 188 0.38+0.05
Turnout 49,652 63.89+3.81
Eligible voters 77,716
Canadian federal election, 2008
Party Candidate Votes%∆%Expenditures
LiberalPaul Szabo 20,518 44.22 +0.3 $70,011
ConservativeHugh Arrison 18,366 39.58 -0.2 $81,878
New DemocraticMatt Turner 4,104 8.84 -2.5 $1,722
GreenRichard Laushway 3,407 7.34 +1.8 $9,008
Total valid votes/Expense limit 46,395 100.00$84,179
Total rejected ballots 155 0.33
Turnout 46,550 60.08
Canadian federal election, 2006
Party Candidate Votes%∆%
LiberalPaul Szabo 22,975 43.9 -7.8
ConservativePhil Green 20,827 39.8 +6.2
New DemocraticMark De Pelham 5,898 11.3 +0.8
GreenBrendan Tarry 2,377 4.5 +0.5
Canadian ActionPaul McMurray 129 0.2
Marxist–LeninistDagmar Sullivan 74 0.1
Total valid votes 52,280 100.0
Canadian federal election, 2004
Party Candidate Votes%∆%
LiberalPaul Szabo 24,628 51.7 -0.1
ConservativePhil Green 16,027 33.6 -9.0
New DemocraticMichael James Culkin 5,004 10.5 +6.4
GreenNeeraj Jain 1,899 4.0 +2.7
Marxist–LeninistDagmar Sullivan 107 0.2 +0.1
Total valid votes 47,665100.0

Note: Conservative vote is compared to the total of the Canadian Alliance vote and Progressive Conservative vote in 2000 election.

Canadian federal election, 2000
Party Candidate Votes%∆%
LiberalPaul Szabo 20,676 51.8 +1.8
AllianceBrad Butt 10,139 25.4 +5.8
Progressive ConservativeDavid Brown 6,903 17.3 -6.4
New DemocraticKen Cole 1,636 4.1 -1.3
GreenPamela Murray 516 1.3
Marxist–LeninistTim Sullivan 67 0.2 0.0
Total valid votes 39,937 100.0

Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in 1997 election.

Canadian federal election, 1997
Party Candidate Votes%∆%
LiberalPaul Szabo 21,207 49.9 +3.4
Progressive ConservativeDick Barr 10,077 23.7 +0.4
ReformJoe Peschisolido 8,307 19.6 -5.6
New DemocraticJessica Lott 2,302 5.4 +3.3
Natural LawScott Kay 199 0.5 0.0
Canadian ActionAaron Gervais 150 0.4
IndependentAdrian Earl Crewson 141 0.3
Marxist–LeninistDagmar Sullivan 79 0.2 +0.1
Total valid votes 42,462 100.0
Canadian federal election, 1993
Party Candidate Votes%∆%
LiberalPaul Szabo 21,480 46.6 +11.9
ReformJohn Veenstra 11,591 25.1
Progressive ConservativeDon Blenkarn 10,763 23.3 -28.6
New DemocraticLili V. Weemen 988 2.1 -9.8
NationalAlbina Burello 452 1.0
LibertarianRichard Barrett 429 0.9 +0.3
Natural LawJeffrey graduate Dods 234 0.5
IndependentMichael John Charette 124 0.3
Marxist–LeninistDagmar Sullivan 49 0.1
Total valid votes 46,110100.0
Canadian federal election, 1988
Party Candidate Votes%∆%
Progressive ConservativeDon Blenkarn 24,482 51.9 -4.5
LiberalGil Gillespie 16,362 34.7 +5.8
New DemocraticSue Craig 5,643 12.0 -2.7
RhinocerosMarc Currie 332 0.7
LibertarianVay Jonynas 297 0.6
Commonwealth of CanadaPatrick Descoteaux 59 0.1
Total valid votes 47,175100.0
Canadian federal election, 1984
Party Candidate Votes%∆%
Progressive ConservativeDon Blenkarn 32,946 56.4 +15.0
LiberalPaul Szabo 16,874 28.9 -11.6
New DemocraticNorm Jones 8,584 14.7 -2.1
Total valid votes 58,404100.0
Canadian federal election, 1980
Party Candidate Votes%∆%
Progressive ConservativeDon Blenkarn 21,480 41.4 -7.5
LiberalPaul Szabo 21,007 40.5 +6.4
New DemocraticNeil Davis 8,711 16.8 +0.6
LibertarianIan F. Darwin 405 0.8 +0.4
IndependentTom Smith 110 0.2 0.0
IndependentMichael John Charette 78 0.2
Marxist–LeninistTim Sullivan 31 0.1 -0.1
Total valid votes 51,822 100.0
Canadian federal election, 1979
Party Candidate Votes%
Progressive ConservativeDon Blenkarn 26,802 48.9
LiberalPeg Holloway 18,710 34.1
New DemocraticColin Baynes 8,869 16.2
LibertarianRobert Sproule 236 0.4
IndependentTom Smith 104 0.2
Marxist–LeninistBarbara Nunn 74 0.1
Total valid votes 54,795 100.0

See also

References

Notes

Coordinates: 43°36′N 79°36′W / 43.6°N 79.6°W / 43.6; -79.6

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