Global Terrorism Index

A world map indicating the GTI by country (based on 2015 data).

The Global Terrorism Index (GTI) is an attempt to systematically rank the nations of the world according to terrorist activity. The index combines a number of factors associated with terrorist attacks to build an explicit picture of the impact of terrorism over a 10-year period, illustrating trends, and providing a data series for analysis by researchers and policymakers. It is the product of Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP) and is based on data from the Global Terrorism Database (GTD) which is collected and collated by the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) at the University of Maryland. The GTD has codified over 125,000 cases of terrorism.[1]

Global Terrorism Index Report 2014

Rank[2][3] Country Score Change in score
(Actual year 2013 to 2014)
1 Iraq10Increase 0.20
2 Pakistan9.33Increase 0.238
3 Afghanistan9.213Increase 1.018
4 Nigeria9.065Increase 0.027
5 Syria8.108Decrease 0.458
6 Sudan7.747Increase 0.358
7 Yemen7.642Increase 8.486
8 Somalia7.6Increase 0.48
9 Libya7.29Increase 0.966
10 Thailand7.279Increase 0.096
11 Philippines7.27Increase 0.073
12 Ukraine7.2Increase 4.059
13 Egypt6.813Increase 0.475
14 Central African Republic6.721Increase 1.638
15 South Sudan6.712Increase 1.392
16 India6.686Increase 0.988
17 Colombia6.662Increase 0.218
18 Kenya6.66Increase 0.362
19 Republic of the Congo6.487Increase 0.733
20 Cameroon6.466Increase 4.945
21 Lebanon6.376Increase 0.17
22 China6.294Increase 1.212
23 Russia6.207Decrease -0.432
24 Israel6.034Increase 1.118
25 Mali5.871Increase 0.683
26 Turkey5.737Decrease -0.144
27 United Kingdom5.613Increase 0.162
28 Greece4.976Decrease -0.259
29 Uganda4.894Increase 2.133
30 Bahrain4.871Increase 0.198
31   Nepal4.791Decrease -0.643
32 Indonesia4.755Decrease -0.021
33 Algeria4.75Decrease -0.635
34 United States4.613Decrease -0.055
35 France4.553Decrease -0.331
36 Mozambique4.386Increase 0.278
37 South Africa4.231Increase 0.707
38 Iran4.222Decrease -0.439
39 Paraguay4.094Increase 0.391
40 Myanmar4.08Decrease -0.275
41 Sri Lanka4.077Increase 0.004
42 Saudi Arabia4.006Increase 1.234
43 Mexico3.985Decrease -0.524
44 Tanzania3.979Increase 0.356
45 Chile3.969Increase 0.797
46 Tunisia3.697Increase 0.145
47 Ireland3.663Increase 0.487
48 Malaysia3.579Increase 0.056
49 Ethiopia3.544Decrease -0.085
50 Niger3.485Increase 0.767
51 Senegal3.467Decrease -0.067
52 Germany3.442Increase 1.676
53 Italy3.364Increase 0.483
54 Burundi3.342Decrease -0.506
55 Rwanda3.334Decrease -0.476
56 Peru3.316Increase 0.051
57 Ivory Coast3.141Decrease -0.657
58 Australia3.114Increase 2.894
59 Sweden3.083Increase 1.37
60 Cyprus3.08Decrease -0.106
61 Kosovo3.018Decrease -0.188
62 Nicaragua2.928Increase 2.928
63 Norway2.738Decrease -0.674
64 Spain2.622Decrease -0.112
65 Dominican Republic2.581Increase 1.394
66 Djibouti2.567Increase 2.567
67 Czech Republic2.484Increase 1.62
68 Madagascar2.444Increase 0.635
69 Bulgaria2.421Decrease -0.333
70 Georgia2.373Decrease -0.576
71 Canada2.297Increase 0.368
72 Macedonia2.252Increase 0.875
73 Brazil2.207Increase 0.585
74 Chad2.142Increase 1.937
75 Venezuela2.139Increase 1.514
76 Belarus2.125Decrease -0.653
77 Albania2.116Increase 1.896
78 Austria2.088Increase 0.406
79 Honduras2.077Decrease -0.261
80 Guatemala2.009Decrease -0.632
81 Belgium1.977Increase 0.944
82 Kazakhstan1.881Decrease -0.666
83 Tajikistan1.869Decrease -0.244
84 Jordan1.751Decrease -0.207
85 Kyrgyzstan1.722Increase 1.474
86 Zimbabwe1.71Increase 0.141
87 Argentina1.674Decrease -0.682
88 Eritrea1.636Decrease -0.709
89 Trinidad and Tobago1.583Decrease -0.646
90 Bosnia and Herzegovina1.516Increase 0.038
91 Morocco1.446Decrease -0.648
92 Azerbaijan1.381Increase 1.247
93 Ghana1.381Increase 1.381
94  Switzerland1.349Decrease -0.677
95 Iceland1.219Increase 1.143
96 Liberia1.219Increase 1.143
97 Guinea1.187Decrease -0.665
98 Hungary1.187Increase 1.044
99 New Zealand1.187Increase 1.187
100 United Arab Emirates1.045Increase 0.768
101 Democratic Republic of the Congo0.823Decrease -0.683
102 Montenegro0.659Decrease -0.657
103 Ecuador0.577Decrease -0.699
104 Netherlands0.429Decrease -0.596
105 Serbia0.41Decrease -0.744
106 Bhutan0.305Steady 0
107 Burkina Faso0.305Decrease -0.354
108 Mauritania0.305Decrease -0.841
109 Portugal0.267Decrease -0.282
110 Angola0.243Decrease -0.443
111 Jamaica0.229Increase 0.229
112 Cambodia0.153Decrease -0.152
113 Guinea-Bissau0.153Decrease -0.267
114 Taiwan0.153Decrease -0.152
115 Armenia0.115Decrease -0.229
116 Croatia0.115Decrease -0.114
117 Denmark0.091Decrease -0.09
118 Bolivia0.076Decrease -0.349
119 Estonia0.076Decrease -0.077
120 Laos0.038Decrease -0.038
121 Moldova0.038Decrease -0.31
122 Kuwait0.019Decrease -0.019
123 South Korea0Steady 0
124 Benin0Steady 0
125 Botswana0Steady 0
126 Costa Rica0Steady 0
127 Cuba0Steady 0
128 El Salvador0Steady 0
129 Equatorial Guinea0Decrease -0.129
130 Finland0Steady 0
131 Gabon0Steady 0
132 Gambia0Steady 0
133 Guyana0Steady 0
134 Haiti0Steady 0
135 Japan0Decrease -0.086
136 Latvia0Steady 0
137 Lesotho0Decrease -0.086
138 Lithuania0Steady 0
139 Malawi0Steady 0
140 Mauritius0Steady 0
141 Mongolia0Steady 0
142 Namibia11Steady 0
143 North Korea0Steady 0
144 Oman0Steady 0
145 Panama0Decrease -0.038
146 Papua New Guinea0Steady 0
147 Poland0Steady 0
148 Qatar0Steady 0
149 Romania0Steady 0
150 Sierra Leone0Steady 0
151 Singapore0Steady 0
152 Slovakia0Steady 0
153 Slovenia0Steady 0
154 Bangladesh0Steady 0
155 Swaziland0Steady 0
156 Timor-Leste0Steady 0
157 Togo0Steady 0
158 Turkmenistan0Steady 0
159 Uruguay0Steady 0
160 Uzbekistan0Decrease -0.286
161 Vietnam0Steady 0
162 Zambia0Steady 0

Methodology

GTI Scoring System

The GTI score for a country in a given year is based on a unique scoring system to account for the relative impact of incidents in the year. There are four factors counted in each country's yearly score:

Each of the factors is weighted differently and a five-year weighted average is applied to importantly reflect the lingering psychological effect of terrorist acts over time. The weightings shown in the table below were determined by consultation with the GPI Expert Panel:

Dimension Weight
Total number of incidents 1
Total number of fatalities 3
Total number of injuries 0.5
Sum of property damages measure 2

The greatest weighting is attributed to a fatality. The property damage measure is further disaggregated into four bands depending on the measured scope of the property damage inflicted by one incident. These bandings are shown in the table below, whereby incidents causing less than US$1 million are accorded a weight of 1, between $1 million and $1 billion, and more than $1 billion. A great majority of incidents are coded in the GTD as an 'unknown' level of property damage, thus scoring nil, with 'catastrophic' events being extremely rare.

Code Damage level
0 Unknown
1 Minor (likely < $1 million)
2 Major (likely between $1 million and $1 billion)
3 Catastrophic (likely > $1 billion)

Example of a country's GTI Score

To assign a relative number to how a country has been directly impacted by terrorism in any given year, for every incident recorded, the GTI calculates a weighted sum of all indicators. To illustrate, the table below depicts a hypothetical country's score for a given year:

Dimension Weight # of records for the given year Score
Total number of incidents 1 21 21
Total number of fatalities 3 36 108
Total number of injuries 0.5 53 26.5
Sum of property damages measure 2 20 40
Total Raw Score 195.5

Given these indicator values, the country for that year would be assessed as having a raw impact of terrorism score of:

(1 x 21) + (3 x 36) + (0.5 x 53) + (2 x 20) = 195.5.

See also

References

  1. "About the GTI". p. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved 11 February 2013.
  2. "Global Terrorism Index Report 2015" (PDF). Institute for Economics & Peace. November 2015. pp. 90–92. Retrieved 21 May 2016.
  3. "Global Terrorism Index Report". Vision of Humanity. Institute for Economics & Peace.

External links

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